Prediction Edge
Democrat
JoAnna Mendoza

JoAnna Mendoza

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Arizona

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

JoAnna Mendoza is trading at 79% to win the AZ-06 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Marine (retired)

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

GenderFemale

LocationArizona

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BackgroundU.S. Marine (retired)

Notable personal detailsJoAnna Mendoza is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in Arizona’s 6th Congressional District. She is a retired U.S. Marine and U.S. Navy veteran who served about 20 years in the military, including deployments to Iraq and Afghanistan, and later worked advocating for veterans navigating benefits and transition services. She is a mother and has described herself publicly as a lifelong public servant from Pinal County, Arizona.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports modernizing the tax code to close corporate loopholes and use recovered revenue to fund public education, healthcare, infrastructure, and other programs; criticizes budgets that give tax breaks to the wealthy while cutting social programs. Advocates taxing corporations and wealthy beneficiaries more fairly to invest in services for working families.

Healthcare

JoAnna Mendoza supports expanding access to affordable healthcare and reducing barriers to coverage. She opposes Medicaid work requirements and emphasizes expanding telehealth, strengthening community hospitals, and addressing physician shortages to improve access. Her campaign frames healthcare expansion as a priority alongside lowering costs for families.

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Immigration & Border

Supports comprehensive immigration reform that balances border security with humane treatment and legal pathways; opposes mass deportation efforts that target community members rather than criminals. Emphasizes securing the border while preserving access to asylum and treating migrants with dignity.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

JoAnna Mendoza supports access to abortion and broader reproductive freedoms, emphasizes protection of contraception access and reproductive healthcare for service members, and has been endorsed by pro‑choice organizations. Her campaign emphasizes defending reproductive freedom as part of expanding access to healthcare.

Climate & Energy

JoAnna Mendoza supports protecting Arizona’s water and natural resources and tackling climate change, and has expressed support for increasing renewable energy (including a stated target of 50% renewables by 2030 in past remarks).

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded gun safety measures while affirming responsible gun ownership. Endorses universal background checks, stronger safe-storage rules, tighter regulation of untraceable “ghost” guns, and increased federal funding for mental-health and community-violence-intervention programs.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 29, 2026

JoAnna Mendoza is in the news because her Arizona 6th Congressional District race remains competitive. A recent report said she did not disclose a brief marriage to a Syrian national in 1998, drawing criticism from Republican-aligned groups. Her campaign says it is a decades-old personal matter and a distraction from the race against Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani. The Arizona primary results also set the stage for the November general election, which could affect the balance of power in the U.S. House.

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Latest Polls

AZ-06 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

JoAnna Mendoza currently averages 45.3%, ranking first in this race, 2.0 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 45.3%Position: firstMargin: +2.0 ptsLatest poll: 47.0% (Jun 8 - 11)Polls included: 3

Average recalculated from polls through Jun 8 - 11.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
45.3%
43.3%
JoAnna Mendoza
J. Mendoza
Juan Ciscomani
J. Ciscomani
Date (Start - End)SpreadMendozaCiscomani
Polling Average
Mendoza+2.0
45.3%43.3%
Normington, Petts & AssociatesJun 8 - 11
Mendoza+2.0
47.0%45.0%
Ragnar Research PartnersMar 12 - 14
Mendoza+3.0
47.0%44.0%
Public Policy PollingOct 14 - 15
Mendoza+1.0
42.0%41.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

AZ-06 House winner?

Endorsers of JoAnna Mendoza for AZ-06 House winner?

Ruben Gallego

Elected official

Senator Ruben Gallego endorsed JoAnna Mendoza.

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Mark Kelly

Elected official

Senator Mark Kelly is listed as an endorser on JoAnna Mendoza's endorsements page.

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Elissa Slotkin

Elected official

Senator Elissa Slotkin is listed as an endorser on JoAnna Mendoza's endorsements page.

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Tom O'Halleran

Public endorsement

Tom O'Halleran endorsed JoAnna Mendoza.

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Gabby Giffords

Political organization

Gabby Giffords is described as an endorser of JoAnna Mendoza on campaign materials.

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Foreign Policy for America

Public endorsement

Foreign Policy for America endorsed JoAnna Mendoza for election to the U.S. Congress representing Arizona's 6th Congressional District.

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Reproductive Freedom for All

Public endorsement

Reproductive Freedom for All endorsed JoAnna Mendoza in Arizona's 6th Congressional District election.

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GIFFORDS PAC

Political organization

GIFFORDS PAC endorsed JoAnna Mendoza for Congress in Arizona's 6th Congressional District.

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Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$7.4M
$5.5M
$3.7M
$1.8M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$7.4M
$3.3M
$4.1M
$215.5K

Source: FEC