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Which Party wins the 2026 Texas District 28 US House Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 6:59am GMT+2, in 172 daysLast updated: May 19, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC

TX-28 House winner?

$20.1K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

71.0%

R. Party

33.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$20.1K

24h volume

D. Party71%

R. Party33%

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source: Kalshi

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May

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Texas 2026 primary runoff, if required

November

TUE 3

Texas 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Republican Party

8%24H33%

Republican Party's odds in "TX-28 House winner?" are now 33%, above the prior high of 25.5%.

11d

News

AINews Summary

Texas will use its mid-decade congressional map in 2026, and that map is expected to help Republicans in House races, including TX-28. At the same time, Trump’s approval has slipped among Hispanic voters, which could matter in Texas. Cuellar has already secured the Democratic nomination and will face Republican nominee Tano Tijerina. The Texas map ruling likely improves Republican prospects in TX-28, though the exact effect is uncertain. The Hispanic approval shift could be a modest warning sign for Republicans in the district.

Articles

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat23 days ago

Marin voters get 8-candidate race for congressional seat

Rep. Jared Huffman of San Rafael is seeking an eighth term in a district that was redrawn to include Modoc, Shasta and Siskiyou counties.

FNFox News3 months ago

Texas border district Dem Cuellar beats back primary challengers

Tano Tijerina wins Republican primary for Texas 28th Congressional District with 74.3% of vote, setting up November race against incumbent Democrat Rep. Henry Cuellar.

NYNew York Post12 days ago

Redistricting after SCOTUS decision could give GOP edge in midterms

Redistricting across the US has turned into all-out war between the Democrats and Republicans ahead of the 2026 midterm elections in November — but the GOP is potentially poised to flip more than a dozen seats.

UNUPI News21 days ago

Supreme Court clears Texas to use new, GOP

U.S. Supreme Court on Monday cleared Texas to use its rare mid-decade congressional map, hading a victory to the Trump administration ahead of midterms.

NNewsweek4 days ago

Trump’s Approval Rating Plunges With Hispanics He Won in 2024-Poll

Republicans risk losing support among Hispanic voters who shifted toward Trump in the 2026 midterm elections.

PTPittsburgh Tribune-Review15 days ago

Redistricting war accelerates winner-take-all political combat that’s straining American democracy

Willie Simon stood outside the Memphis motel where Rev. Martin Luther King, Jr. was assassinated in 1968, now a museum dedicated to the Civil Rights Movement. Days after the U.S. Supreme Court gutted a key provision of the Voting Rights Act, Simon feared what the decision would mean not just

WWTOP15 days ago

all political combat that’s straining American democracy

Willie Simon stood outside the Memphis motel where Rev. Martin Luther King, Jr. was assassinated in 1968, now a museum dedicated to the Civil Rights Movement.

NVNorfolk Virginian-Pilot22 days ago

Newly proposed Florida congressional map eliminates 4 Democratic-leaning districts

The new map follows the demands of President Trump who wanted GOP-led states to help make sure Republicans retain a majority in the U.S. House.

TNThe New Yorker24 hours ago

Can Hakeem Jeffries Lead a Democratic Takeover of the House?

An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.

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Which Party wins the 2026 Texas District 28 US House Election?

TX-28 House winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Republican Party

News

Marin voters get 8-candidate race for congressional seat

Texas border district Dem Cuellar beats back primary challengers

Redistricting after SCOTUS decision could give GOP edge in midterms

Supreme Court clears Texas to use new, GOP

Trump’s Approval Rating Plunges With Hispanics He Won in 2024-Poll

Redistricting war accelerates winner-take-all political combat that’s straining American democracy

all political combat that’s straining American democracy

Newly proposed Florida congressional map eliminates 4 Democratic-leaning districts

Can Hakeem Jeffries Lead a Democratic Takeover of the House?

Related races

Texas Republican Senate nominee?

Texas Senate winner?

TX-33 Democratic nominee?

Texas Republican Attorney General nominee?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Republican Party

News

Marin voters get 8-candidate race for congressional seat

Texas border district Dem Cuellar beats back primary challengers

Redistricting after SCOTUS decision could give GOP edge in midterms

Supreme Court clears Texas to use new, GOP

Trump’s Approval Rating Plunges With Hispanics He Won in 2024-Poll

Redistricting war accelerates winner-take-all political combat that’s straining American democracy

all political combat that’s straining American democracy

Newly proposed Florida congressional map eliminates 4 Democratic-leaning districts

Can Hakeem Jeffries Lead a Democratic Takeover of the House?

Related races

Texas Republican Senate nominee?

Texas Senate winner?

TX-33 Democratic nominee?

Texas Republican Attorney General nominee?