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2026 North Carolina House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 North Carolina House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

NC-11 House winner?

$29.9K

NOV 3, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

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OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 17, 2026, 6:53 PM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$29.9K

24h volume

$3.2K

J. Ager68%

J. Balkcom28%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Election Day

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

NC-11 House winner?

14h

Jamie Ager's odds reached 72%, topping the previous high of 59%.

72%13%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

North Carolina’s new congressional map could flip one Democratic House seat, which is the biggest district-specific development in the latest updates. Broader House analysis shows some movement toward Democrats, but Republicans still have a slight overall edge. The new North Carolina map likely improves Republican odds in this district. Broader House trends are mixed, so the seat-specific effect may matter more than the national shift.

Articles

FNFox News6 days ago

North Carolina state lawmaker tapped after US Rep Chuck Edwards drops bid

North Carolina state Rep. Jennifer Balkcom has been selected as the Republican nominee for U.S. House in the state's 11th Congressional District.

NNNBC News7 days ago

North Carolina GOP committee picks Jennifer Balkcom to replace Rep. Chuck Edwards on November ballot

Edwards dropped his re-election bid after the House Ethics Committee recommended he be censured over sexual harassment allegations. He has denied any wrongdoing.

NYNew York Magazine12 days ago

GOP Congressman Ends Campaign After Disturbing Allegations

After a House Ethics Committee investigation detailed his creepy behavior toward two young female staffers, North Carolina congressman Chuck Edwards is abandoning his reelection bid.

TAThe Associated Press5 months ago

North Carolina Senate race pits Trump's pick vs. Democrat with a win streak

North Carolina Democrats have had success in winning elections for governor. It's a different story in Senate races.

SIStaten Island Advance6 months ago

‘Cooked!’ MAGA can’t stop laughing at this Trump critic’s devastating loss

He will face the winner of a Republican runoff in May.

IBInternational Business Times6 months ago

Texas Senate Primary 2026: Cornyn and Paxton Head to Runoff, Talarico Wins Democratic Nod in High-Stakes Races

AUSTIN, Texas — Incumbent U.S. Sen. John Cornyn narrowly edged Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate on March 3, 2026, setting up a bruising May 26 runoff, while

NNPR6 months ago

5 takeaways from the first primaries of the 2026 midterms

Voters headed to the polls Tuesday in the first primaries of the midterm election season. The latest results from Arkansas, North Carolina and Texas.

BBenzinga6 months ago

Texas Democratic Primary Too Close To Call As Voter Confusion Sparks Lawsuit Threat; Republicans Headed To A Runoff

Midterm primary election voting closes, with closely contested races in Texas for both Democrats and Republicans front.

TNThe New York Times6 months ago

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley Advance in North Carolina Senate Race

North Carolina has broken national Democrats’ hearts for nearly two decades, but this time they hope that Roy Cooper, the former governor, can once again find a path to victory.

TNThe New York Times12 days ago

Scandal Leaves North Carolina G.O.P. With No Candidate and Little Time

Representative Chuck Edwards’s decision to drop his re-election bid amid sexual harassment charges came as a Democratic farmer, Jamie Ager, was already making inroads.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Dec 15, 2025 and Dec 17, 2025.

Impact Research

50%40%30%20%10%0%

45%

J. Ager

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Ager
Impact ResearchDec 15 - 17	–	45.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Candidate Endorsements

Jamie Ager14

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jun 30, 2026

$5M

$3.8M

$2.5M

$1.3M

J. Ager

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

J. AgerJamie Ager

$3.05MContrib: $3.03M

$2.18MSpent: $867.6K

$48.2KLast period: $1.32M

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

Source: FEC

2026 North Carolina House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

NC-11 House winner?

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

NC-11 House winner?

Latest Election News

North Carolina state lawmaker tapped after US Rep Chuck Edwards drops bid

North Carolina GOP committee picks Jennifer Balkcom to replace Rep. Chuck Edwards on November ballot

GOP Congressman Ends Campaign After Disturbing Allegations

North Carolina Senate race pits Trump's pick vs. Democrat with a win streak

‘Cooked!’ MAGA can’t stop laughing at this Trump critic’s devastating loss

Texas Senate Primary 2026: Cornyn and Paxton Head to Runoff, Talarico Wins Democratic Nod in High-Stakes Races

5 takeaways from the first primaries of the 2026 midterms

Texas Democratic Primary Too Close To Call As Voter Confusion Sparks Lawsuit Threat; Republicans Headed To A Runoff

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley Advance in North Carolina Senate Race

Scandal Leaves North Carolina G.O.P. With No Candidate and Little Time

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

North Carolina Senate winner?

NC-01 House winner?

North Carolina Senate winner? (2028)

NC-09 House winner?

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

NC-11 House winner?

Latest Election News

North Carolina state lawmaker tapped after US Rep Chuck Edwards drops bid

North Carolina GOP committee picks Jennifer Balkcom to replace Rep. Chuck Edwards on November ballot

GOP Congressman Ends Campaign After Disturbing Allegations

North Carolina Senate race pits Trump's pick vs. Democrat with a win streak

‘Cooked!’ MAGA can’t stop laughing at this Trump critic’s devastating loss

Texas Senate Primary 2026: Cornyn and Paxton Head to Runoff, Talarico Wins Democratic Nod in High-Stakes Races

5 takeaways from the first primaries of the 2026 midterms

Texas Democratic Primary Too Close To Call As Voter Confusion Sparks Lawsuit Threat; Republicans Headed To A Runoff

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley Advance in North Carolina Senate Race

Scandal Leaves North Carolina G.O.P. With No Candidate and Little Time

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

North Carolina Senate winner?

NC-01 House winner?

North Carolina Senate winner? (2028)

NC-09 House winner?