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2026 Michigan Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Michigan Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)Last updated: Aug 7, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC

Michigan Governor winner?

$294.2K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated Aug 7, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average	Funds raised
Jocelyn BensonDemocratic	84%	43.0%	—
John JamesRepublican	16%	36.5%	$554.4K
Mike DugganIndependent	1%	17.7%	—

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 7, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$294.2K

24h volume

$1.2K

J. Benson84%

J. James16%

M. Duggan1%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Michigan 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

Michigan Governor winner?

James’ primary win locks in the general-election matchup against Jocelyn Benson, and the Republican governor contract has already repriced higher in the wake of the result.

16%

Michigan Governor winner?

Benson’s win sets the open Michigan governor race for a clearer fall matchup after AP and local reporting said she defeated Chris Swanson and advances to the Nov. 3 general election.

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Mike Cox has dropped out of the Michigan governor race after Trump backed John James, and Cox says he will support James. That leaves James and Perry Johnson in the Republican contest. Cox also filed a lawsuit against Jocelyn Benson over FOIA records tied to her past SPLC ties. Trump’s endorsement and Cox’s exit likely strengthen James in the Republican field. The GOP nomination picture looks narrower, but the overall governor market remains uncertain until the primary settles.

Articles

MLM Live Michigan 2 days ago

Abdul El-Sayed, Michigan Democratic Senate nominee, vows challenge to Trump

Abdul El-Sayed, who has never held elected office, defeated U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens by less than 15,000 votes and vows to fight Trump's policies if elected in November.

BNBreitbart News Network1 day ago

Democrat Hospital Chaplain May Become Michigan's First Transgender Lawmaker

A man living as a woman in Michigan may soon become the state's first transgender lawmaker after winning the Democrat Primary on Tuesday.

NBNBC10 Boston2 days ago

Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary

Abdul El-Sayed won Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary over Rep. Haley Stevens, establishing a Midwest beachhead for the progressive left.

MLM Live Michigan 2 days ago

Benson wins Democratic governor primary in ‘landslide.’ See photos

Over 200 people attended Benson’s watch party event at the Garden Theater in Detroit.

DFDetroit Free Press19 hours ago

Detroit Free Press Michigan primary election analysis

From progressive wins to Trump wins, here's what to know about Michigan's 2026 primary election.

AAl-Monitor3 days ago

Michigan primary offers key test of Democratic voters' views on Israel

By Tim ReidWASHINGTON, Aug 4 (Reuters) - Michigan voters head to the polls on Tuesday in a high-stakes Democratic Senate primary that could shape the battle for control of Congress and the future of the Democratic Party amid a fierce internal debate over U.S. support for Israel.The contest pits Abdul El-Sayed, a progressive former public health official who wants to end unconditional U.S. military aid to Israel and accuses it of genocide, against U.S. Representative Haley Stevens, a moderate backed by pro-Israel groups and a longtime outspoken supporter of Israel.

FFortune23 hours ago

Bernie Sanders hails Michigan result as 'most extraordinary victory that I can think of in modern American politics'

Abdul El-Sayed has never held elected office and entered the race years after losing the Democratic gubernatorial primary by over 20 percentage points.

TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer1 day ago

Michigan Senate primary shows Democratic establishment has lost its grip

The narrow victory of former health official Abdul El-Sayed over four-term Rep. Haley Stevens marked yet another stumble by the traditional power brokers.

MLM Live Michigan 1 day ago

5 takeaways from El-Sayed’s victory in Michigan’s Democratic primary for U.S. Senate

Here's what we can learn from Abdul El-Sayed's razor-thin victory in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate.

DFDetroit Free Press1 day ago

John James is Trump’s test case in Michigan

Can Trump’s grip on Michigan survive beyond Trump? This election could reveal whether voters still want MAGA politics and where moderates fit in 2028.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Mar 23, 2026 and Jul 31, 2026.

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

43.0%

36.5%

17.7%

J. Benson

J. James

M. Duggan

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Benson	James	Duggan
Polling Average	Benson+6.4	43.0%	36.5%	17.7%
EPIC-MRAJul 24 - 31	Benson+9.0	47.0%	38.0%	–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJul 28 - 29	Benson+2.0	46.0%	44.0%	–
Glengariff GroupJul 22 - 24	Benson+5.0	43.7%	38.7%	–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJun 11 - 13	Benson+11.0	51.0%	40.0%	–
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23	Benson+11.0	49.0%	38.0%	–
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23	Benson+11.0	46.0%	35.0%	–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7	Benson+12.0	42.0%	30.0%	13.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7	Benson+27.0	41.0%	–	14.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7	Benson+29.0	42.0%	–	13.0%
Glengariff GroupApr 28 - May 1	Benson+5.0	34.2%	29.2%	23.0%
Glengariff GroupApr 28 - May 1	Benson+10.7	34.0%	–	23.3%
Impact ResearchMar 23 - 29	Benson+4.0	40.0%	36.0%	20.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Candidate Endorsements

Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.

Jocelyn Benson

Michigan AFL-CIO

Michigan AFL-CIO endorsed Jocelyn Benson for governor.

2026 Michigan Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Michigan Governor winner?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

Michigan Governor winner?

Michigan Governor winner?

Latest Election News

Abdul El-Sayed, Michigan Democratic Senate nominee, vows challenge to Trump

Democrat Hospital Chaplain May Become Michigan's First Transgender Lawmaker

Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary

Benson wins Democratic governor primary in ‘landslide.’ See photos

Detroit Free Press Michigan primary election analysis

Michigan primary offers key test of Democratic voters' views on Israel

Bernie Sanders hails Michigan result as 'most extraordinary victory that I can think of in modern American politics'

Michigan Senate primary shows Democratic establishment has lost its grip

5 takeaways from El-Sayed’s victory in Michigan’s Democratic primary for U.S. Senate

John James is Trump’s test case in Michigan

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

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Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

Michigan Governor winner?

Michigan Governor winner?

Latest Election News

Abdul El-Sayed, Michigan Democratic Senate nominee, vows challenge to Trump

Democrat Hospital Chaplain May Become Michigan's First Transgender Lawmaker

Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary

Benson wins Democratic governor primary in ‘landslide.’ See photos

Detroit Free Press Michigan primary election analysis

Michigan primary offers key test of Democratic voters' views on Israel

Bernie Sanders hails Michigan result as 'most extraordinary victory that I can think of in modern American politics'

Michigan Senate primary shows Democratic establishment has lost its grip

5 takeaways from El-Sayed’s victory in Michigan’s Democratic primary for U.S. Senate

John James is Trump’s test case in Michigan

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

Michigan Senate winner?

MI-01 House winner?

MI-10 House winner?