Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
44.5%
42.5%
J. Mendoza
J. Ciscomani
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$14.5K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Total volume
$14.5K
24h volume
$10
source: Kalshi
National Republicans are putting attention on Arizona, with Donald Trump set to headline a Turning Point event in Phoenix aimed at boosting GOP candidates. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. also made political appearances in Arizona supporting Republicans during a state visit. Separately, reporting says House Republicans have improved fundraising operations, though Democrats still lead overall. The news flow is mostly about national GOP support activity in Arizona, which could modestly help Republican enthusiasm and fundraising. It provides little district-specific information, so the direct impact on AZ-06 odds is unclear.
Strong fundraising by battleground GOP incumbents means the party won’t be at a financial disadvantage in key races that could decide House control.
Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., whose son lives in Phoenix, visited Arizona as part of his "Take Back Your Health Tour."
Democrats consider dozens of seats "in play" this November, and aim to leverage the domestic fallout from Trump's war in Iran.
Trump has made an unprecedented number of visits to Arizona as president, former president and presidential candidate. What will he say this time?
California’s Prop 50 passed overwhelmingly in 2025, giving Democrats the ok to redistrict. Republican Sheriff Bianco is challenging the result.
Turning Point is hosting President Donald Trump at a Phoenix church to help boost Arizona's Republicans in the 2026 midterms in a "Red Wall" effort.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
