



Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Michigan
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Haley Stevens is trading at 0% to win the Michigan Democratic Senate nominee? on prediction markets.
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyModerate Democrat
Age43 years old (Jun 24, 1983)
GenderFemale
LocationMichigan
BackgroundPolitician
EducationAmerican University (B.A., 2005)
Notable personal detailsHaley Maria Stevens is a Democratic politician serving as the U.S. representative for Michigan’s 11th congressional district since 2019. Before Congress, she worked in economic and manufacturing policy, including as chief of staff for the Obama administration’s auto rescue task force. She earned a B.A. (2005) and an M.A. (2007) from American University. She is a candidate for U.S. Senate in Michigan in the 2026 election cycle.
Supports using federal policy to protect working families from higher costs, expand funding for social programs, and push back against policies she says primarily benefit the wealthy; opposes tariffs she views as harmful to Michigan families while supporting targeted trade measures to improve U.S. competitiveness. She has criticized Republican budgets and proposals that she says give tax breaks to the richest Americans and increase the national debt.
Supports strengthening and expanding the Affordable Care Act rather than Medicare for All, advocates creating a public option and allowing a Medicare buy-in for people aged 55–65, and prioritizes lowering prescription drug costs and expanding access to care. Has sponsored/advanced legislation on health issues (for example, thyroid disease research and care).
Supports expanded legal pathways and protections for immigrants, including pathways to citizenship and protections for Dreamers; has sponsored and cosponsored legislation to reform visa limits for high-skilled immigrants and to rein in ICE funding and authority. Opposes large increases in enforcement funding and has criticized aggressive ICE actions under the Trump administration.
Haley Stevens supports abortion access and has said she "unequivocally" supports a woman’s right to choose. She has backed federal protections to codify Roe-era abortion rights, opposed measures to restrict funding for reproductive health providers, and has received repeated endorsements and high ratings from Planned Parenthood and pro-choice organizations.
Supports investment in clean energy, clean manufacturing, recycling initiatives, and measures to grow domestic critical-minerals and clean-technology supply chains while opposing Green New Deal–style proposals that she says would harm Michigan auto workers. Has backed climate and clean-energy provisions in legislation (including provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act) and voted to uphold California’s efforts to accelerate electric vehicle adoption.
Supports strong gun safety measures including universal/expanded background checks, red flag (extreme risk) laws, cracking down on ghost guns, and has supported assault-weapons restrictions and federal gun-violence-prevention legislation. Has been endorsed by major gun-safety organizations for this record and has publicly spoken in favor of state and federal gun-safety actions.
Haley Stevens lost Michigan’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary to Abdul El-Sayed in a very close race, with reports putting the margin at about 1 percentage point. The result ends her bid for the seat being vacated by Sen. Gary Peters and sets up El-Sayed to face Republican Mike Rogers in the general election. The race drew attention for deep Democratic divisions, especially over ideology and Israel policy, and party leaders are now trying to unify after the upset.
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Haley Stevens currently averages 30.6%, ranking second in this race, 6.2 points behind the next candidate.
Average recalculated from polls through Jul 28 - 30.



Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2026
LatestCycle 2026
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.