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Which Party wins the 2026 Iowa District 2 US House Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 4:59am UTC, in 172 daysLast updated: May 19, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC

IA-02 House winner?

$5.8K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

52.0%

R. Party

52.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$5.8K

24h volume

D. Party52%

R. Party52%

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source: Kalshi

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Latest Insights

Republican Party

9%24H44%

Republican Party's odds fell below the prior low of 53%, setting a new 60-day low at 44%.

11d

Republican Party

11%24H42%

Republican Party's odds in "IA-02 House winner?" are now below the prior low of 52.5% over the last 60 days.

21d

Democratic Party

10%24H58%

That tops the previous high of 48% for the Democratic Party in this Iowa House race.

22d

News

AINews Summary

Joe Mitchell is getting national Republican support in Iowa's 2nd District, including a spot in the GOP's 'MAGA Majority' program and Trump's endorsement. He also leads the Republican primary in fundraising. The seat is open because Ashley Hinson is running for Senate. The news modestly strengthens Mitchell's standing in the Republican primary, but it does not yet change the general-election picture. The open-seat setup keeps the race competitive and still uncertain.

Articles

DMDes Moines Register7 days ago

Iowa's 2026 elections are nationally watched

With Gov. Kim Reynolds and Sen. Joni Ernst not running, competitive House races and hot primaries, Iowa's in the spotlight this year.

ATAmes Tribune8 days ago

Iowa GOP governor candidates make campaign push before early voting

With early voting set to begin, the Republican primary race for governor is nearing its conclusion. Here's a look at the state of the race.

DMDes Moines Register1 month ago

Iowa Democrats hold fundraising edge in 2 'toss-up' US House races

Democrats Christina Bohannan and Sarah Trone Garriott outraised Republican incumbent US Reps. Zach Nunn and Mariannette Miller-Meeks, new filings show

DMDes Moines Register2 months ago

Iowa 2nd District GOP candidate Joe Mitchell part of 'MAGA Majority'

National Republicans are adding Iowa 2nd District candidate Joe Mitchell to their national "MAGA Majority" program in a show of support.

DMDes Moines Register3 months ago

Trump endorsement boosts Joe Mitchell's bid for US House seat

Joe Mitchell, a former state representative and Trump administration official, is pitching a message focused on "corruption" in Washington.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit19 days ago

The Latest: Hegseth faces a second day of Democrats grilling him over the Iran war

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth faces a second day of grilling from Democrats on Capitol Hill, with senators getting their first opportunity to confront or praise the Pentagon chief over his handling of the Iran war.