

Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 78% | $1.62M | |
| 22% | $937.2K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Henry Cuellar won the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 28th District and will face Republican nominee Tano Tijerina in November. Separately, Texas will use its mid-decade congressional map in 2026, and that map is expected to add Republican-leaning seats. Cuellar’s primary win clarifies the Democratic side, but the broader Texas map ruling likely improves Republican prospects in the district. That may keep the market tilted toward Republicans, though the exact effect on TX-28 is still uncertain.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jun 21, 2026 and Jun 23, 2026.


Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
H. CuellarHenry Cuellar
T. TijerinaTano TijerinaSource: FEC