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2026 Michigan Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Michigan Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

$2.0M

NOV 3, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated Sep 23, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average	Funds raised
Abdul El-Sayed	71%	40.5%	$14.51M
Mike Rogers	29%	—	$10.90M
Mallory McMorrow	1%	—	$11.39M
Haley Stevens	1%	45.1%	$11.88M

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 23, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$2.0M

24h volume

$14.8K

A. El-Sayed71%

M. Rogers29%

M. McMorrow1%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Michigan 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Abdul El-Sayed is under heavier attack in Michigan, with criticism over Hasan Piker ties, 9/11-related comments, and a 2007 protest report. A Trump-linked PAC is also spending against him in the race. El-Sayed’s campaign is pushing back and says the attacks misrepresent his views. The attacks and outside spending could add pressure on El-Sayed and help Rogers at the margin. The effect is still uncertain because the reporting does not show a change in the race itself.

Articles

MLM Live Michigan 21 hours ago

Kamala Harris, Abdul El-Sayed focus on Black maternal health at Detroit event

Former Vice President Kamala Harris was effusive in her praise for Abdul El-Sayed, as she joined the Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate on the campaign trail on Tuesday.

DFDetroit Free Press21 hours ago

Kamala Harris stresses value of Michigan in midterms, backs El-Sayed

Progressive firebrand Abdul El-Sayed got the backing of former Vice President Kamala Harris at an event in Detroit highlighting Black women's health.

NYNew York Post22 hours ago

GOP's midterm malcontents weaken the party

Old-guard GOP stalwarts don't have a problem with Trump. They have a problem with Trump's voters — and their antipathy could cost Republicans the Senate.

NVNorfolk Virginian-Pilot1 day ago

Kamala Harris seeks to boost El-Sayed in key Michigan Senate race

Former Vice President Kamala Harris is set to campaign in Michigan for Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed. Harris will join the Democratic nominee in Detroit for an event aimed at building support among Black voters.

NYNew York Post17 hours ago

Dad of 9/11 hero Todd Beamer blasts Piker's ties to El-Sayed in ad for GOP rival

David Beamer, father of 9/11 hero Todd Beamer, appears in a new Michigan Senate ad criticizing Democrat Abdul El-Sayed's ties to Hasan Piker.

TGThe Gateway Pundit22 hours ago

Abdul El-Sayed Looks Miserable as Kamala Harris Awkwardly Shouts About DEI During Campaign Event About “Black Birthing People” (VIDEO)

Failed presidential candidate Kamala Harris campaigned with radical Muslim Communist Michigan US Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed on Tuesday.

KKRDO23 hours ago

ICE shooting, harmful stereotypes, Hayden Panettiere: Catch up on the day’s stories

By Gina Park, CNN 👋 Welcome to 5 Things PM! A London street musician was ending his session with Coldplay’s hit “Viva la Vida” when the band’s lead singer

ADAnchorage Daily News1 day ago

GOP candidates are breaking with Trump on Iran as midterms loom

Republicans in key battleground states are urging a speedy end to the war as new polling suggests only 1 in 4 Americans support it.

LALos Angeles Times2 days ago

Can Democrats flip the Senate? Here's the latest in key races

Democrats need to gain at least four seats, and not lose any, to retake control of the Senate. Here are five races to watch in the final weeks before Nov. 3.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Mar 13, 2025 and May 8, 2025.

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

45.1%

40.5%

H. Stevens

A. El-Sayed

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Stevens	El-Sayed
Polling Average	Stevens+4.6	45.1%	40.5%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8	–	45.1%	–
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8	–	–	40.5%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jul 15, 2026

$20M

$15M

$10M

$5M

A. El-Sayed

H. Stevens

M. McMorrow

M. Rogers

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

A. El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed

$14.51MContrib: $14.48M

$2.55MSpent: $11.96M

$629.6KLast period: $2.30M

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026

H. StevensHaley Stevens

$11.88MContrib: $9.92M

$2.79MSpent: $9.09M

$478.5KLast period: $888.4K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026

M. McMorrowMallory McMorrow

$11.39MContrib: $11.21M

$1.87MSpent: $9.52M

$501.0KLast period: $66.8K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026

M. RogersMike Rogers

$10.90MContrib: $7.68M

$4.47MSpent: $6.68M

$351.6KLast period: $317.1K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements

2026 Michigan Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Kamala Harris, Abdul El-Sayed focus on Black maternal health at Detroit event

Kamala Harris stresses value of Michigan in midterms, backs El-Sayed

GOP's midterm malcontents weaken the party

Kamala Harris seeks to boost El-Sayed in key Michigan Senate race

Dad of 9/11 hero Todd Beamer blasts Piker's ties to El-Sayed in ad for GOP rival

Abdul El-Sayed Looks Miserable as Kamala Harris Awkwardly Shouts About DEI During Campaign Event About “Black Birthing People” (VIDEO)

ICE shooting, harmful stereotypes, Hayden Panettiere: Catch up on the day’s stories

GOP candidates are breaking with Trump on Iran as midterms loom

Can Democrats flip the Senate? Here's the latest in key races

Latest Polls

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

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AL-03 House winner?

Michigan Governor winner?

MI-07 House winner?

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Kamala Harris, Abdul El-Sayed focus on Black maternal health at Detroit event

Kamala Harris stresses value of Michigan in midterms, backs El-Sayed

GOP's midterm malcontents weaken the party

Kamala Harris seeks to boost El-Sayed in key Michigan Senate race

Dad of 9/11 hero Todd Beamer blasts Piker's ties to El-Sayed in ad for GOP rival

Abdul El-Sayed Looks Miserable as Kamala Harris Awkwardly Shouts About DEI During Campaign Event About “Black Birthing People” (VIDEO)

ICE shooting, harmful stereotypes, Hayden Panettiere: Catch up on the day’s stories

GOP candidates are breaking with Trump on Iran as midterms loom

Can Democrats flip the Senate? Here's the latest in key races

Latest Polls

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Michigan Senate winner?

AL-03 House winner?

Michigan Governor winner?

MI-07 House winner?