$24.2K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 17, 2026, 9:53 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97% | 52.0% | $6.23M | |
| 6% | 39.5% | $2.27M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Hallie Shoffner is still the Arkansas Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate after her primary win. The latest story focuses on a reported home incident under police investigation and earlier campaign spending disclosures. The Republican side is unchanged in the provided updates. The Democratic nomination is settled, which reduces uncertainty on that side of the race. The reported security incident and campaign spending details do not clearly change the party outcome outlook.
A candidate for the U.S. Senate said Tuesday that someone showed up at her home unannounced during the weekend with a weapon looking for a member of her campaign team.
We’re following the latest updates and analysis on the Donald Trump administration. Follow along live.
President Donald Trump isn’t on the ballot this year, but with roughly six months before Election Day, he’ll still likely be the biggest factor in determining the fortunes of the Republican Party
State Sen. Fred Love of Little Rock won Arkansas' Democratic gubernatorial nomination in Tuesday's primary election, handily outdistancing businesswoman Supha Xayprasith-Mays of Bentonville.
These women struggled to get divorced and now are pushing their states to let people leave unhappy and unsafe marriages.
Elections fought across America may be decided in far fewer places than the national map suggests, a Newsweek analysis has found.
FEC data shows Arkansas Democrat Hallie Shoffner paid Good Influence, the same firm used by radical Maine Democrat Graham Platner.
A slate of endorsements in Indiana is the start of a new effort to win down-ballot across the country.
Gov. JB Pritzker closed out the second day of the conference by connecting federal cuts to the social safety net with Republican-led efforts to roll back protections for voting rights and minority representation.
Opinion: If the Maryland GOP is to become relevant again, it must make problem-solving its mission, not parroting ideas that won't fly in Maryland, writes Anirban Basu.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Feb 7, 2026 and Jul 25, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
T. CottonTom CottonH. ShoffnerHallie ShoffnerSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
