Prediction Edge

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

PA-02 House winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Jessica Arriaga

    Will Republican win the House race for PA-02?

    Selected market

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:06 AM UTC

Republican
Jessica Arriaga

Jessica Arriaga

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Pennsylvania

Saved odds — PA-02 House winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

2.8%chance to win

$294.84NOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleHealthcare professional

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderFemale

LocationPennsylvania

Show more

BackgroundHealthcare professional

Notable personal detailsJessica Arriaga is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Pennsylvania’s 2nd Congressional District (PA-02) in the 2026 cycle. She has described herself as a mother and a healthcare professional, with more than 20 years of operating-room experience, and says she was born and raised in North Philadelphia. She has an authorized principal campaign committee registered with the FEC.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Jessica Arriaga’s campaign priorities include curbing government spending and cutting taxes. Her published policy profile also calls for lower taxes on individuals and businesses, tax relief and incentives for small business growth, and responsible city spending and budgeting.

Healthcare

Jessica Arriaga says she will work to expand access to affordable care, reduce costs, and increase transparency so families understand what they are paying for. She also supports strengthening preventative care and cutting bureaucratic barriers that delay treatment.

Show more

Public Safety & Guns

Jessica Arriaga’s public safety platform emphasizes fully funding and equipping police, firefighters, and EMS, expanding community policing, and supporting violence interruption and neighborhood-led safety efforts. On guns, the documented position focuses on tougher penalties for gun trafficking and organized crime, targeting repeat violent offenders, and reducing illegal gun activity.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Jessica Arriaga is being mentioned in coverage of competitive 2026 election races, but the provided summaries do not give any direct details about her own campaign activity or results. The news mainly focuses on other Democratic candidates, especially Paige Cognetti in Pennsylvania House races and broader party tensions in Senate contests. Based on the available information, her recent news presence appears limited and unclear.

fec.gov+37

Not available in this saved edition

These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising