Prediction Edge
Republican
Joe Hathaway

Joe Hathaway

Republican candidate for U.S. House in New Jersey

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Joe Hathaway is trading at 4% to win the NJ-11 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer Mayor

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationNew Jersey

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BackgroundTownship Council member (Randolph Township, NJ)

EducationYale University — Political Science

Notable personal detailsJoe Hathaway is a Republican politician and communications professional from Randolph Township, New Jersey. He has served on the Randolph Township Council since 2022 and has served as mayor of Randolph. His professional background includes corporate affairs and communications roles in healthcare and financial services, and he previously worked for the State of New Jersey as an advance director in the Governor’s office (2010–2014). He is a Yale University graduate who studied political science and played varsity football.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports targeted tax relief for families and first-time homebuyers, expansion of the Child Tax Credit and childcare tax breaks, and policies framed as reducing burdens rather than expanding government; favors capped student loan interest rather than broad forgiveness and emphasizes competition and market-based reforms to lower costs. Overall platform emphasizes tax cuts and targeted incentives rather than large-scale tax increases or wealth redistribution.

Healthcare

Supports market-based reforms to lower costs through price transparency, increased competition, cutting middlemen like PBMs, expanding Health Savings Accounts, and expanding association health plans rather than government-run universal coverage.

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Immigration & Border

Supports securing the U.S. border through increased Border Patrol presence and technology, and emphasizes enforcing existing immigration laws so entrants follow legal processes; frames border security primarily as a law-enforcement and public-safety issue tied to stopping drug trafficking. No platform language endorses broad regularization or expanded asylum protections.

Public Safety & Guns

The campaign platform emphasizes "Safe Communities and a Stronger America," pledging to back local law enforcement, secure funding for police training/equipment, combat fentanyl and drug trafficking, and invest in mental health and addiction treatment. The site does not articulate specific federal gun-policy positions (for example on universal background checks, assault weapons bans, red flag laws, or constitutional carry).

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 29, 2026

Joe Hathaway lost the New Jersey 11th Congressional District special election to Democrat Analilia Mejia. Reports say Mejia won by about 20 points, and Hathaway conceded after early returns showed her with a large lead. The race fills the final eight months of the House seat, and the district will vote again later for a full term.

randolphnj.org+41

Latest Polls

NJ-11 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

GBAO
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
36%
53%
Joe Hathaway
J. Hathaway
Analilia Mejia
A. Mejia
Date (Start - End)SpreadHathawayMejia
GBAOMar 8 - 10
Mejia+17.0
36.0%53.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

NJ-11 House winner?

Endorsers of Joe Hathaway for NJ-11 House winner?

Unnamed lifelong Democrat

Public endorsement

A lifelong Democrat publicly endorsed Joe Hathaway for Congress.

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Michael Goldberg

Public figure

Former South Orange Trustee Michael Goldberg endorsed Republican Joe Hathaway for NJ-11.

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New York Post

Public figure

The New York Post endorsed Joe Hathaway for Congress in NJ-11's special election.

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Tom Kean Jr.

Public figure

Tom Kean Jr. endorsed Joe Hathaway for Congress in New Jersey's 11th District.

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Morris GOP endorsers

Political organization

A first wave of Morris County Republican leaders endorsed Joe Hathaway in his NJ-11 campaign.

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Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$657.7K
$493.3K
$328.9K
$164.4K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$657.7K
$5.0K
$652.7K
$36.3K

Source: FEC