Discovery Insights Elections Candidates Calendar Watchlist

ActiveGeneral Election

2026 Michigan Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Michigan Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)Last updated: Aug 9, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

$913.0K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated Aug 9, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average	Funds raised
Abdul El-SayedDemocratic	56%	40.5%	$14.53M
Mike RogersRepublican	45%	—	$10.90M
Mallory McMorrowDemocratic	1%	—	$11.39M
Haley StevensDemocratic	1%	45.1%	$11.88M

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 9, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$913.0K

24h volume

$46.5K

A. El-Sayed56%

M. Rogers45%

M. McMorrow1%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Michigan 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

The Michigan Democratic Senate primary is drawing major outside attention, with AOC and Bernie Sanders campaigning for Abdul El-Sayed. Haley Stevens has the backing of outgoing Sen. Gary Peters and nearly $30 million in AIPAC-linked spending. The winner will face Republican Mike Rogers in the general election. The primary remains the main market driver, with heavy outside spending and high-profile endorsements creating a mixed picture. Recent progressive support may help El-Sayed, but Stevens still has major establishment backing.

Articles

DFDetroit Free Press21 hours ago

Michigan Democrats unite behind Benson, El-Sayed at Detroit rally

Michigan Democrats kicked off their general election campaign with a rally in Detroit featuring the party's statewide ticket.

CSChicago Sun-Times2 days ago

El-Sayed has his work cut out between now and November

Democrats' Senate nominee in Michigan and other progressive will have have to quickly reckon with party divisions, starting with trying to lure Black voters.

TDThe Daily Beast2 days ago

Dem Winner Throws Trump’s Words Back in His Face

“Couldn’t have said it better myself,” Abdul El-Sayed wrote in response to the president’s attack.

AABC17News.com2 days ago

Abdul El-Sayed’s Republican opponent directly pitches Democrats, hoping to capitalize after divisive primary

By Patrick Svitek, CNN (CNN) — Mike Rogers, the Republican nominee for Senate in Michigan, is stepping up his efforts to appeal to Democrats after their party picked progressive Abdul El-Sayed as their standard-bearer in the battleground race. In a new video first shared with CNN, Rogers speaks directly to camera to make his case

TGThe Gateway Pundit14 hours ago

Former Jill Biden Press Secretary Triggers the Left as He Explains Why He’s Endorsing “Reasonable Republican” Mike Rogers Over Islamo

Michigan GOP Senate nominee Mike Rogers continues to make notable inroads with longtime Democrats disgusted with his Islamo-Marxist Democrat opponent, Abdul…

FNFox News18 hours ago

James Carville fires back at progressive Michigan Senate candidate

James Carville fired back at progressives Abdul El-Sayed, Hasan Piker and Bernie Sanders after they suggested the longtime Democratic strategist leave the party.

MLM Live Michigan 3 days ago

Trump calls El-Sayed ‘full of sh**’ as Michigan Senate race shifts to general election

The president called the Democratic nominee "a man of hate" during a Las Vegas speech, while El-Sayed responded by focusing on his policy platform of Medicare for all and getting money out of politics.

ZZeroHedge24 hours ago

Hillary Clinton Warns Dems: GOP's Anti-Communist Messaging "Very Effective" As Marxist Hijack Party

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

FNFox News1 day ago

GOP nominee Mike Bouchard Jr. says El-Sayed win not a socialism sign

Mike Bouchard Jr. says Abdul El-Sayed's Michigan Senate primary win does not mean voters embrace socialism, citing El-Sayed's ties to Hasan Piker and defunding the police.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Mar 13, 2025 and May 8, 2025.

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

45.1%

40.5%

H. Stevens

A. El-Sayed

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Stevens	El-Sayed
Polling Average	Stevens+4.6	45.1%	40.5%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8	–	45.1%	–
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8	–	–	40.5%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Candidate Endorsements

Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.

Abdul El-Sayed

Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders endorsed Abdul El-Sayed for the 2026 Michigan Senate race.

2026 Michigan Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Michigan Democrats unite behind Benson, El-Sayed at Detroit rally

El-Sayed has his work cut out between now and November

Dem Winner Throws Trump’s Words Back in His Face

Abdul El-Sayed’s Republican opponent directly pitches Democrats, hoping to capitalize after divisive primary

Former Jill Biden Press Secretary Triggers the Left as He Explains Why He’s Endorsing “Reasonable Republican” Mike Rogers Over Islamo

James Carville fires back at progressive Michigan Senate candidate

Trump calls El-Sayed ‘full of sh**’ as Michigan Senate race shifts to general election

Hillary Clinton Warns Dems: GOP's Anti-Communist Messaging "Very Effective" As Marxist Hijack Party

GOP nominee Mike Bouchard Jr. says El-Sayed win not a socialism sign

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Michigan Senate winner?

AL-03 House winner?

Michigan Governor winner?

MI-01 House winner?

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Michigan Democrats unite behind Benson, El-Sayed at Detroit rally

El-Sayed has his work cut out between now and November

Dem Winner Throws Trump’s Words Back in His Face

Abdul El-Sayed’s Republican opponent directly pitches Democrats, hoping to capitalize after divisive primary

Former Jill Biden Press Secretary Triggers the Left as He Explains Why He’s Endorsing “Reasonable Republican” Mike Rogers Over Islamo

James Carville fires back at progressive Michigan Senate candidate

Trump calls El-Sayed ‘full of sh**’ as Michigan Senate race shifts to general election

Hillary Clinton Warns Dems: GOP's Anti-Communist Messaging "Very Effective" As Marxist Hijack Party

GOP nominee Mike Bouchard Jr. says El-Sayed win not a socialism sign

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Michigan Senate winner?

AL-03 House winner?

Michigan Governor winner?

MI-01 House winner?