


General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Hallie Shoffner is trading at 7% to win the Arkansas Senate winner? on prediction markets.
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleFarmer
PartyDemocratic
GenderFemale
LocationArkansas
BackgroundFarmer
EducationVanderbilt University (full-ride scholarship)
Notable personal detailsHallie Shoffner is an Arkansas farmer and entrepreneur who ran as the Democratic challenger for U.S. Senate in Arkansas in the 2026 election cycle. She grew up in Shoffner, a farming community in the Arkansas Delta, and operated her family farm for several years. She attended Vanderbilt University on a full-ride scholarship and later studied at the Clinton School of Public Service.
Supports cutting taxes for working and blue-collar families while opposing tax cuts for wealthy landowners; emphasizes lowering costs for regular people, protecting Social Security and Medicaid, and reducing the deficit. Advocates targeted tax relief for working families alongside investments in healthcare, workforce support, and an Arkansas-first economic plan.
Supports strengthening and protecting the Affordable Care Act, Medicare, and Medicaid; aims to make healthcare affordable and accessible for all Arkansans, lower prescription drug prices, and hold insurance companies accountable.
Does not assign herself a pro‑choice or pro‑life label and says states can decide their own abortion laws; she also warns that restrictive laws can prevent access to necessary, life‑saving medical care.
Supports recognizing and responding to climate change impacts on agriculture, promoting conservation and sustainable farming practices, and federal incentives (e.g., in the Farm Bill) to help farmers adopt soil health and water-saving practices. Emphasizes building resilience in rural food systems and increased research to help crops withstand extreme weather while pursuing pragmatic, non‑apocalyptic solutions.
The campaign emphasizes keeping Arkansas communities safe by supporting local law enforcement and first responders with training, staffing, and mental-health resources, and by investing in community-based crime prevention. The campaign materials do not state specific positions on firearm policy (for example, background checks, assault weapons bans, red flag laws, or concealed-carry rules).
Hallie Shoffner is the Democratic nominee for Arkansas’s U.S. Senate race and will face Republican Sen. Tom Cotton in November. She recently said she would vote to defund ICE as it exists now, drawing criticism from Republicans who called the stance too extreme. Shoffner also said someone came to her Little Rock home with a weapon over the weekend and that the incident is under police investigation. Earlier, she has been campaigning on labor rights, affordability, and support for the PRO Act.
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Hallie Shoffner currently averages 39.5%, ranking second in this race, 12.5 points behind the next candidate.
Average recalculated from polls through Jul 17 - 25.


Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2026
LatestCycle 2026
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.