$177.0K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 9:58 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 49.8% | $6.23M | |
| 6% | 40.4% | $2.27M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
A new poll shows Tom Cotton leading Hallie Shoffner by 16 points in Arkansas. The race still looks strongly Republican, but Cotton is running below recent GOP margins. Shoffner is the Democratic nominee and will challenge Cotton in November. The polling keeps Republicans favored, but the smaller-than-usual margin may slightly narrow confidence in a GOP win. Undecided voters leave some room for movement, though the race still looks Republican-leaning.
Tom Cotton and GOP allies have spent $13.6 million on ads, compared with just $208,703 for Democrat Hallie Shoffner.
The Democrat leads in polls and betting markets, but a second candidate named Dan Sullivan could scramble Alaska's ranked-choice race.
Democratic candidates in red states are sharing their faith to connect with voters, sparking intense debates over theology.
A candidate for the U.S. Senate said Tuesday that someone showed up at her home unannounced during the weekend with a weapon looking for a member of her campaign team.
Vice President JD Vance’s midterm convention speech is one of the the expected 2028 candidate's last best opportunities to prove he can lead the GOP.
A new poll shows that Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR) is not in danger of losing his seat in deep-red Arkansas this election cycle.
We’re following the latest updates and analysis on the Donald Trump administration. Follow along live.
President Donald Trump isn’t on the ballot this year, but with roughly six months before Election Day, he’ll still likely be the biggest factor in determining the fortunes of the Republican Party
State Sen. Fred Love of Little Rock won Arkansas' Democratic gubernatorial nomination in Tuesday's primary election, handily outdistancing businesswoman Supha Xayprasith-Mays of Bentonville.
Elections fought across America may be decided in far fewer places than the national map suggests, a Newsweek analysis has found.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Feb 7, 2026 and Aug 18, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
T. CottonTom CottonH. ShoffnerHallie ShoffnerSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
