$9.3K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$9.3K
24h volume
$30
source: Kalshi
The biggest new item is that Louisiana’s U.S. House races were postponed, so those votes will not count. More broadly, recent reporting says redistricting is making House races less competitive, and Texas Republicans already redrew maps to target Democrats. That suggests a tougher environment for Democrats in House contests like Texas’s 32nd. The Louisiana House postponement does not directly affect this Texas race, but the broader redistricting trend points toward fewer competitive House seats. That likely reinforces a Republican-leaning baseline, though the effect here is indirect.
The first round of primary elections is showing how this year’s midterms will be taking place on shifting political ground for incumbents.
Louisiana voters will participate in a revamped and stripped-down state primary Saturday and decide the political fate of an embattled Republican U.S. senator targeted for defeat by President Donald Trump.
Democratic Rep. Al Green and newly elected Rep. Christian Menefee will compete in the May 26 runoff for a Houston-area district.
WASHINGTON (AP) — Louisiana voters will participate in a revamped and stripped-down state primary Saturday and decide the political fate of an embattled Republican U.S. senator targeted for defeat by President Donald Trump.
President Trump’s push to redraw the nation’s U.S. House districts received mixed results Tuesday as South Carolina senators defied his desires, but Missouri’s top court upheld a new map.
The lack of competitive races means that control of the House of Representatives will likely be determined in November's midterm election by fewer than 10% of Americans, with the winners in most districts all but assured before a single ballot is cast.
California's GDP was up 2.4% for 2025 and topped the 2% expansion of the national economy.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
