Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Democratic or unrated
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Arizona House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
AZ-04 House winner?
$14.0K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 97% | $2.12M | |
| 5% | $564.6K |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$14.0K
24h volume
$57
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Arizona 4th District · US House
Safe or unratedSafe Democratic or unratedDistrict context
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: Greg Stanton (D)
Election Rules
Primary Jul 21, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
The provided news does not include any developments in Arizona's 4th congressional district. Most of the updates are about other states' Senate races and California primaries. One Arizona story covers a different district, so it does not directly affect this market. No clear impact on this Arizona 4th District party market from the provided news. The latest items appear unrelated, so odds should be little changed.
Articles
SLSalt Lake City Deseret News6 months ago
Here’s where TPUSA wants to build the ‘Red Wall’
Trump’s recent rallies in Arizona and Nevada highlight GOP efforts to secure an alternative route to White House
TMThe Mercury News4 months ago
Influential Sen. Lindsey Graham, a close Trump ally, dies after a brief and sudden illness
U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham died Saturday after a brief and unexpected illness, his office said in statement posted on social media. The statement said the Republican from South Carolina passed away Saturday evening “from a brief and sudden illness.” No additional details were provided. The Republican was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2002. He […]
TMThe Mercury News5 months ago
California’s slow ballot count makes it a target for critics. It doesn’t mean elections are rigged
The law in California practically mandates a drawn-out count.
SSFGATE5 months ago
California's slow ballot count makes it a target for critics. It doesn't mean elections are rigged
Days after the state’s primary, California voters are in a familiar position -- waiting to find out which candidates will go on to the general election in their most high-profile races, for governor...
NNewsmax6 months ago
Feely to Newsmax: Rival's Obama Ties Don't Fit Arizona GOP
Former NFL kicker Jay Feely is escalating his attacks against Republican rival John Trobough in Arizona’s pivotal 1st Congressional District race, framing the contest as a battle between a Trump-backed outsider and a former Obama administration figure.
PTPittsburgh Tribune-Review6 months ago
Maine Gov. Mills drops Democratic U.S. Senate bid against Platner, lamenting a lack of campaign funds
PORTLAND, Maine — Maine Gov. Janet Mills on Thursday dropped her bid for the U.S. Senate, pointing to a lack of campaign funds to keep up in one of the most competitive races in the country that quickly became a reflection of an internal party debate over which candidates can
BDBoulder Daily Camera6 months ago
Maine Gov. Janet Mills drops US Senate bid ahead of Democratic primary
Maine Gov. Janet Mills is dropping her Democratic bid for the US Senate ahead of the ahead of June 9 primary against Graham Platner.
TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer6 months ago
Maine Gov. Mills drops Democratic Senate bid against Platner, lamenting a lack of campaign funds
Senate candidate Graham Platner says he hopes to work with Gov. Janet Mills to turn Republican Sen. Susan Collins’ seat “blue again” in November.
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jul 1, 2026$2.5M
$1.9M
$1.3M
$625K
$0
G. Stanton
Z. Jasser
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
G. StantonGreg Stanton$2.12MContrib: $2.12M
$2.02MSpent: $1.11M
$58.6KLast period: $453.9K
PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 1, 2026
Z. JasserZuhdi Jasser$564.6KContrib: $564.4K
$341.7KSpent: $223.0K
$11.7KLast period: $114.4K
PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 1, 2026
Source: FEC
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
AZ-04 House winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-04?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 3:55 AM UTC
Will Republican win the House race for AZ-04?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 3:55 AM UTC