Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
41.5%
40%
Democrat
Incumbent
IncumbentHenry Cuellar
Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Texas
TX-28 Democratic nominee?
$19.0K
MAR 10, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Henry Cuellar is trading at 98% to win the TX-28 Democratic nominee? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyConservative Democrat
Age70 years old (Sep 19, 1955)
GenderMale
Show moreShow less
LocationTexas
BackgroundPolitician
EducationA.A., Laredo Community College (Summa Cum Laude)
Notable personal detailsHenry Cuellar is a Democratic member of the U.S. House representing Texas’s 28th Congressional District, first elected in 2004 and serving since January 3, 2005. He previously served in the Texas House of Representatives (1987–2001) and as Texas Secretary of State in 2001. Cuellar is an attorney and has also worked as a customs broker and educator. He holds degrees from Laredo Community College, Georgetown University, Texas A&M International University, The University of Texas at Austin, and the U.S. Naval War College.
SourcesShowHide
cuellar.house.govhenrycuellar.comclerk.house.goven.wikipedia.orgjunkipedia.orgcookpolitical.comboldpac.comlmtonline.comapnews.comes.wikipedia.orgtexastribune.orgtexasborderbusiness.comjustfacts.votesmart.orgsanantonioreport.orglcv.orglegistorm.comkgns.tvktsa.comexpressnews.compolitico.comglobenewswire.comfacebook.comaxios.comdallasnews.comuschamber.comwsj.comballotpedia.orgnbcnews.comktre.comthehill.comstatesman.comfinance.yahoo.comfoxnews.comaljazeera.comdallasexpress.comthetexan.newsthecentersquare.comcbsnews.comsacurrent.comquiverquant.comtruthout.orghistory.house.govcommons.wikimedia.orgupload.wikimedia.orgcongress.govwikidata.orggovinfo.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports targeted tax relief for middle-class families and small businesses (including expansions of the Child Tax Credit and small-business provisions) while opposing large, permanent tax cuts for the wealthy and deficit-increasing budget measures; emphasizes protecting safety-net programs and fiscal responsibility.
Healthcare
Supports strengthening and expanding the Affordable Care Act, has acted to extend ACA premium tax credits, opposed Republican repeal efforts, and has supported measures to lower prescription drug costs.
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Immigration & Border
Henry Cuellar supports strengthened border enforcement and operational tools for border agencies while opposing large physical barriers like the Rio Grande wall; he has voted for enforcement-focused measures (e.g., funding DHS/ICE and Kate’s Law) and sponsored/advocated targeted border security steps such as drone restrictions and river buoys. His approach mixes enforcement and oversight/technology solutions rather than broad regularization or expanded asylum protections.
Climate & Energy
The candidate supports development of both clean energy and traditional oil and gas, emphasizing energy jobs and reliability while backing investments in clean energy technologies and carbon capture; policy statements emphasize balancing renewables with continued use of natural gas rather than phasing out fossil fuels. Positions combine support for clean-energy investment and infrastructure with protection of the oil and gas industry in his district.
Public Safety & Guns
The representative has supported expanded background checks, red flag (extreme-risk) laws, and raising the purchase age in some votes and statements while opposing a federal assault-weapons ban and emphasizing Second Amendment rights and support for law enforcement. He has also sponsored/been associated with legislation expanding certain concealed-carry rights for off-duty and retired law enforcement officers.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026
Henry Cuellar is in the news because he won the Democratic primary for Texas’s 28th Congressional District and is now heading into the general election against Republican nominee Tano Tijerina, who has Donald Trump’s backing. Recent coverage has focused on the race tightening and Trump criticizing Cuellar while openly supporting Tijerina. Cuellar’s campaign is also being discussed in the context of South Texas House races and broader Republican gains from Texas redistricting.
cuellar.house.gov+46
Articles
FNFox News6 months ago
Texas border district Dem Cuellar beats back primary challengers
Positive
MMassLive2 months ago
Trump drops stinging 6-word insult on congressman
Negative
F4FOX 4 News1 month ago
Democrats set sights on open Texas border district in expansion of midterm targets
Neutral
CNCBS News3 months ago
Texas State Representative predicts "a very good year for Democrats" for Latino vote in midterm elections
Neutral
Latest Polls
TX-28 House winner?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Henry Cuellar currently averages 41.5%, ranking first in this race, 1.5 points ahead of the nearest opponent.
Polling average: 41.5%Position: firstMargin: +1.5 ptsLatest poll: 45.0% (Jul 27 - 30)Polls included: 2
Average recalculated from polls through Jul 27 - 30.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$4.7M
$3.5M
$2.4M
$1.2M
$0
2022
2024
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2022
$4.7M
$44.8K
$6.2M
$259.1K
Cycle 2024
$2.5M
$48.0K
$2.5M
$103.7K
Cycle 2026
$1.6M
$764.0K
$904.4K
$60.3K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Endorsements