Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
53%
36%
A. Mejia
J. Hathaway
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$16.6K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Total volume
$16.6K
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
Democrat Analilia Mejia won the NJ-11 special election against Republican Joe Hathaway, who conceded after the race was called. Mejia has been sworn into the House, though one report noted the result was not yet certified at that time. She will still face a primary and the November 2026 general election to hold the seat long-term. The special-election win is a clear positive signal for Democrats in NJ-11 and may push the market toward a Democratic win in the 2026 general. The need for another primary and general election keeps some uncertainty in play.
Breaking down the rumors of Gov. Mikie Sherrill's potential roles on the national stage.
a dog with a taste for red meat..
Analilia Mejia, a former top Bernie Sanders staffer, convincingly won a House seat despite "radical" label.
Progressive organizer Analilia Mejia won New Jersey's 11th District special election, defeating Republican Joe Hathaway by nearly 20 points to fill Gov. Mikie Sherrill's seat.
Analilia Mejia won the vacant U.S. House seat in New Jersey in a special election on Thursday, maintaining control of the seat for Democrats.
Analilia Mejia is headed to Congress, filling New Jersey's 11th Congressional District seat, which had been held by Gov. Mikie Sherrill.
A seat in the U.S. House is up for grabs in a special election for New Jersey's 11th District. Follow along live.
Joe Hathaway aims to flip a blue-leaning New Jersey U.S. House seat, saying he can build a bipartisan coalition against Democrat Analilia Mejia in Thursday's special election.
Rep. Analilia Mejia promised to "deliver on the promise of equal protection and justice under our great laws" in her first speech before Congress.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
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