Prediction Edge
Republican
Jon Patterson

Jon Patterson

Republican candidate for State Senate in Missouri

Live Odds — Missouri State Senate District 8 winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

80%chance to win

$3.9KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleState Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationMissouri

Show more

BackgroundPolitician

EducationBlue Springs High School (1998)

Notable personal detailsJonathan "Jon" Patterson is a Republican member of the Missouri House of Representatives from District 30 (Jackson County, including parts of Lee’s Summit) and has served as Speaker of the Missouri House. He is a general surgeon who practiced in eastern Jackson County from 2011 to 2022. Patterson graduated from Blue Springs High School (1998) and attended the University of Missouri–Columbia, earning a bachelor’s degree and a medical degree, and completed a surgical residency at Truman Medical. He filed to run for Missouri State Senate District 8 in 2026.

SourcesShow
s1.sos.mo.govsos.mo.govhouse.mo.govmec.mo.goven.wikipedia.orgsenate.mo.govballotready.orgvote-usa.orgmultistate.uspattersonformo.comivoterguide.comthepsp.orgmetrovoicenews.commissourihealthmatters.orgonyourballot.vote411.orgkceb.orgreddit.comnewstribune.comthemissouritimes.comkcur.orgapnews.comcallnewspapers.commissouriindependent.comvi.web-platforms-vi.nyti.nyt.netky3.comact4mo.orgfairtax.orgdocuments.house.mo.govgovwatch.netcdn1.creativecirclemedia.comjustfacts.votesmart.orgamericansforprosperity.orgballotpedia.orgkansascity.comfacebook.cominstagram.comncsl.orgjudiciary.senate.govdocquery.fec.govhistory.house.govsenate.govgovinfo.govcongress.govstatic.votesmart.orgcdn.ballotpedia.org

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Jon Patterson has backed a plan to eliminate the state income tax and expand sales and use taxes as the replacement mechanism. He has also framed his campaign around lower property taxes, tax relief, and a stronger economy for Jackson County taxpayers.

Healthcare

Jon Patterson has supported reducing prior-authorization red tape and other measures aimed at improving access and efficiency in care. He has also backed efforts to remove Planned Parenthood from Missouri Medicaid, which points to a more restrictive approach on some healthcare funding questions.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Jon Patterson has said he wants legal immigration while opposing illegal immigration and does not support a bounty-style enforcement bill. He framed the issue as something largely being handled at the federal level and signaled little appetite for aggressive state-level immigration enforcement measures.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Jon Patterson has opposed enshrining abortion rights in the Missouri Constitution and voted for the 2019 trigger law that later banned nearly all abortions in Missouri. He has also said proposed abortion restrictions should include protections for rape and incest survivors and has publicly supported access to IVF.

Climate & Energy

Expressed enthusiasm for the Grain Belt Express transmission project, a line intended to carry wind-generated electricity across Missouri and beyond. Public climate and energy positions are otherwise limited in the sources reviewed.

Public Safety & Guns

Jon Patterson has emphasized support for law-abiding citizens’ Second Amendment rights and has said Missouri is unlikely to see new gun legislation, including red flag laws. He has also said lawmakers should examine public policies, including guns, in response to shootings.

Latest Candidate Updates

Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.

Missouri State Senate District 8 winner?

2d

Jon Patterson's odds reached 80%, topping the previous high of 73% over the last 15 days.

80%7%

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • News
  • Polls
  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising