$191.1K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 5:58 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 41.5% | $1.62M | |
| 11% | 40.0% | $937.2K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Henry Cuellar has secured the Democratic nomination in Texas’s 28th District and will face Republican Tano Tijerina in the general election. A new poll also shows Democrats leading Latino registered voters in competitive Texas House districts, including TX-28. That points to a somewhat better environment for Democrats, though the race is still open. Cuellar’s primary win clarifies the Democratic side, while the Latino voter poll may modestly support Democrats. The overall market still depends on the general election matchup and remains uncertain.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jun 21, 2026 and Jul 30, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
H. CuellarHenry CuellarT. TijerinaTano TijerinaSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
