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Which Party wins the 2026 North Carolina District 11 US House Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 6:59am GMT+2, in 172 daysLast updated: May 19, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC

NC-11 House winner?

$13.3K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

58.0%

R. Party

45.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$13.3K

24h volume

$251

D. Party58%

R. Party45%

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source: Kalshi

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November

TUE 3

North Carolina 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Republican Party

30%24H38%

Republican Party's odds are now 38%, past the previous low of 68%.

18d

Republican Party

8%24H60%

Republican Party's odds fell to 59.5%, below the prior low of 67.5% over the last 60 days.

22d

Democratic Party

6%24H41%

The Democratic Party’s odds in "NC-11 House winner?" are now 41%, above the previous high of 35%.

22d

News

AINews Summary

North Carolina’s new congressional map is the biggest development and could flip one Democratic House seat in 2026. A recent Supreme Court ruling is also being cited as helping Republicans in redistricting battles. The reported map would give Republicans 11 of the state’s 14 House seats. The new map appears to improve Republican odds in this district and adds uncertainty for Democrats. Market sentiment likely shifts toward the GOP, though legal fights could still change the picture.

Articles

TAThe Associated Press2 months ago

North Carolina Senate race pits Trump's pick vs. Democrat with a win streak

North Carolina Democrats have had success in winning elections for governor. It's a different story in Senate races.

SIStaten Island Advance2 months ago

‘Cooked!’ MAGA can’t stop laughing at this Trump critic’s devastating loss

He will face the winner of a Republican runoff in May.

IBInternational Business Times3 months ago

Texas Senate Primary 2026: Cornyn and Paxton Head to Runoff, Talarico Wins Democratic Nod in High-Stakes Races

AUSTIN, Texas — Incumbent U.S. Sen. John Cornyn narrowly edged Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate on March 3, 2026, setting up a bruising May 26 runoff, while

NNPR3 months ago

5 takeaways from the first primaries of the 2026 midterms

Voters headed to the polls Tuesday in the first primaries of the midterm election season. The latest results from Arkansas, North Carolina and Texas.

BBenzinga3 months ago

Texas Democratic Primary Too Close To Call As Voter Confusion Sparks Lawsuit Threat; Republicans Headed To A Runoff

Midterm primary election voting closes, with closely contested races in Texas for both Democrats and Republicans front.

TNThe New York Times3 months ago

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley Advance in North Carolina Senate Race

North Carolina has broken national Democrats’ hearts for nearly two decades, but this time they hope that Roy Cooper, the former governor, can once again find a path to victory.

NYNew York Post12 days ago

Redistricting after SCOTUS decision could give GOP edge in midterms

Redistricting across the US has turned into all-out war between the Democrats and Republicans ahead of the 2026 midterm elections in November — but the GOP is potentially poised to flip more than a dozen seats.

CNCBS News20 days ago

Supreme Court strikes down Louisiana congressional map, narrowing Voting Rights Act

The Supreme Court rule 6-3 in a decision that has implications for the scope of the landmark Voting Rights Act.

ACAsheville Citizen-Times2 months ago

Roy Cooper Senate campaign brings 'make stuff cost less' to Asheville

Roy Cooper visited Asheville March 18 as part of his U.S. Senate campaign, pushing a new slogan: "Make stuff cost less."

NNewsweek2 months ago

Republicans Get Early Midterm Warning as Democratic Turnout Surges

Democratic turnout surged in early primaries, a concerning sign for Republicans, experts told Newsweek.

Polls

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

45%

44%

J. Ager

C. Edwards

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Ager	Edwards
Polling Average	Ager+1.0	45.0%	44.0%
Impact ResearchDec 15 - 17	Ager+1.0	45.0%	44.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Which Party wins the 2026 North Carolina District 11 US House Election?

NC-11 House winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Republican Party

Republican Party

Democratic Party

News

North Carolina Senate race pits Trump's pick vs. Democrat with a win streak

‘Cooked!’ MAGA can’t stop laughing at this Trump critic’s devastating loss

Texas Senate Primary 2026: Cornyn and Paxton Head to Runoff, Talarico Wins Democratic Nod in High-Stakes Races

5 takeaways from the first primaries of the 2026 midterms

Texas Democratic Primary Too Close To Call As Voter Confusion Sparks Lawsuit Threat; Republicans Headed To A Runoff

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley Advance in North Carolina Senate Race

Redistricting after SCOTUS decision could give GOP edge in midterms

Supreme Court strikes down Louisiana congressional map, narrowing Voting Rights Act

Roy Cooper Senate campaign brings 'make stuff cost less' to Asheville

Republicans Get Early Midterm Warning as Democratic Turnout Surges

Polls

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North Carolina Senate winner?

NC-01 House winner?

NC-02 House winner?

NC-06 House winner?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Republican Party

Republican Party

Democratic Party

News

North Carolina Senate race pits Trump's pick vs. Democrat with a win streak

‘Cooked!’ MAGA can’t stop laughing at this Trump critic’s devastating loss

Texas Senate Primary 2026: Cornyn and Paxton Head to Runoff, Talarico Wins Democratic Nod in High-Stakes Races

5 takeaways from the first primaries of the 2026 midterms

Texas Democratic Primary Too Close To Call As Voter Confusion Sparks Lawsuit Threat; Republicans Headed To A Runoff

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley Advance in North Carolina Senate Race

Redistricting after SCOTUS decision could give GOP edge in midterms

Supreme Court strikes down Louisiana congressional map, narrowing Voting Rights Act

Roy Cooper Senate campaign brings 'make stuff cost less' to Asheville

Republicans Get Early Midterm Warning as Democratic Turnout Surges

Polls

Related races

North Carolina Senate winner?

NC-01 House winner?

NC-02 House winner?

NC-06 House winner?