$19.5K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 21, 2026, 4:58 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 45.3% | $7.35M | |
| 21% | 43.3% | $6.17M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Juan Ciscomani and JoAnna Mendoza are set to debate in Arizona's 6th Congressional District. The seat is still described as highly competitive, with both parties spending heavily. Earlier reporting said the race remains a toss-up after a bruising Democratic primary. The debate could sharpen attention on a very close race, but the overall effect is still unclear. The market likely stays near toss-up levels unless the debate shifts momentum.
Sen. Jon Ossoff stood next to Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly on Tuesday and delivered the kind of anti-Trump broadside that has become a campaign signature, marking the latest round in an escalating feud with the White House.
Rep. Andy Biggs will win the Republican nomination for governor in Arizona, CNN’s Decision Desk projects, setting up a November clash with Democratic incumbent Gov. Katie Hobbs in the battleground state.
It’s the highest-profile forum so far in the race for the battleground U.S. House seat in southern Arizona.
Key races to watch include the face off between Sen. Ed Markey and Rep. Seth Moulton for the Democrate Senate nomination and what will happen with Moulton's empty seat.
Ohio Democrats are banking on voters wanting a change from President Donald Trump, unaffordable living and Republican rule in the Buckeye State.
The congressional candidate spoke candidly about the harm done by attacks from fellow Democrats, according to audio obtained by The Arizona Republic.
By Ronald Brownstein, CNN (CNN) — Fiercely fought primaries on August 4 in Michigan and Missouri will provide the next crucial tests in the debate over American policy toward Israel that has convulsed the Democratic Party this year. Arguments about Israel have marked a sharp dividing line in both the Michigan Senate primary between centrist
By David Wright, Katie Doran, CNN (CNN) — Rep. Andy Biggs will win the Republican nomination for governor in Arizona, CNN’s Decision Desk projects, setting up a November clash with Democratic incumbent Gov. Katie Hobbs in the battleground state. The win for Biggs, a close ally of President Donald Trump who secured his coveted support,
Arizona has traditionally been a red state, and six of its nine House representatives are Republicans.
By David Wright, Tami Luhby, CNN (CNN) — President Donald Trump marked the 250th anniversary of the nation’s founding on July Fourth with a speech touting a roaring stock market, urging election reforms, and hailing military interventions in Venezuela and Iran. But another anniversary went conspicuously unmarked: the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Oct 14, 2025 and Jun 11, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. MendozaJoAnna MendozaJ. CiscomaniJuan CiscomaniSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
