Prediction Edge
Democrat
Jake Johnson

Jake Johnson

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Minnesota

Live Odds — MN-01 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

31%chance to win

$72.3KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleCandidate

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

GenderMale

LocationMinnesota

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Notable personal detailsJake Johnson is a Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District (MN-01) in the 2026 election cycle. His campaign has promoted a district-wide series of public town halls across the district's 21 counties. In early 2026, a Public Policy Polling survey memo released by his campaign described the race as competitive against incumbent Rep. Brad Finstad.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Jake Johnson supports tax cuts for working families and small businesses, financed by higher taxes and closing loopholes for the super wealthy. He also emphasizes lowering costs through ending tariffs, challenging corporate monopolies, and making targeted public investments in small towns.

Healthcare

Jake Johnson supports extending Affordable Care Act subsidies to lower health insurance costs and has criticized cuts that would raise premiums for Minnesota families. He says protecting Medicaid and rural healthcare is a central priority and wants to keep rural hospitals open and care close to home.

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Immigration & Border

Publicly visible material shows opposition to Operation Metro Surge and support for immigrant populations in Minnesota, but it does not provide a detailed border or immigration plan. The available evidence does not clearly establish a firm enforcement-first or expansive-immigration position.

Climate & Energy

Jake Johnson’s campaign platform includes investing in clean water and agricultural innovation that creates new jobs in Minnesota. His campaign also highlighted an endorsement from the League of Conservation Voters, an organization focused on lowering energy costs and building a clean energy economy.

Public Safety & Guns

Jake Johnson has publicly documented pro-gun-rights signals, including a 92% NRA rating and an NRA endorsement. He also co-sponsored legislation establishing a lifetime concealed carry permit. The available evidence points to support for expanded gun rights rather than new firearm restrictions.

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Ragnar Research Partners
50%40%30%20%10%0%
42%
Jake Johnson
J. Johnson
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Ragnar Research PartnersMar 14, 2026
42.0%
Public Policy PollingFeb 3, 2026
41.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.0M
$1.5M
$1.0M
$500.1K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$2.0M
$1.0M
$989.0K
$52.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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