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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

Michigan Governor winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Jocelyn Benson

    Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Michigan

    Selected market

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 8:18 AM UTC

Democrat
Jocelyn Benson

Jocelyn Benson

Democratic candidate for Governor in Michigan

Saved odds — Michigan Governor winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

94.2%chance to win

$965.8KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleSecretary of State

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyLiberal Democrat

Age49 years old (Oct 22, 1977)

GenderFemale

Show more

LocationMichigan

BackgroundPolitician

EducationHarvard Law School (JD)

Notable personal detailsJocelyn Michelle Benson is an American politician and attorney who has served as Michigan’s 43rd Secretary of State since 2019. She previously served as dean of Wayne State University Law School (2012–2016) and has worked as a civil-rights and election-law scholar. Benson is a graduate of Harvard Law School and has been active in supporting military families through Military Spouses of Michigan.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports making Michigan more affordable through public investments in housing, healthcare, childcare, and education while prioritizing efficient, transparent government and economic development reform; opposes providing tax breaks as the primary tool to attract business and emphasizes workforce/talent development instead.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access and affordability through stronger implementation and funding of public programs (including protecting Medicaid coverage), establishing drug price and health care affordability boards, boosting the health care workforce, and improving reproductive and maternal health access. Focuses on administrative reforms at the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services to reduce coverage gaps and increase enrollment navigation and community outreach.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate has defended recognizing asylum-seekers as having lawful presence for purposes like state licensing and emphasized verifying legal presence before issuing licenses. Her public statements and office communications use humanitarian language for migrants while following verification procedures rather than endorsing expanded enforcement measures. There is no evidence of support for major restrictionist or large-scale deportation policies in the sourced materials.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting and expanding abortion and reproductive health access, including codifying state-level protections and making reproductive care practically accessible across Michigan. Emphasizes strengthening access in rural areas and increasing support for maternal and reproductive health services. Opposes the rollback of Roe v. Wade and calls for legal protections to ensure access does not depend on location.

Climate & Energy

Supports clean energy transitions and policies to lower electricity costs while allowing responsible economic development; favors guardrails for energy‑intensive projects (like data centers) to protect water and limit energy cost impacts and has taken administrative action against groups opposing clean energy transparency.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 16, 2026

Jocelyn Benson has won the Michigan Democratic gubernatorial primary and is now the party’s nominee for governor. She defeated Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson and will face Republican John James in the general election. Recent reports say she entered the fall race with strong polling and fundraising, and the contest is expected to draw major attention. Benson also skipped one televised primary debate earlier in the campaign.

michigan.gov+57

Latest Polls

Michigan Governor winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Jocelyn Benson currently averages 43.7%, ranking first in this race, 4.3 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 43.7%Position: firstMargin: +4.3 ptsLatest poll: 53.2% (Oct 28 - Nov 1)Polls included: 83

