

Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 97% | $1.82M | |
| 4% | $657.7K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Analilia Mejia won the NJ-11 special election over Republican Joe Hathaway, with reports putting her margin in the low double digits to around 20 points. That keeps the seat in Democratic hands for now, but voters will decide the full term again in November. The special-election result points to a Democratic hold in NJ-11 and likely supports Democratic odds for the full-term race. The size of the margin may also reduce uncertainty around the district.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Mar 8, 2026 and Mar 10, 2026.


Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
A. MejiaAnalilia Mejia
J. HathawayJoe HathawaySource: FEC