$300.4K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 13, 2026, 7:53 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 43.0% | — | |
| 17% | 36.5% | $554.4K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Mike Cox has dropped out of the Michigan governor race after Trump backed John James, and Cox says he will support James. That leaves James and Perry Johnson in the Republican contest. Cox also filed a lawsuit against Jocelyn Benson over FOIA records tied to her past SPLC ties. Trump’s endorsement and Cox’s exit likely strengthen James in the Republican field. The GOP nomination picture looks narrower, but the overall governor market remains uncertain until the primary settles.
The socialist candidate for governor fell short Tuesday as concerns about her electability carried the day.
Communist streamer Hasan Piker melted down over Communist Francesca Hong's upset loss in Tuesday's Democrat primary election for Wisconsin governor. Piker blamed "the f**king national media," who he says are lying to voters about Democratic Socialist candidates. He also threatened revenge on the Democrat Party establishment.
In a Democratic gubernatorial contest roiled by an unstable field and late controversies surrounding democratic socialist front-runner Francesca Hong, Milwaukee’s county executive, David Crowley, pulled the upset in Wisconsin.
Tuberville’s military-promotion blockade showed how one senator can use Senate procedure to disrupt national security—a tactic El-Sayed could use against U.S. aid to Israel.
Peggy Flanagan defeated Rep. Angie Craig in Minnesota's Democratic primary for Senate, marking another progressive victory in the party's internal battle this midterm cycle.
Francesca Hong, a democratic socialist, lost the Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor to Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley amid electability concerns ahead of November.
Michigan’s 2026 governor’s race is officially set. Democrat Jocelyn Benson and Republican John James won their respective primaries Tuesday (Aug. 4), but in dramatically different fashions.
Democratic voters across several US states cast their ballots Tuesday in another test of whether the party's anti-establishment left can extend a run of
Minnesota's Democratic Senate primary has become the latest test of the party's divide between moderates and progressives.
The narrower than expected victory by the far left Democratic Senate candidate in Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed, could backfire on the party in November. El-Sayed barely staved off the establishment Democrat by less than one percentage point — just 15,000 votes — despite polls which showed him leading by double digits.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Mar 23, 2026 and Jul 31, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. JamesJohn JamesSource: FEC
