$16.7K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 6, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| JoAnna MendozaDemocratic | 85% | 45.3% | $7.35M |
| Juan CiscomaniRepublican | 20% | 43.3% | $6.17M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The main new development is criticism of Democratic candidate JoAnna Mendoza over a brief marriage from 1998, which her campaign calls a distraction. The race remains competitive against Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani. Other Arizona GOP coverage points to party divisions, but it does not show a direct shift in AZ-06. The Mendoza story could modestly help Republicans if it sticks, but the overall effect is unclear. Broader Arizona GOP primary coverage does not directly change the AZ-06 general election outlook.
Ohio Democrats are banking on voters wanting a change from President Donald Trump, unaffordable living and Republican rule in the Buckeye State.
The congressional candidate spoke candidly about the harm done by attacks from fellow Democrats, according to audio obtained by The Arizona Republic.
Rep. Andy Biggs will win the Republican nomination for governor in Arizona, CNN’s Decision Desk projects, setting up a November clash with Democratic incumbent Gov. Katie Hobbs in the battleground state.
By Ronald Brownstein, CNN (CNN) — Fiercely fought primaries on August 4 in Michigan and Missouri will provide the next crucial tests in the debate over American policy toward Israel that has convulsed the Democratic Party this year. Arguments about Israel have marked a sharp dividing line in both the Michigan Senate primary between centrist
By David Wright, Katie Doran, CNN (CNN) — Rep. Andy Biggs will win the Republican nomination for governor in Arizona, CNN’s Decision Desk projects, setting up a November clash with Democratic incumbent Gov. Katie Hobbs in the battleground state. The win for Biggs, a close ally of President Donald Trump who secured his coveted support,
Arizona has traditionally been a red state, and six of its nine House representatives are Republicans.
By David Wright, Tami Luhby, CNN (CNN) — President Donald Trump marked the 250th anniversary of the nation’s founding on July Fourth with a speech touting a roaring stock market, urging election reforms, and hailing military interventions in Venezuela and Iran. But another anniversary went conspicuously unmarked: the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill
A top Democrat House recruit hid a brief, 16-day marriage to a Syrian national from nearly 30 years ago.
CNN By Aaron Blake, Eric Bradner, CNN (CNN) — The progressive effort to remake the Democratic Party triumphed in battleground Michigan on Tuesday, as former public health official Abdul El-Sayed defeated the more moderate Rep. Haley Stevens — and the party’s establishment, which had rallied behind her. El-Sayed was outspent in the Senate primary by
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Oct 14, 2025 and Jun 11, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.
Ruben Gallego
Senator Ruben Gallego is listed as an endorser on JoAnna Mendoza's endorsements page.
Mark Kelly
Senator Mark Kelly is listed as an endorser on JoAnna Mendoza's endorsements page.
Elissa Slotkin
Senator Elissa Slotkin is listed as an endorser on JoAnna Mendoza's endorsements page.
Chris Deluzio
Representative Chris Deluzio is listed as an endorser on JoAnna Mendoza's endorsements page.
Gabby Giffords
Gabby Giffords is described as an endorser of JoAnna Mendoza on campaign materials.
Foreign Policy for America
Foreign Policy for America endorsed JoAnna Mendoza for election to the U.S. Congress representing Arizona's 6th Congressional District.
Reproductive Freedom for All
Reproductive Freedom for All endorsed JoAnna Mendoza in Arizona's 6th Congressional District election.
GIFFORDS PAC
GIFFORDS PAC endorsed JoAnna Mendoza for Congress in Arizona's 6th Congressional District.
Main Street Caucus
Main Street Caucus endorsed Juan Ciscomani in a March 9, 2026 letter to President Trump.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. MendozaJoAnna MendozaJ. CiscomaniJuan CiscomaniSource: FEC
