Prediction Edge
High Impact1d
Jerry Demings

Jerry Demings

7%4%

Demings has exited the Democratic primary after a prostate cancer diagnosis, which should materially reprice the nominee market by removing a major contender.

Democrat
Jerry Demings

Jerry Demings

Latest Insights

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

1dHigh Impact

Demings has exited the Democratic primary after a prostate cancer diagnosis, which should materially reprice the nominee market by removing a major contender.

4%7%

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

21h

Demings suspended his campaign, leaving David Jolly as the dominant remaining Democrat and likely tightening the market around the nominee outcome.

1%

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

13d

Demings’ nominee odds fell sharply intraday to 8.8%, and fresh Florida reporting shows David Jolly still dominating the Democratic field discussion, which reinforces the market’s repricing and makes Demings a weaker current contender to hold.

9%11%

Overview

Current roleMayor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

GenderMale

LocationFlorida

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BackgroundPolitician

EducationJones High School (Orlando, Florida)

Notable personal detailsJerry L. Demings is an American law-enforcement official and politician who has served as the elected Mayor of Orange County, Florida since December 4, 2018, and was reelected in 2022. He previously served as Orange County Sheriff (first elected in 2008 and reelected in 2012 and 2016) and earlier became Orlando’s first African-American police chief in 1998. He has also worked as Orange County’s Director of Public Safety and has been active in statewide law-enforcement leadership, including serving as president of the Florida Sheriffs’ Association.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports using government revenue and targeted tax policies to fund public investments like affordable housing, infrastructure, and veteran hiring incentives while opposing proposals to eliminate property taxes; has advocated for a local 1-cent sales surtax for transportation and proposes state tax credits to encourage veteran employment.

Healthcare

The candidate supports expanding Medicaid to provide affordable coverage for Floridians and plans to hold insurance companies accountable to lower premiums and strengthen hospitals and clinics.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate emphasizes lawful immigration while resisting expanded local enforcement responsibilities for federal immigration actions and has criticized state pressure to adopt broader ICE transport/enforcement measures; he ultimately signed a modified 287(g) addendum under protest citing legal pressure and concerns about staffing and cost reimbursement. His statements indicate support for immigration law enforcement as a federal responsibility and concern for humanitarian/operational impacts at the local level.

Climate & Energy

Supports expanding renewable energy (including solar) and energy storage, modernizing building codes for efficiency, and investments to lower utility costs. Proposes protections for water resources, upgrades to wastewater systems, increased wetlands preservation, and a permanent ban on offshore drilling. Emphasizes clean, affordable in-state energy production and holding polluters accountable to reduce harmful runoff and algal blooms.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded gun “guardrails,” including universal background checks and limits on open carry, and has pursued local efforts to reduce gun violence such as creating a community safety task force and funding youth violence-prevention programs.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 6, 2026

Jerry Demings has ended his campaign for Florida governor after saying he is being treated for prostate cancer. His exit leaves David Jolly as the leading Democrat in the race against likely Republican nominee Byron Donalds. Before dropping out, Demings was polling slightly behind Jolly, and both Democrats were still trailing Donalds by single digits.

orangecountyfl.net+46

Polls

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
20.2%
27.7%
Jerry Demings
J. Demings
David Jolly
D. Jolly
Date (Start - End)SpreadDemingsJolly
Polling Average
Jolly+7.5
20.2%27.7%
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16
Jolly+15.0
27.0%42.0%
Emerson CollegeMar 29 - 31
Jolly+10.6
10.1%20.7%
Targoz Market ResearchFeb 13 - 16
Jolly+8.0
23.0%31.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyJan 8 - 13
Jolly+4.0
19.0%23.0%
Public Policy PollingDec 2 - 3
Jolly+0.0
22.0%22.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising