Prediction Edge
Democrat
Jerry Demings

Jerry Demings

Democratic candidate for Governor in Florida

Live Odds — Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$57.5KAUG 25, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleMayor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age67 years old (Jun 12, 1959)

GenderMale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundPolitician

EducationFlorida State University — B.S., Finance

Notable personal detailsJerry L. Demings is an American politician and former law-enforcement officer who has served as the elected Mayor of Orange County, Florida, since December 4, 2018. He previously served as Sheriff of Orange County (2009–2018) and as Chief of the Orlando Police Department (1998–2002). He earned a B.S. in finance from Florida State University and an M.B.A. from Orlando College, and he is married to former U.S. Representative Val Demings.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports using government revenue and targeted tax policies to fund public investments like affordable housing, infrastructure, and veteran hiring incentives while opposing proposals to eliminate property taxes; has advocated for a local 1-cent sales surtax for transportation and proposes state tax credits to encourage veteran employment.

Healthcare

The candidate supports expanding Medicaid to provide affordable coverage for Floridians and plans to hold insurance companies accountable to lower premiums and strengthen hospitals and clinics.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate emphasizes lawful immigration while resisting expanded local enforcement responsibilities for federal immigration actions and has criticized state pressure to adopt broader ICE transport/enforcement measures; he ultimately signed a modified 287(g) addendum under protest citing legal pressure and concerns about staffing and cost reimbursement. His statements indicate support for immigration law enforcement as a federal responsibility and concern for humanitarian/operational impacts at the local level.

Climate & Energy

Supports expanding renewable energy (including solar) and energy storage, modernizing building codes for efficiency, and investments to lower utility costs. Proposes protections for water resources, upgrades to wastewater systems, increased wetlands preservation, and a permanent ban on offshore drilling. Emphasizes clean, affordable in-state energy production and holding polluters accountable to reduce harmful runoff and algal blooms.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded gun “guardrails,” including universal background checks and limits on open carry, and has pursued local efforts to reduce gun violence such as creating a community safety task force and funding youth violence-prevention programs.

Latest Candidate Updates

Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

5d

Jerry Demings has raised $81,084,464 this cycle, but David Jolly leads the latest odds for the Florida Democratic Governor nominee race.

0%

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 17, 2026

Jerry Demings ended his campaign for Florida governor after saying he is being treated for prostate cancer. His exit left David Jolly as the leading Democrat in the race, with recent coverage shifting to the general-election matchup against likely Republican nominee Byron Donalds. Earlier reports had shown Demings and Jolly competing for the Democratic nomination, with Jolly holding a slight edge in some polls.

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Latest Polls

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Jerry Demings currently averages 21.5%, ranking second in this race, 8.1 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 21.5%Position: secondMargin: -8.1 ptsLatest poll: 27.0% (May 13 - 16)Polls included: 6

Average recalculated from polls through May 13 - 16.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
21.5%
29.6%
Jerry Demings
J. Demings
David Jolly
D. Jolly
Date (Start - End)SpreadDemingsJolly
Polling Average
Jolly+8.1
21.5%29.6%
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16
Jolly+15.0
27.0%42.0%
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16
Jolly+11.0
28.0%39.0%
Emerson CollegeMar 29 - 31
Jolly+10.6
10.1%20.7%
Targoz Market ResearchFeb 13 - 16
Jolly+8.0
23.0%31.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyJan 8 - 13
Jolly+4.0
19.0%23.0%
Public Policy PollingDec 2 - 3
Jolly+0.0
22.0%22.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

13
Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2022

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$81.1M
$60.8M
$40.5M
$20.3M
$0

2022

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$81.1M
$332.9K
$81.5M
$3.4M

Source: FEC