Prediction Edge
Democrat
Haley Stevens

Haley Stevens

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Michigan

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Haley Stevens is trading at 1% to win the Michigan Senate winner? (Person) on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age43 years old (Jun 24, 1983)

GenderFemale

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LocationMichigan

BackgroundPolitician

EducationAmerican University (B.A., 2005)

Notable personal detailsHaley Maria Stevens is a Democratic politician serving as the U.S. representative for Michigan’s 11th congressional district since 2019. Before Congress, she worked in economic and manufacturing policy, including as chief of staff for the Obama administration’s auto rescue task force. She earned a B.A. (2005) and an M.A. (2007) from American University. She is a candidate for U.S. Senate in Michigan in the 2026 election cycle.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports using federal policy to protect working families from higher costs, expand funding for social programs, and push back against policies she says primarily benefit the wealthy; opposes tariffs she views as harmful to Michigan families while supporting targeted trade measures to improve U.S. competitiveness. She has criticized Republican budgets and proposals that she says give tax breaks to the richest Americans and increase the national debt.

Healthcare

Supports strengthening and expanding the Affordable Care Act rather than Medicare for All, advocates creating a public option and allowing a Medicare buy-in for people aged 55–65, and prioritizes lowering prescription drug costs and expanding access to care. Has sponsored/advanced legislation on health issues (for example, thyroid disease research and care).

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Immigration & Border

Supports expanded legal pathways and protections for immigrants, including pathways to citizenship and protections for Dreamers; has sponsored and cosponsored legislation to reform visa limits for high-skilled immigrants and to rein in ICE funding and authority. Opposes large increases in enforcement funding and has criticized aggressive ICE actions under the Trump administration.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Haley Stevens supports abortion access and has said she "unequivocally" supports a woman’s right to choose. She has backed federal protections to codify Roe-era abortion rights, opposed measures to restrict funding for reproductive health providers, and has received repeated endorsements and high ratings from Planned Parenthood and pro-choice organizations.

Climate & Energy

Supports investment in clean energy, clean manufacturing, recycling initiatives, and measures to grow domestic critical-minerals and clean-technology supply chains while opposing Green New Deal–style proposals that she says would harm Michigan auto workers. Has backed climate and clean-energy provisions in legislation (including provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act) and voted to uphold California’s efforts to accelerate electric vehicle adoption.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong gun safety measures including universal/expanded background checks, red flag (extreme risk) laws, cracking down on ghost guns, and has supported assault-weapons restrictions and federal gun-violence-prevention legislation. Has been endorsed by major gun-safety organizations for this record and has publicly spoken in favor of state and federal gun-safety actions.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 18, 2026

Haley Stevens lost the Michigan Democratic Senate primary to Abdul El-Sayed in a very close race, with reports putting the margin at about 1 percentage point. The result ended her bid for the seat being vacated by Sen. Gary Peters and shifted the race to the general election against Republican Mike Rogers. The campaign was marked by sharp intraparty divisions, especially over Israel policy and the party’s direction.

bioguideretro.congress.gov+60

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
43.5%
Haley Stevens
H. Stevens
Date (Start - End)SpreadStevens
Polling Average
43.5%
EPIC-MRAJul 24 - 31
44.0%
SoCal StrategiesJul 28 - 30
44.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJul 28 - 29
43.0%
Glengariff GroupJul 22 - 24
45.5%
Quantus InsightsJun 29 - 30
45.1%
Wedgewood PollsJun 25 - 28
46.0%
Data for ProgressJun 15 - 22
45.0%
Zenith ResearchJun 11 - 14
43.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJun 11 - 13
41.0%
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23
45.0%
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23
48.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7
39.0%
Glengariff GroupApr 28 - May 1
41.5%
Emerson CollegeJan 24 - 25
47.3%
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
43.7%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 - 21
40.0%
EPIC-MRANov 6 - 11
44.0%
Rosetta Stone CommunicationsOct 23 - 25
40.0%
Normington, Petts & AssociatesJun 12 - 16
47.0%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
45.2%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
45.1%
Target InsyghtMar 3 - 6
35.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$11.9M
$8.9M
$5.9M
$3.0M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$11.9M
$2.8M
$9.1M
$478.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements