Prediction Edge

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

Michigan Governor winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • John James

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Michigan

    Selected market

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 8:18 AM UTC

Republican
John James

John James

Republican candidate for Governor in Michigan

Visit WebsiteXYouTubeFacebookInstagram

Saved odds — Michigan Governor winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

6.4%chance to win

$965.8KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age45 years old (Jun 8, 1981)

GenderMale

Show more

LocationMichigan

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationUnited States Military Academy at West Point (B.S.)

Notable personal detailsJohn Edward James is an American politician, businessman, and U.S. Army veteran who has served as the U.S. Representative for Michigan’s 10th congressional district since January 3, 2023. A West Point graduate, he served as a Ranger-qualified Army aviation officer and flew combat missions during Operation Iraqi Freedom. After military service, he worked in logistics and supply chain management, including leadership roles at James Group International and Renaissance Global Logistics. He ran for U.S. Senate in Michigan in 2018 and 2020 and announced a run for Governor of Michigan on April 7, 2025.

SourcesShow
james.house.goven.wikipedia.orgwikidata.orgjunkipedia.orgapnews.comjohnjamesmi.compolitico.comdocquery.fec.govamericansforprosperity.orgmi.americansforprosperity.orgdetourdetroiter.comourmidland.comontheissues.orgacasignups.netmichiganpublic.orgpolitifact.comfox47news.comwxyz.comhome.mirs.newsemilyslist.orgsbaprolife.orgmichiganindependent.comlegistorm.comclimatepower.usdccc.orglegislate.devbridgemi.commichigandaily.comfoxnews.comdeadlinedetroit.comclickondetroit.compoam.netpro.stateaffairs.comfacebook.comballotpedia.orgmichiganfarmnews.cominstagram.commichiganadvance.commichigandems.comwlns.comnbcnews.comspectrumlocalnews.comdetroitnews.comhistory.house.govclerk.house.govcongress.govbioguideretro.congress.govgovinfo.govdocs.house.govde.wikipedia.orgcommons.wikimedia.orgcreativecommons.orgupload.wikimedia.orghouse.govballotready.orgziplook.house.govdirectory.house.govfec.govdisclosures-clerk.house.gov

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax cuts for individuals and businesses, expansion of small-business and R&D tax credits, and policies described as giving working families more take-home pay; has voted for Republican tax legislation that reduced taxes.

Healthcare

Opposes Medicare for All and has called for repealing the Affordable Care Act while advocating market-based, patient-centered reforms (tort reform, regulatory reform, increased choice). As a member of the House, he has supported Republican budget/legislative measures that include cuts or restrictions to Medicaid funding. He says he supports protecting people with pre-existing conditions but has not endorsed maintaining the ACA’s full statutory framework for those protections.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and enforcement measures, including increased funding for Customs and Border Patrol, stricter asylum/return policies (e.g., backing Trump-era "remain in Mexico"), and measures such as Kate's Law and defunding sanctuary jurisdictions. Opposes broad legalization pathways for undocumented immigrants and emphasizes law-and-order framing for immigration policy.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate is pro-life, has said he is 100% pro-life and has supported overturning Roe v. Wade, and has a record of voting against federal measures to protect or expand abortion access. He has received endorsements from national anti-abortion organizations and has supported federal restrictions on medication abortion.

Climate & Energy

Supports ‘‘energy independence’’ and an ‘‘all-of-the-above’’ approach, opposes electric-vehicle mandates and some EPA regulatory actions, and has backed congressional disapproval of recent EPA rules. Has voted against measures that would block oil and gas exploration in the Great Lakes and sponsored or cosponsored resolutions to roll back certain EPA standards.

Public Safety & Guns

John James supports strong Second Amendment protections, has opposed broad new federal gun restrictions such as universal background checks in past campaigns, and has voted to roll back an ATF rule on stabilizing braces. He favors keeping weapons away from people judged dangerous but generally opposes expanding federal gun regulations.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 18, 2026

John James has won the Michigan Republican gubernatorial primary and will face Democrat Jocelyn Benson in the general election. He recently named state Rep. Jay DeBoyer as his running mate for lieutenant governor. James had already secured Donald Trump’s endorsement, which helped consolidate support in the primary. He also left his House seat to focus on the governor’s race.

james.house.gov+58
Articles
MLM Live Michigan 3 months ago

Your MLive news to know today, Aug. 17, 2026

Positive
LSLansing State Journal3 months ago

John James taps Jay DeBoyer as running mate in governor's race

Neutral
WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit3 months ago

Michigan governor’s race enters general election after Benson, James primary wins

Positive
WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit3 months ago

Meet the candidates running in the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial race

Positive

Latest Polls

Michigan Governor winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

John James currently averages 38.9%, ranking second in this race, 7.1 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 38.9%Position: secondMargin: -7.1 ptsLatest poll: 45.2% (Oct 28 - Nov 1)Polls included: 69

