Prediction Edge
Democrat
Greg Stanton

Greg Stanton

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Arizona

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Greg Stanton is trading at 99% to win the AZ-04 Democratic nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

Age56 years old (Mar 8, 1970)

GenderMale

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LocationArizona

BackgroundAttorney

EducationCortez High School, Phoenix, Arizona (1988)

Notable personal detailsGregory John Stanton is an American lawyer and politician serving as the U.S. Representative for Arizona’s 4th Congressional District, first elected to Congress in 2018 and serving since January 3, 2019. He previously served on the Phoenix City Council (2000–2009), as an Arizona Deputy Attorney General (2009–2011), and as Mayor of Phoenix (2012–2018). He earned a B.A. from Marquette University (1992) and a J.D. from the University of Michigan (1995).

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports expanding tax credits and targeted tax incentives for working families and low-income housing, and has opposed tax changes he says primarily benefit the wealthy; has voted to extend and expand refundable credits for families and health-care premium tax credits.

Healthcare

Supports and defends the Affordable Care Act and protections for people with pre-existing conditions; supports lowering prescription drug prices through Medicare negotiation and caps on out-of-pocket costs; opposes Republican efforts to cut Medicaid and backs measures to expand access to care in underserved communities.

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Immigration & Border

Supports comprehensive immigration reform that expands legal pathways and clears asylum backlogs while prioritizing resources for border security and deportation of violent criminals. Advocates strengthening asylum processing, humanitarian approaches, and increased manpower and oversight for border enforcement rather than blanket restrictionist measures.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports restoring and codifying the protections of Roe v. Wade and enshrining the right to safe, legal reproductive care in law; opposes measures that would restrict military or civilian access to abortion and criticized state laws that ban abortion without exceptions for rape or incest.

Climate & Energy

Supports climate action and clean energy investment, including water and heat resilience measures; promoted a carbon-neutral-by-2050 goal as Phoenix mayor and has sponsored congressional initiatives addressing heat and climate-related infrastructure and costs.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports federal gun safety measures including universal background checks, extreme-risk (red flag) protections, and an assault weapons ban. Has cosponsored and publicly joined legislation advancing those policies.

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Braun Research
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
46%
Greg Stanton
G. Stanton
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Braun ResearchJul 8, 2026
46.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

15
AZ-04 Democratic nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$4.3M
$3.2M
$2.2M
$1.1M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$4.3M
$33.3K
$5.3M
$221.9K

Cycle 2024

$2.8M
$1.0M
$1.8M
$75.6K

Cycle 2026

$2.1M
$2.0M
$1.1M
$58.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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