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NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 24, 2026, 2:58 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 62% | |
| 49% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Trump and Vance are using the Dallas GOP convention to rally support for Republican midterm candidates and keeping Senate control. Trump again backed Ken Paxton, while recent polling cited in the coverage says the Texas Senate race has tightened. The new cash-payment pledge is part of the broader GOP message, but its market impact is uncertain. The convention and Trump’s backing may help Republican enthusiasm, but the effect on the race is unclear. The tighter polling suggests more uncertainty rather than a clear shift.
With less than five weeks to go until the midterm elections, Republicans face historical headwinds as the party in power and must also contend with high gas prices amid the ongoing Iran war.
The Fox News forecast shows Democrats gaining momentum in the House race, while 17 toss-up districts could decide control.
A federal judge has ordered the Trump administration to halt investigations in nine states into whether noncitizens are registered to vote. U.S. District Court Judge Araceli Martinez-Olguin in Oakland found the effort is relying on data that’s full of errors and that it’s intimidating groups doing voter assistance efforts.
The day's schedule will end with the first appearance from Vice President JD Vance and another set of remarks from President Donald Trump.
Stricter voter ID advocates push measures in some states to require driver's license or partial Social Security numbers on mail-in ballots.
The Trump administration lost a mail ballot case at the Supreme Court but won most election cases about redistricting and campaign spending.
Follow live coverage as Republicans kick off the first-ever midterm primary convention on September 9 and 10 in Dallas, Texas, with speeches expected from Trump on both days.
Missourians will vote on the legality of abortion, a public endowment fund meant eliminate taxes, and a redistricted congressional map this election.
DHS appointees made an unusual request of its agency that protects election systems: Secretly acquire a voting machine and hack it. Though not acted on, the request shows how the Trump administration has tried to use the agency for its own ends.
Political power in state legislatures and governors’ offices is at stake in the November elections in more than one-third of the states.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
