Prediction Edge
Republican
John Kennedy

John Kennedy

Republican candidate for Presidential in Louisiana

Live Odds — 2028 Republican presidential nominee

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$70.5MNOV 7, 2028

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports extending the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and opposes tax increases and major tax-and-spending bills; favors reducing federal spending while prioritizing defense and cutting taxes on energy and other sectors. Advocates repealing specific taxes he says raise consumer prices (e.g., energy-related taxes) and describes broad tax cuts as necessary to protect economic growth.

Healthcare

Opposes the Affordable Care Act and has voted to repeal it; advocates private insurance solutions over single‑payer approaches and supports work requirements for Medicaid recipients. Emphasizes reducing federal spending on Medicaid and promoting work as a condition for some eligibility. Favors market-based reforms and limits on expanding government-run health programs.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate advocates for significantly tougher border enforcement, including construction of border barriers, expanding Border Patrol, tightening asylum standards, ending catch-and-release, and criminalizing visa overstays. He has co-sponsored and promoted legislation to resume wall construction and other restrictionist measures to reduce illegal immigration and increase removals and enforcement resources.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports pro-life policies, opposes Roe v. Wade and federal protections for abortion, and favors returning authority over abortion law to the states. Has introduced legislation to impose additional requirements on abortion providers and has described himself as pro-life. Has voted against federal measures to protect or expand abortion access and highlighted protecting unborn life as a priority.

Climate & Energy

Supports an all-of-the-above energy approach but consistently defends and prioritizes oil, natural gas, and LNG production and opposes federal policies he says restrict fossil-fuel development; favors reducing regulatory barriers for energy producers and advancing energy projects and exports while also expressing support for nuclear and some renewables.

Public Safety & Guns

John Kennedy strongly supports Second Amendment rights, opposes new gun-control measures, and emphasizes enforcing existing laws rather than creating additional restrictions. He has received high ratings and endorsements from the NRA and has acted to block or oppose regulatory actions perceived as burdensome to gun owners. Kennedy has opposed recent federal gun-safety legislation and criticized calls for expanded gun control following mass shootings.

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$18.6M
$13.9M
$9.3M
$4.6M
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$15.6M
$15.9M
$9.6M
$400.1K

Cycle 2026

$10.0M
$18.6M
$7.3M
$405.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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