TX-32 House winner?
1dJace Yarbrough's odds in "TX-32 House winner?" are above the prior high of 81%.
89%8%
Republican
Jace Yarbrough
Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas
Republican
$20.4K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Jace Yarbrough is trading at 85% to win the TX-32 House winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleAttorney
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican
GenderMale
LocationTexas
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BackgroundAttorney
EducationStanford Law School — J.D.
Notable personal detailsJace R. Yarbrough is a Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas’ 32nd Congressional District. He is a trial litigator and constitutional attorney and has worked at firms including Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan LLP and Baker Botts LLP. He holds a J.D. from Stanford Law School and earned a B.S. in Electrical Engineering and a B.A. in Government from the University of Texas at Austin. He has served as an officer in the U.S. Air Force and continues service in the Air Force Reserve.
SourcesShowHide
fec.govslfirm.comjaceforcongress.comcbsnews.comjohnjayfellows.comdocquery.fec.govthemidtermproject.orgapi.open.fec.govivoterguide.comrepmyblock.orgbluevoterguide.orgballotready.orgelectionstats.votedenton.govtrumpstruth.orgnewtools.cira.state.tx.usen.wikipedia.orgdisrudgarcialaw.comlinkedin.comtexasscorecard.comatr.orgstrongborders.orgyahoo.comclubforgrowthfoundation.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orgdallasexpress.comtheguardian.comtexastribune.orgtcta.orgmarksteger.comassets01.aws.connect.clarityelections.comchron.comfedsoc.orginkl.comfreedomcaucusfund.comgovinfo.govzeta.creativecirclecdn.comthetexan.newsksat.comfacebook.comms.nowadvocate.comnytimes.comwashingtonreporter.newsusatoday.comyoutube.comkeranews.orgziplook.house.govescobar.house.govvotesmart.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports opposing any tax increases and cutting federal spending; has pledged to resist new taxes and promote pro-growth, limited-government economic policies.
Healthcare
Supports reducing federal involvement and mandates in healthcare, emphasizes medical freedom (opposition to vaccine mandates), and says lowering costs requires personal responsibility and market-based fixes. Prioritizes cutting federal spending and opposes expansions that increase government size. These positions align with market-oriented, conservative healthcare approaches rather than support for large public programs.
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Immigration & Border
Supports stronger border enforcement and opposes "open border" policies, emphasizes stopping abuse of the legal immigration system, and aligns with President Trump’s America First border agenda. Advocates policies framed to prevent illegal immigration and protect American wages from perceived exploitation via immigration loopholes.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Jace Yarbrough identifies as pro‑life and supports measures to restrict abortion access, including opposing public funding for abortion travel, cracking down on abortion pill distribution, and advancing pro‑life policies at the local and federal level. His campaign and endorsements emphasize a commitment to “Life” and partnership with pro‑life organizations.
Climate & Energy
Jace Yarbrough supports expanding American energy production and opposes Green New Deal–style policies; his campaign pledge emphasizes backing President Trump’s energy expansion and fighting Green New Deal implementation. He frames Texas as the nation’s energy capital and prioritizes protecting fossil-fuel–related jobs while opposing regulatory policies he says would harm those jobs.
Public Safety & Guns
The candidate identifies as a veteran and proud gun owner and pledges uncompromising support for Second Amendment rights. His campaign highlights endorsements from pro-gun organizations and he has high pro-gun ratings from state gun-rights groups.
Latest Candidate Updates
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026
Jace Yarbrough is running in the crowded Republican primary for Texas' 32nd Congressional District. The seat was redrawn to favor Republicans, and the race is expected to go to a runoff because no candidate is likely to win outright. The broader redistricting push has made the district less competitive and is shaping the contest he is part of.
fec.gov+48
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$612.5K
$459.4K
$306.3K
$153.1K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$612.5K
$86.1K
$526.4K
$35.1K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Polls
- Endorsements