Average recalculated from polls through Oct 28 - Nov 1.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
38.9%
46.1%
25.6%
John James
J. James
Jocelyn Benson
J. Benson
Mike Duggan
M. Duggan
Date (Start - End)SpreadJamesBensonDuggan
Polling Average
Benson+7.1
38.9%46.1%25.6%
AtlasIntelOct 28 - Nov 1
Benson+8.0
45.2%53.2%–
Concord Public Opinion PartnersOct 30 - Nov 1
Benson+9.0
41.0%50.0%–
Emerson CollegeOct 31 - Nov 1
Benson+4.6
45.8%50.4%–
Research Co.Oct 30 - Nov 1
Benson+12.0
41.0%53.0%–
The New York Times/Siena UniversityOct 23 - Nov 1
Benson+13.0
39.0%52.0%–
YouGovOct 26 - 29
Benson+6.0
46.0%52.0%–
CNN/SSRSOct 20 - 27
Benson+12.0
41.0%53.0%–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsOct 26 - 27
Benson+5.0
44.0%49.0%–
Data for ProgressOct 23 - 25
Benson+9.0
43.0%52.0%–
Michigan State University Department of Political Science/VerasightOct 8 - 23
Benson+10.2
41.2%51.4%–
Michigan State University Department of Political Science/VerasightOct 8 - 23
Benson+9.4
41.5%50.9%–
RedBox ResearchOct 20 - 23
Benson+5.8
42.8%48.6%–
Glengariff GroupOct 19 - 22
Benson+6.9
44.5%51.4%–
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovOct 2 - 19
Benson+12.4
40.9%53.3%–
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovOct 2 - 19
Benson+9.1
36.6%45.7%–
Marist UniversityOct 15 - 18
Benson+6.0
45.0%51.0%–
Marist UniversityOct 15 - 18
Benson+11.0
42.0%53.0%–
Wedgewood PollsOct 8 - 9
Benson+10.0
45.0%55.0%–
YouGovSep 22 - Oct 4
Benson+3.0
45.0%48.0%–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsOct 1 - 1
Benson+7.0
39.0%46.0%–
Z to A ResearchSep 28 - Oct 1
Benson+10.0
40.0%50.0%–
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchSep 24 - 28
Benson+11.0
44.0%55.0%–
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchSep 24 - 28
Benson+9.0
45.0%54.0%–
Guidant Polling and StrategySep 20 - 27
Benson+5.0
45.0%50.0%–
Marist UniversitySep 24 - 27
Benson+12.0
41.0%53.0%–
co/efficientSep 21 - 23
Benson+3.0
44.0%47.0%–
The New York Times/Siena UniversitySep 15 - 22
Benson+5.0
43.0%48.0%–
Cygnal/Beacon ResearchSep 18 - 21
Benson+7.0
38.0%45.0%–
Suffolk UniversitySep 16 - 20
Benson+16.2
34.4%50.6%–
Torchlight StrategiesSep 15 - 19
Benson+1.1
41.1%42.2%–
Emerson CollegeSep 12 - 14
Benson+6.7
41.9%48.6%–
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and GovernmentSep 10 - 14
Benson+12.0
41.0%53.0%–
CNN/SSRSAug 31 - Sep 6
Benson+9.0
41.0%50.0%–
Glengariff GroupAug 31 - Sep 3
Benson+4.1
42.7%46.8%–
EPIC-MRAAug 22 - 28
Benson+4.0
41.0%45.0%–
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovAug 10 - 20
Benson+10.0
39.0%49.0%–
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovAug 10 - 20
Benson+9.0
43.0%52.0%–
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact ResearchAug 9 - 11
Benson+5.0
44.0%49.0%–
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchAug 6 - 10
Benson+5.0
47.0%52.0%–
TIPP InsightsAug 6 - 10
Benson+16.0
37.0%53.0%–
TIPP InsightsAug 6 - 10
Benson+14.0
34.0%48.0%–
EPIC-MRAJul 24 - 31
Benson+9.0
38.0%47.0%–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJul 28 - 29
Benson+2.0
44.0%46.0%–
Glengariff GroupJul 22 - 24
Benson+5.0
38.7%43.7%–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJun 11 - 13
Benson+11.0
40.0%51.0%–
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23
Benson+11.0
38.0%49.0%–
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23
Benson+11.0
35.0%46.0%–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7
Benson+12.0
30.0%42.0%13.0%
Glengariff GroupApr 28 - May 1
Benson+5.0
29.2%34.2%23.0%
Impact ResearchMar 23 - 29
Benson+4.0
36.0%40.0%20.0%
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovMar 2 - 24
Benson+7.0
23.0%30.0%19.0%
Impact ResearchFeb 9 - 16
Benson+3.0
36.0%39.0%20.0%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+1.5
28.3%27.8%29.8%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+1.2
28.9%28.0%30.1%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Benson+4.2
40.8%45.0%–
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Benson+4.2
40.4%44.6%–
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+27.7
29.5%–57.2%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2
Duggan+27.8
29.8%–57.6%
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
James+1.6
33.8%32.2%26.1%
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
Benson+1.9
44.6%46.5%–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 - 21
James+6.0
37.0%31.0%18.0%
EPIC-MRANov 6 - 11
James+1.0
34.0%33.0%20.0%
Rosetta Stone CommunicationsOct 23 - 25
James+5.0
39.0%34.0%18.0%
Schoen Cooperman ResearchOct 9 - 14
Benson+1.0
29.0%30.0%26.0%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
Benson+0.5
34.0%34.5%21.5%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
James+10.1
34.9%–24.8%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
James+9.7
34.5%–24.8%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13
Benson+3.0
34.0%37.0%16.0%
Target InsyghtMar 3 - 6
Benson+12.0
30.0%42.0%21.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$9.5M
$7.2M
$4.8M
$2.4M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$7.0M
$795.5K
$6.2M
$256.6K

Cycle 2024

$9.5M
$734.7K
$9.6M
$400.3K

Cycle 2026

$554.4K
$0.00
$1.3M
$107.4K

Source: FEC

Not available in this saved edition

These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.

  • Endorsements