Prediction Edge
ClosedGeneral Election

2026 Michigan Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Election Day: Recorded market close:

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' saved odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .

CandidateSaved oddsPoll averageFunds raised
Jocelyn BensonJocelyn Benson
94%43.7%—
John JamesJohn James
6%38.9%$554.4K

Odds

Odds History

Total volume

$965.8K

24h volume

$219.0K

Jocelyn Benson
J. Benson94%
John James
J. James6%
Mike Duggan
M. Duggan0%

source: Kalshi

Politics IQ

Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data

Michigan · Governor

CompetitiveOpen seatCore swing state

State Lean

Competitive

Core swing state

Primary System

Party primary or state-specific

No primary runoff

Election Rules

Primary Aug 4, 2026

Runoff: No

General: Nov 3, 2026

Early voting

Early voting is generally available by the second Saturday before Election Day through the Sunday before Election Day.

Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · National Governors Association, Gubernatorial Elections · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Michigan 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Michigan’s governor race is now set, with Jocelyn Benson and John James winning their party nominations. Early polling discussed in a Michigan roundtable says the general election is a toss-up. That suggests a tight race with no clear favorite yet. The primary results remove nomination uncertainty, but early polling still points to a close race. That keeps the market outlook mixed and highly competitive.

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Latest Polls

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
43.7%
38.9%
25.6%
Jocelyn Benson
J. Benson
John James
J. James
Mike Duggan
M. Duggan
Date (Start - End)SpreadBensonJamesDuggan
Polling Average
Benson+4.8
43.7%38.9%25.6%
AtlasIntelOct 28 - Nov 1
Benson+8.0
53.2%45.2%–
Concord Public Opinion PartnersOct 30 - Nov 1
Benson+9.0
50.0%41.0%–
Emerson CollegeOct 31 - Nov 1
Benson+4.6
50.4%45.8%–
Research Co.Oct 30 - Nov 1
Benson+12.0
53.0%41.0%–
The New York Times/Siena UniversityOct 23 - Nov 1
Benson+13.0
52.0%39.0%–
YouGovOct 26 - 29
Benson+6.0
52.0%46.0%–
CNN/SSRSOct 20 - 27
Benson+12.0
53.0%41.0%–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsOct 26 - 27
Benson+5.0
49.0%44.0%–
Data for ProgressOct 23 - 25
Benson+9.0
52.0%43.0%–
Michigan State University Department of Political Science/VerasightOct 8 - 23
Benson+10.2
51.4%41.2%–
Michigan State University Department of Political Science/VerasightOct 8 - 23
Benson+9.4
50.9%41.5%–
RedBox ResearchOct 20 - 23
Benson+5.8
48.6%42.8%–
Glengariff GroupOct 19 - 22
Benson+6.9
51.4%44.5%–
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovOct 2 - 19
Benson+12.4
53.3%40.9%–
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovOct 2 - 19
Benson+9.1
45.7%36.6%–
Marist UniversityOct 15 - 18
Benson+6.0
51.0%45.0%–
Marist UniversityOct 15 - 18
Benson+11.0
53.0%42.0%–
Wedgewood PollsOct 8 - 9
Benson+10.0
55.0%45.0%–
YouGovSep 22 - Oct 4
Benson+3.0
48.0%45.0%–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsOct 1 - 1
Benson+7.0
46.0%39.0%–
Z to A ResearchSep 28 - Oct 1
Benson+10.0
50.0%40.0%–
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchSep 24 - 28
Benson+11.0
55.0%44.0%–
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchSep 24 - 28
Benson+9.0
54.0%45.0%–
Guidant Polling and StrategySep 20 - 27
Benson+5.0
50.0%45.0%–
Marist UniversitySep 24 - 27
Benson+12.0
53.0%41.0%–
co/efficientSep 21 - 23
Benson+3.0
47.0%44.0%–
The New York Times/Siena UniversitySep 15 - 22
Benson+5.0
48.0%43.0%–
Cygnal/Beacon ResearchSep 18 - 21
Benson+7.0
45.0%38.0%–
Suffolk UniversitySep 16 - 20
Benson+16.2
50.6%34.4%–
Torchlight StrategiesSep 15 - 19
Benson+1.1
42.2%41.1%–
Emerson CollegeSep 12 - 14
Benson+6.7
48.6%41.9%–
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and GovernmentSep 10 - 14
Benson+12.0
53.0%41.0%–
CNN/SSRSAug 31 - Sep 6
Benson+9.0
50.0%41.0%–
Glengariff GroupAug 31 - Sep 3
Benson+4.1
46.8%42.7%–
EPIC-MRAAug 22 - 28
Benson+4.0
45.0%41.0%–
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovAug 10 - 20
Benson+10.0
49.0%39.0%–
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovAug 10 - 20
Benson+9.0
52.0%43.0%–
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact ResearchAug 9 - 11
