NC-11 House winner?
2dJamie Ager's odds reached 72%, topping the previous high of 59%.

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in North Carolina

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Jamie Ager is trading at 69% to win the NC-11 House winner? on prediction markets.
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleFarmer
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyModerate Democrat
GenderMale
LocationNorth Carolina
BackgroundFarmer
EducationWarren Wilson College (1996–2000)
Notable personal detailsJames "Jamie" Ager is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in North Carolina’s 11th Congressional District. He is a Western North Carolina farmer and business owner, and has been described as a fourth-generation farmer. He is the co-founder of Hickory Nut Gap Farm and has served as CEO of Hickory Nut Gap. He attended Warren Wilson College and also completed North Carolina State University’s Agricultural Leadership Development Program.
Supports reforming the tax code so high-income earners pay their fair share, expanding tax credits for families (including child tax credit and energy-saving tax credits), and eliminating taxes on real tips; favors strengthening social programs like Medicaid and Medicare and using targeted federal spending to help working families and small businesses.
Supports strengthening and defending Medicare and Medicaid, expanding Medicare benefits (including home- and community-based care plus dental and vision), allowing Medicare to negotiate drug prices and capping insulin and other essentials, expanding mental-health services, and creating a public option to increase access and affordability.
Supports comprehensive immigration reform that is clear, fair, and realistic; favors reforms that treat people with dignity, provide businesses with needed workforce, and keep communities safe.
Jamie Ager has described himself as “pro-choice and pro-family,” expressing support for abortion access while emphasizing policies that support families after children are born. His campaign platform does not present detailed federal abortion policy proposals or limits.
Supports protecting public lands and conservation easements, advancing conservation and regenerative agriculture, and investing in preparedness and resilience for climate-related disasters. Positions emphasize moderate climate action and stewardship of natural resources rather than explicit calls to phase out fossil fuels or endorse Green New Deal–style measures.
Jamie Ager has not published detailed policy prescriptions on guns on his campaign site; he says he will not push hard on Second Amendment issues while emphasizing mental-health supports and stronger funding/training for law enforcement and first responders. Media coverage characterizes his tone on guns as cautious and moderate rather than advocating sweeping gun-restriction legislation.
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Jamie Ager's odds reached 72%, topping the previous high of 59%.
Jamie Ager has been nominated as the Democratic candidate in North Carolina’s 11th Congressional District and is now set for the general election. The race has shifted after Republicans replaced Chuck Edwards with Jennifer Balkcom on the ballot following Edwards’ withdrawal amid ethics and conduct scrutiny. Ager has also been campaigning in a district described as increasingly competitive, with national Democrats and other prominent figures backing his bid.
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2026
LatestCycle 2026
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.