$2.3K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 9, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 88% | $2.36M | |
| 14% | $223.1K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
There were no recent updates specific to North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District. The latest House-wide coverage still shows Democrats improving in battleground analysis, while prediction markets favor a Democratic House flip overall. No new information appears to move this district-specific market directly. Broader House sentiment still leans Democratic, but the effect on NC-03 is indirect.
Trump’s recent rallies in Arizona and Nevada highlight GOP efforts to secure an alternative route to White House
North Carolina state Rep. Jennifer Balkcom has been selected as the Republican nominee for U.S. House in the state's 11th Congressional District.
The NRCC’s polling of the battleground districts shows Republicans are competitive in five Democrat-held districts that Trump won in 2024.
The GOP’s House campaign arm shared five new battleground polls with POLITICO, its first publicly released surveys this cycle.
Maine Democrats scrambling to replace Graham Platner for the Senate race against Susan Collins are expected to nominate Troy Jackson.
Kalshi took another step today from niche economic hedging tool as it launched its midterm elections hub.
WASHINGTON — Another month, and another batch of rating changes that benefit Democrats. But the House Republican majority is not lost yet, according to a district-by-district analysis of the House battleground. With less than five months to go, the fundamentals of midterm elections continue to favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s job rating is underwater at 39% approve and 58% disapprove, ...
Sen. John Cornyn’s landslide defeat Tuesday immediately raised a pressing question for his GOP colleagues: Will he join the ranks of other Republicans recently vanquished by President Donald Trump and begin bucking the president more?
Democratic Rep. Jake Auchincloss of Massachusetts is facing a torrent of backlash from the left for having the audacity to call Maine Dem Senate hopeful Graham Platner's onetime Nazi tattoo and his excuse about it "disqualifying."
Vice President JD Vance will visit Iowa on April 30 to campaign for Republicans in the midterms, appearing with Rep. Zach Nunn in a competitive House race as speculation grows about a potential 2028 presidential run.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 27, 2026 and Aug 2, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
G. MurphyGreg MurphyR. Jr.Raymond Smith Jr.Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
