Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
39%
41%
Republican
Trump Endorsed
Trump EndorsedJoe Mitchell
Republican candidate for U.S. House in Iowa
$13.3K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Joe Mitchell is trading at 59% to win the IA-02 House winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleReal estate professional
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican
LocationIowa
BackgroundReal estate professional
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EducationWACO High School
Notable personal detailsJoe Mitchell is a Republican candidate for U.S. House in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District. He previously served in the Iowa House of Representatives (2019–2023) and has worked in federal housing roles, including at the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development during the Trump administration and at the Federal Housing Finance Agency. He has also worked in real estate and housing development.
SourcesShowHide
fec.goviowapublicradio.orgjoemitchell.comlegis.iowa.govnrcc.orgdocquery.fec.govbremercountyelections.iowa.govthemidtermproject.orgefoservices.fec.govkalshi.compoweshiekcounty.iowa.govjustice.govnotus.orgiowacapitaldispatch.comelections101.iowa.goven.wikipedia.orgarxiv.orgtheharvardpoliticalreview.comdccc.orgtheiowastandard.comiop.harvard.edubreitbart.comwowt.comwvik.orgoann.comdailycallernewsfoundation.orgthegazette.combluewaterhealthyliving.comsomosprimos.comdesmoinesregister.comcbs2iowa.comuschamber.comjustfacts.votesmart.orginstagram.comktiv.comkcrg.comweareiowa.comradioiowa.commultistate.ustimescitizen.comyoutube.comfacebook.comhistory.house.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports lowering taxes and reducing government spending, and promotes pro-growth policies to help families, farmers, and small businesses. Advocates working with President Trump to end what he calls reckless spending and to build an economy where hard work is rewarded.
Healthcare
The candidate has a record of supporting mental-health reforms and funding while in the Iowa Legislature, and his campaign emphasizes fiscal restraint and smaller federal government without detailed health-policy proposals. Public materials and opposition research present both pro-investment in mental-health actions and critiques tying him to conservative spending priorities, producing mixed signals on overall health‑care policy direction.
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Immigration & Border
The candidate supports stronger border security and frames the current situation as a border crisis and national security risk. He emphasizes that legal immigration is a privilege with a process to citizenship and calls for securing the borders while working with President Trump.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
The candidate supports restricting abortion and describes himself as defending "the right to life." He voted in favor of pro‑life/heartbeat legislation in the Iowa House committee and is characterized by opponents as aligned with measures to limit abortion access.
Climate & Energy
The candidate has supported biofuels and other renewable-generation policies while also voting in ways that enable carbon pipeline projects; public statements emphasize support for agriculture, biofuels, and alternative energy but also oppose changing rules that would limit pipelines. Overall the record shows both pro-renewable actions and support for fossil-fuel or carbon-infrastructure projects, without a clear single-direction climate agenda.
Public Safety & Guns
Supports and defends the Second Amendment and advocates supporting and funding police while pursuing practical reforms to public safety. Campaign materials emphasize standing with law enforcement and protecting gun rights.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 31, 2026
Joe Mitchell recently won the Republican primary in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District and is now the GOP nominee in a race expected to be competitive. He has also been highlighted for leading early fundraising and for joining the GOP’s "MAGA Majority" program with Donald Trump’s endorsement. More recently, reports noted that a Libertarian candidate will stay on the ballot in the district, which could affect the vote split in Mitchell’s race. There was also scrutiny over past lobbying ties connected to Mitchell and his business.
fec.gov+42
Articles
SSalon1 month ago
lobbyist Republican benefited from lobbyists for years
Negative
DMDes Moines Register5 months ago
Iowa 2nd District GOP candidate Joe Mitchell part of 'MAGA Majority'
Positive
ATAmes Tribune7 months ago
Donald Trump endorses Joe Mitchell for Congress in Iowa's 2nd District
Positive
ATAmes Tribune3 months ago
Iowa Democrats build cash edge as US House races shift to November
Positive
Latest Polls
IA-02 House winner?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Joe Mitchell currently averages 39.0%, ranking second in this race, 2.0 points behind the next candidate.
Polling average: 39.0%Position: secondMargin: -2.0 ptsLatest poll: 45.0% (Jul 14 - 19)Polls included: 2
Average recalculated from polls through Jul 14 - 19.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Endorsements
6IA-02 Republican nominee?
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.9M
$1.5M
$969.3K
$484.6K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$1.9M
$895.6K
$1.0M
$57.9K
Source: FEC