Benson+5.0
49.0%44.0%–
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchAug 6 - 10
Benson+5.0
52.0%47.0%–
TIPP InsightsAug 6 - 10
Benson+16.0
53.0%37.0%–
TIPP InsightsAug 6 - 10
Benson+14.0
48.0%34.0%–
EPIC-MRAJul 24 - 31
Benson+9.0
47.0%38.0%–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJul 28 - 29
Benson+2.0
46.0%44.0%–
Glengariff GroupJul 22 - 24
Benson+5.0
43.7%38.7%–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJun 11 - 13
Benson+11.0
51.0%40.0%–
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23
Benson+11.0
49.0%38.0%–
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23
Benson+11.0
46.0%35.0%–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7
Benson+12.0
42.0%30.0%13.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7
Benson+27.0
41.0%–14.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7
Benson+29.0
42.0%–13.0%
Glengariff GroupApr 28 - May 1
Benson+5.0
34.2%29.2%23.0%
Glengariff GroupApr 28 - May 1
Benson+10.7
34.0%–23.3%
Impact ResearchMar 23 - 29
Benson+4.0
40.0%36.0%20.0%
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovMar 2 - 24
Benson+7.0
30.0%23.0%19.0%
Impact ResearchFeb 9 - 16
Benson+3.0
39.0%36.0%20.0%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+1.5
27.8%28.3%29.8%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+1.2
28.0%28.9%30.1%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+21.9
31.7%–53.6%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+22.1
31.3%–53.4%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Benson+4.2
45.0%40.8%–
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Benson+4.2
44.6%40.4%–
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+27.7
–29.5%57.2%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+27.8
–29.8%57.6%
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
James+1.6
32.2%33.8%26.1%
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
Benson+2.8
34.2%–31.4%
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
Benson+3.3
35.0%–31.7%
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
Benson+1.9
46.5%44.6%–
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
Benson+1.0
34.3%–33.3%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 - 21
James+6.0
31.0%37.0%18.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 - 21
Benson+14.0
33.0%–19.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 - 21
Benson+10.0
32.0%–22.0%
EPIC-MRANov 6 - 11
James+1.0
33.0%34.0%20.0%
Rosetta Stone CommunicationsOct 23 - 25
James+5.0
34.0%39.0%18.0%
Rosetta Stone CommunicationsOct 23 - 25
Benson+17.0
35.0%–18.0%
Rosetta Stone CommunicationsOct 23 - 25
Benson+18.0
37.0%–19.0%
Schoen Cooperman ResearchOct 9 - 14
Benson+1.0
30.0%29.0%26.0%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
Benson+0.5
34.5%34.0%21.5%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
James+10.1
–34.9%24.8%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
Benson+10.4
35.4%–25.0%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
Benson+11.4
36.2%–24.8%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
Benson+10.8
35.0%–24.2%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
James+9.7
–34.5%24.8%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13
Benson+3.0
37.0%34.0%16.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13
Benson+22.0
38.0%–16.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13
Benson+21.0
37.0%–16.0%
Target InsyghtMar 3 - 6
Benson+12.0
42.0%30.0%21.0%
EPIC-MRAFeb 3 - 8
Benson+8.0
31.0%–23.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand
Dec 23, 2025
$1M
$750K
$500K
$250K
$0
J. James
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
John JamesJ. James
$554.4KContrib: $264.3K
$0Spent: $1.29M
$107.4KLast period: $0
TERMINATION REPORT · Dec 23, 2025

Source: FEC

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

Michigan Governor winner?

All preserved contracts have verified final results.

  • Jocelyn Benson

    Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Michigan

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 8:18 AM UTC

  • Mike Duggan

    Will Mike Duggan (Independent) win the governorship in Michigan

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 8:18 AM UTC

  • John James

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Michigan

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 8:18 AM UTC