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2026 Texas House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Texas House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

TX-32 House winner?

$20.4K

NOV 3, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated Sep 10, 2026, 3:23 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Funds raised
Jace Yarbrough	85%	$612.5K
Dan Barrios	15%	$96.5K

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 10, 2026, 3:23 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$20.4K

24h volume

$58

J. Yarbrough85%

D. Barrios15%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Texas 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

TX-32 House winner?

Jace Yarbrough's odds in "TX-32 House winner?" are above the prior high of 81%.

89%8%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Recent reporting says Republicans are favored in Texas's newly drawn 32nd District, with Jace Yarbrough highlighted as the GOP candidate to watch. Campaign activity is picking up in Dallas County ahead of early voting and the voter registration deadline. No result or fresh polling was reported, so the market move looks modest. The latest reporting leans toward Republicans in TX-32, which may modestly strengthen the GOP side of the market. The effect is limited because no result or new polling is reported.

Articles

CNCBS News2 days ago

Texas candidates, parties campaign in Dallas on Labor Day in sprint toward Election Day

With early voting just six weeks away, what are both parties saying about the races ahead — and what's at stake in Texas?

TDThe Dallas Morning News4 months ago

Demcorats Colin Allred, Julie Johnson clash in critical runoff

Once allies, Colin Allred and Julie Johnson are working community events, gyms and taquerias in a battle for a safe Democratic seat in Congress.

AOArkansas Online17 days ago

The simple truth: Donald Trump doesn’t care if GOP loses

It is frustrating to come across electoral analysts talking about the midterm elections using the kinds of traditional concepts and theories I spent a career teaching, but which have now, in the age of Donald Trump, become increasingly irrelevant.

NNewsBreak4 months ago

Crockett scores proxy win over Talarico in House race

Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-Texas) scored a proxy win in Tuesday’s Texas primary runoffs over state Rep. James Talarico, who beat her out in the initial Democ

AABC17News.com4 months ago

John Cornyn makes his last stand against Ken Paxton, and other things to watch in Tuesday’s Texas runoffs

By Patrick Svitek, CNN (CNN) — Republican Sen. John Cornyn’s uphill battle for renomination from his party reaches its conclusion Tuesday as voters head to the polls in the Texas primary runoffs. Cornyn’s race against state Attorney General Ken Paxton was considered highly competitive until a week ago, when President Donald Trump abruptly backed Paxton

CNCable News Network4 months ago

The Cornyn-Paxton matchup’s conclusions and other Texas races to watch Tuesday

Republican Sen. John Cornyn’s uphill battle for renomination from his party reaches its conclusion Tuesday as voters head to the polls in the Texas primary runoffs.

CNCable News Network16 days ago

Republican’s blame-Biden strategy keeps coming up against a problem: Trump

The Republican Party’s response to questions about the continued economic pain ahead of the 2026 midterm elections is now essentially: A noun, a verb and “Joe Biden.”

F4FOX 4 News1 month ago

Democrats set sights on open Texas border district in expansion of midterm targets

On Wednesday, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee added 12 new districts to their “Districts in Play," a group of Republican-held or open seats in the House of Representatives that they feel are prime for a Democratic takeover.

ADAnchorage Daily News6 months ago

Early primaries in Texas and North Carolina show incumbents are on shaky ground in midterms

The first round of primary elections is showing how this year’s midterms will be taking place on shifting political ground for incumbents.

CCNBC6 months ago

Texas Reps. Menefee, Green advance to runoff as first midterm primaries show incumbents on shaky ground

Democratic Rep. Al Green and newly elected Rep. Christian Menefee will compete in the May 26 runoff for a Houston-area district.

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jun 30, 2026

$1M

$750K

$500K

$250K

J. Yarbrough

D. Barrios

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

J. YarbroughJace Yarbrough

$612.5KContrib: $405.5K

$86.1KSpent: $526.4K

$35.1KLast period: $186.9K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

D. BarriosDan Barrios

$96.5KContrib: $87.7K

$6.0KSpent: $90.5K

$5.0KLast period: $23.0K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls
Endorsements

2026 Texas House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

TX-32 House winner?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

TX-32 House winner?

Latest Election News

Texas candidates, parties campaign in Dallas on Labor Day in sprint toward Election Day

Demcorats Colin Allred, Julie Johnson clash in critical runoff

The simple truth: Donald Trump doesn’t care if GOP loses

Crockett scores proxy win over Talarico in House race

John Cornyn makes his last stand against Ken Paxton, and other things to watch in Tuesday’s Texas runoffs

The Cornyn-Paxton matchup’s conclusions and other Texas races to watch Tuesday

Republican’s blame-Biden strategy keeps coming up against a problem: Trump

Democrats set sights on open Texas border district in expansion of midterm targets

Early primaries in Texas and North Carolina show incumbents are on shaky ground in midterms

Texas Reps. Menefee, Green advance to runoff as first midterm primaries show incumbents on shaky ground

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Texas Senate winner?

TX-15 House winner?

Texas Governor winner?

TX-28 House winner?

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

TX-32 House winner?

Latest Election News

Texas candidates, parties campaign in Dallas on Labor Day in sprint toward Election Day

Demcorats Colin Allred, Julie Johnson clash in critical runoff

The simple truth: Donald Trump doesn’t care if GOP loses

Crockett scores proxy win over Talarico in House race

John Cornyn makes his last stand against Ken Paxton, and other things to watch in Tuesday’s Texas runoffs

The Cornyn-Paxton matchup’s conclusions and other Texas races to watch Tuesday

Republican’s blame-Biden strategy keeps coming up against a problem: Trump

Democrats set sights on open Texas border district in expansion of midterm targets

Early primaries in Texas and North Carolina show incumbents are on shaky ground in midterms

Texas Reps. Menefee, Green advance to runoff as first midterm primaries show incumbents on shaky ground

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Texas Senate winner?

TX-15 House winner?

Texas Governor winner?

TX-28 House winner?