Prediction Edge
Republican
John James

John James

Republican candidate for Governor in Michigan

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

John James is trading at 100% to win the Michigan Republican Governor nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age45 years old (Jun 8, 1981)

GenderMale

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LocationMichigan

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationUnited States Military Academy at West Point (B.S.)

Notable personal detailsJohn Edward James is an American politician, businessman, and U.S. Army veteran who has served as the U.S. Representative for Michigan’s 10th congressional district since January 3, 2023. A West Point graduate, he served as a Ranger-qualified Army aviation officer and flew combat missions during Operation Iraqi Freedom. After military service, he worked in logistics and supply chain management, including leadership roles at James Group International and Renaissance Global Logistics. He ran for U.S. Senate in Michigan in 2018 and 2020 and announced a run for Governor of Michigan on April 7, 2025.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax cuts for individuals and businesses, expansion of small-business and R&D tax credits, and policies described as giving working families more take-home pay; has voted for Republican tax legislation that reduced taxes.

Healthcare

Opposes Medicare for All and has called for repealing the Affordable Care Act while advocating market-based, patient-centered reforms (tort reform, regulatory reform, increased choice). As a member of the House, he has supported Republican budget/legislative measures that include cuts or restrictions to Medicaid funding. He says he supports protecting people with pre-existing conditions but has not endorsed maintaining the ACA’s full statutory framework for those protections.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and enforcement measures, including increased funding for Customs and Border Patrol, stricter asylum/return policies (e.g., backing Trump-era "remain in Mexico"), and measures such as Kate's Law and defunding sanctuary jurisdictions. Opposes broad legalization pathways for undocumented immigrants and emphasizes law-and-order framing for immigration policy.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate is pro-life, has said he is 100% pro-life and has supported overturning Roe v. Wade, and has a record of voting against federal measures to protect or expand abortion access. He has received endorsements from national anti-abortion organizations and has supported federal restrictions on medication abortion.

Climate & Energy

Supports ‘‘energy independence’’ and an ‘‘all-of-the-above’’ approach, opposes electric-vehicle mandates and some EPA regulatory actions, and has backed congressional disapproval of recent EPA rules. Has voted against measures that would block oil and gas exploration in the Great Lakes and sponsored or cosponsored resolutions to roll back certain EPA standards.

Public Safety & Guns

John James supports strong Second Amendment protections, has opposed broad new federal gun restrictions such as universal background checks in past campaigns, and has voted to roll back an ATF rule on stabilizing braces. He favors keeping weapons away from people judged dangerous but generally opposes expanding federal gun regulations.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 18, 2026

John James has won the Michigan Republican gubernatorial primary and will face Democrat Jocelyn Benson in the general election. He recently named state Rep. Jay DeBoyer as his running mate for lieutenant governor. James had already secured Donald Trump’s endorsement, which helped consolidate support in the primary. He also left his House seat to focus on the governor’s race.

james.house.gov+58

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

John James currently averages 37.5%, ranking first in this race, 9.5 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 37.5%Position: firstMargin: +9.5 ptsLatest poll: 50.0% (Jul 28 - 29)Polls included: 28

Average recalculated from polls through Jul 28 - 29.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
37.5%
28.1%
18.4%
12.1%
5.4%
John James
J. James
Tudor Dixon
T. Dixon
Perry Johnson
P. Johnson
Mike Cox
M. Cox
Aric Nesbitt
A. Nesbitt
Kevin Rinke
K. Rinke
Tom Leonard
T. Leonard
Date (Start - End)SpreadJamesDixonJohnsonCoxNesbittRinkeLeonard
Polling Average
James+9.5
37.5%28.1%18.4%12.1%5.4%2.4%2.1%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJul 28 - 29
James+28.0
50.0%22.0%13.0%5.0%
Emerson CollegeJul 26 - 27
James+14.8
48.1%33.3%12.9%5.6%
co/efficientJul 14 - 16
James+13.0
36.0%23.0%21.0%3.0%
co/efficientJun 30 - Jul 3
James+12.0
35.0%23.0%20.0%4.0%
OnMessageJun 28 - 30
James+25.0
46.0%21.0%14.0%
Strategic NationalJun 10 - 14
Johnson+2.7
23.8%26.5%12.4%5.9%
Susquehanna Polling & ResearchJun 9 - 14
James+18.0
38.0%10.0%20.0%3.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJun 11 - 13
James+1.0
28.0%23.0%27.0%4.0%
Tarrance GroupJun 1 - 4
James+12.0
38.0%26.0%22.0%12.0%
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23
James+11.0
31.0%19.0%20.0%3.0%
1892 PollingMay 12 - 14
James+1.0
24.0%23.0%7.0%7.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7
James+9.0
32.0%23.0%19.0%7.0%
Glengariff GroupApr 24 - 24
James+17.2
37.0%19.8%9.9%6.9%2.6%
OnMessageApr 15 - 18
James+23.0
41.0%18.0%7.0%5.0%
Emerson CollegeApr 11 - 13
Johnson+1.2
20.2%21.4%10.2%2.8%3.7%
1892 PollingMar 25 - 26
James+5.0
26.0%21.0%6.0%4.0%1.0%
JMC AnalyticsMar 21 - 23
James+3.0
23.0%20.0%6.0%5.0%3.0%
OnMessageMar 16 - 19
James+18.0
37.0%19.0%10.0%4.0%1.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 - 21
James+37.0
48.0%11.0%2.0%5.0%
Rosetta Stone CommunicationsOct 23 - 25
James+31.0
44.0%4.0%13.0%6.0%4.0%3.0%
Rosetta Stone CommunicationsOct 23 - 25
Dixon+8.0
25.0%33.0%10.0%
OnMessageAug 18 - 21
James+48.0
55.0%0.0%7.0%3.0%1.0%1.0%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
James+21.7
41.9%20.2%10.9%4.8%
National ResearchApr 8 - 10
James+6.0
35.0%29.0%4.0%11.0%3.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13
James+1.0
31.0%30.0%8.0%10.0%5.0%1.0%
OnMessageMar 9 - 11
James+48.0
54.0%6.0%2.0%1.0%1.0%
Target InsyghtMar 3 - 6
James+44.0
57.0%1.0%5.0%13.0%
OnMessageJan 17 - 19
James+40.0
46.0%4.0%6.0%3.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$9.5M
$7.2M
$4.8M
$2.4M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$7.0M
$795.5K
$6.2M
$256.6K

Cycle 2024

$9.5M
$734.7K
$9.6M
$400.3K

Cycle 2026

$554.4K
$0.00
$1.3M
$107.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements