$15.5K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 10, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48% | 41.0% | $1.63M | |
| 47% | 39.0% | $1.94M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Iowa’s 2nd District is an open House seat after Ashley Hinson entered the Senate race. Early fundraising favored Republican Joe Mitchell over the Democratic field. Recent coverage has not added new polling or results for this district, so the race remains hard to read. The open seat keeps the race uncertain, but Mitchell’s early fundraising may give Republicans a modest early edge. There is not enough new district-specific evidence here to shift the market sharply.
National eyes are returning to Iowa as a potentially pivotal spot for determining control of Congress, writes the Register's editorial board.
Democratic candidates in red states are sharing their faith to connect with voters, sparking intense debates over theology.
Newsweek analyzed polling, election data and insights from Republican and Democratic strategists to rank key House battlegrounds.
Democrats believe Iowa will be competitive in this year's midterm elections despite the state's increasingly conservative lean.
Nevada, South Carolina and North Dakota hosted primary elections Tuesday, but much of the political world was focused on Maine’s high-stakes U.S. Senate contest. The results were never in question....
Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek will face Republican U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson in the Senate race. For governor, Democrat state Auditor Rob Sand and Republican businessman Zach Lahn move on to November.
Iowa Democrats will settle one of the party’s last competitive Senate primaries in the nation.
New reports show Democrats topping GOP incumbents in Iowa's key US House races as campaigns shift from primaries to high‑stakes November matchups.
Retiring Rep. Don Bacon’s open seat pits fellow Republican and Omaha City Councilmember Brinker Harding against Democratic activist Denise Powell.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Apr 13, 2026 and Jul 19, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. MitchellJoe MitchellL. JamesLindsay JamesSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
