Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Democratic or unrated
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Pennsylvania House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
PA-02 House winner?
$294.84
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $2.45M | |
| 3% | — |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$295
24h volume
$58
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Pennsylvania 2nd District · US House
Safe or unratedSafe Democratic or unratedDistrict context
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: Brendan F. Boyle (D)
Election Rules
Primary May 19, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
The biggest new development is a House Majority PAC poll showing Democrat Paige Cognetti narrowly ahead in Pennsylvania’s 8th District. The broader takeaway is that Democrats are showing some strength in competitive Republican-held House seats, though the news is not about PA-02 directly. The polling suggests Democrats may be gaining ground in nearby competitive House races, which could modestly improve Democratic sentiment. But the effect on PA-02 itself is indirect and remains uncertain.
Articles
NYNew York Post6 days ago
The Post's endorsements for NY's House races
The New York Post endorses Republican candidates for NY House races, including Reps. Mike Lawler, Nicole Malliotakis, and Nick LaLota.
NNNBC News5 months ago
Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
CNCable News Network7 days ago
How to tell if Democrats are heading for a wave election in the House
House Democrats appear to be flirting with one of the biggest popular vote wins in decades. Follow these races on election night to know how well Democrats are doing.
TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer8 days ago
The Inquirer’s 2026 General Election Endorsement Guide
The Editorial Board vetted candidates in key races to help you decide.
WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit19 days ago
The Latest: AP-NORC poll: Strong majority of voters believes Trump is failing at home and abroad
A strong majority of voters believes President Donald Trump is falling short at home and abroad, and they want major change in the upcoming midterm elections, according to a new AP-NORC poll that raises serious warning signs for the Republican Party as voters turn out for the Nov. 3 elections.
NNewsweek3 months ago
10 Seats Democrats Could Flip in 2026-And What Polls Say
Newsweek analyzed polling, election data and insights from Republican and Democratic strategists to rank key House battlegrounds.
Ccleveland.com4 months ago
Ohio’s new hands-on attorney general outlines his priorities
Andy Wilson, Ohio's attorney general for the next six months, is already joining drug raids in person and pushing new efforts targeting romance scams, Medicaid fraud and police training.
TDThe Daily Beast4 months ago
Trump Hit With Ominous Midterm Warnings in Deep Red Areas
Democrats are within striking distance in districts the president won by double digits.
SSFGATE5 months ago
Tuesday takeaways: Platner's big night, Clyburn carries on and Trump's support gets mixed results
Nevada, South Carolina and North Dakota hosted primary elections Tuesday, but much of the political world was focused on Maine’s high-stakes U.S. Senate contest. The results were never in question....
PTPittsburgh Tribune-Review5 months ago
As Shapiro, Garrity set to face off for governor, here are 7 hurdles that could shape race
The campaign for governor is poised to kick into high gear now that the top of the ticket for Pennsylvania’s general election is set. Gov. Josh Shapiro, a Democrat from Montgomery County, and his running mate, Lt. Gov. Austin Davis of West Mifflin, are facing Republican Stacy Garrity, the state’s
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026$10M
$7.5M
$5M
$2.5M
$0
B. Boyle
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
B. BoyleBrendan Boyle$2.45MContrib: $1.47M
$5.56MSpent: $729.7K
$40.5KLast period: $233.9K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Source: FEC
Related Races
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
PA-02 House winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-02?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:06 AM UTC
Will Republican win the House race for PA-02?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:06 AM UTC