Average recalculated from polls through Oct 28 - Nov 1.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
43.7%
39.4%
23.7%
Jocelyn Benson
J. Benson
John James
J. James
Mike Duggan
M. Duggan
Date (Start - End)SpreadBensonJamesDuggan
Polling Average
Benson+4.3
43.7%39.4%23.7%
AtlasIntelOct 28 - Nov 1
Benson+8.0
53.2%45.2%–
Concord Public Opinion PartnersOct 30 - Nov 1
Benson+9.0
50.0%41.0%–
Emerson CollegeOct 31 - Nov 1
Benson+4.6
50.4%45.8%–
Research Co.Oct 30 - Nov 1
Benson+12.0
53.0%41.0%–
The New York Times/Siena UniversityOct 23 - Nov 1
Benson+13.0
52.0%39.0%–
YouGovOct 26 - 29
Benson+6.0
52.0%46.0%–
CNN/SSRSOct 20 - 27
Benson+12.0
53.0%41.0%–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsOct 26 - 27
Benson+5.0
49.0%44.0%–
Data for ProgressOct 23 - 25
Benson+9.0
52.0%43.0%–
Michigan State University Department of Political Science/VerasightOct 8 - 23
Benson+10.2
51.4%41.2%–
Michigan State University Department of Political Science/VerasightOct 8 - 23
Benson+9.4
50.9%41.5%–
RedBox ResearchOct 20 - 23
Benson+5.8
48.6%42.8%–
Glengariff GroupOct 19 - 22
Benson+6.9
51.4%44.5%–
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovOct 2 - 19
Benson+12.4
53.3%40.9%–
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovOct 2 - 19
Benson+9.1
45.7%36.6%–
Marist UniversityOct 15 - 18
Benson+6.0
51.0%45.0%–
Marist UniversityOct 15 - 18
Benson+11.0
53.0%42.0%–
Wedgewood PollsOct 8 - 9
Benson+10.0
55.0%45.0%–
YouGovSep 22 - Oct 4
Benson+3.0
48.0%45.0%–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsOct 1 - 1
Benson+7.0
46.0%39.0%–
Z to A ResearchSep 28 - Oct 1
Benson+10.0
50.0%40.0%–
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchSep 24 - 28
Benson+11.0
55.0%44.0%–
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchSep 24 - 28
Benson+9.0
54.0%45.0%–
Guidant Polling and StrategySep 20 - 27
Benson+5.0
50.0%45.0%–
Marist UniversitySep 24 - 27
Benson+12.0
53.0%41.0%–
co/efficientSep 21 - 23
Benson+3.0
47.0%44.0%–
The New York Times/Siena UniversitySep 15 - 22
Benson+5.0
48.0%43.0%–
Cygnal/Beacon ResearchSep 18 - 21
Benson+7.0
45.0%38.0%–
Suffolk UniversitySep 16 - 20
Benson+16.2
50.6%34.4%–
Torchlight StrategiesSep 15 - 19
Benson+1.1
42.2%41.1%–
Emerson CollegeSep 12 - 14
Benson+6.7
48.6%41.9%–
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and GovernmentSep 10 - 14
Benson+12.0
53.0%41.0%–
CNN/SSRSAug 31 - Sep 6
Benson+9.0
50.0%41.0%–
Glengariff GroupAug 31 - Sep 3
Benson+4.1
46.8%42.7%–
EPIC-MRAAug 22 - 28
Benson+4.0
45.0%41.0%–
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovAug 10 - 20
Benson+10.0
49.0%39.0%–
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovAug 10 - 20
Benson+9.0
52.0%43.0%–
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact ResearchAug 9 - 11
Benson+5.0
49.0%44.0%–
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchAug 6 - 10
Benson+5.0
52.0%47.0%–
TIPP InsightsAug 6 - 10
Benson+16.0
53.0%37.0%–
TIPP InsightsAug 6 - 10
Benson+14.0
48.0%34.0%–
EPIC-MRAJul 24 - 31
Benson+9.0
47.0%38.0%–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJul 28 - 29
Benson+2.0
46.0%44.0%–
Glengariff GroupJul 22 - 24
Benson+5.0
43.7%38.7%–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJun 11 - 13
Benson+11.0
51.0%40.0%–
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23
Benson+11.0
49.0%38.0%–
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23
Benson+11.0
46.0%35.0%–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7
Benson+12.0
42.0%30.0%13.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7
Benson+27.0
41.0%–14.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7
Benson+29.0
42.0%–13.0%
Glengariff GroupApr 28 - May 1
Benson+5.0
34.2%29.2%23.0%
Glengariff GroupApr 28 - May 1
Benson+10.7
34.0%–23.3%
Impact ResearchMar 23 - 29
Benson+4.0
40.0%36.0%20.0%
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovMar 2 - 24
Benson+7.0
30.0%23.0%19.0%
Impact ResearchFeb 9 - 16
Benson+3.0
39.0%36.0%20.0%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+2.0
27.8%28.3%29.8%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+2.1
28.0%28.9%30.1%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+21.9
31.7%–53.6%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+22.1
31.3%–53.4%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Benson+4.2
45.0%40.8%–
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Benson+4.2
44.6%40.4%–
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
James+1.6
32.2%33.8%26.1%
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
Benson+2.8
34.2%–31.4%
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
Benson+3.3
35.0%–31.7%
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
Benson+1.9
46.5%44.6%–
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
Benson+1.0
34.3%–33.3%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 - 21
James+6.0
31.0%37.0%18.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 - 21
Benson+14.0
33.0%–19.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 - 21
Benson+10.0
32.0%–22.0%
EPIC-MRANov 6 - 11
James+1.0
33.0%34.0%20.0%
Rosetta Stone CommunicationsOct 23 - 25
James+5.0
34.0%39.0%18.0%
Rosetta Stone CommunicationsOct 23 - 25
Benson+17.0
35.0%–18.0%
Rosetta Stone CommunicationsOct 23 - 25
Benson+18.0
37.0%–19.0%
Schoen Cooperman ResearchOct 9 - 14
Benson+1.0
30.0%29.0%26.0%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
Benson+0.5
34.5%34.0%21.5%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
Benson+10.4
35.4%–25.0%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
Benson+11.4
36.2%–24.8%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
Benson+10.8
35.0%–24.2%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13
Benson+3.0
37.0%34.0%16.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13
Benson+22.0
38.0%–16.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13
Benson+21.0
37.0%–16.0%
Target InsyghtMar 3 - 6
Benson+12.0
42.0%30.0%21.0%
EPIC-MRAFeb 3 - 8
Benson+8.0
31.0%–23.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Not available in this saved edition

These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising