Prediction Edge
High Impact3d
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

44%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is now leading at 44%, ahead by 5.0 points.

Democrat
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Democratic candidate for Governor in Alaska

Live Odds — Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

55%chance to win

$547.8KNOV 3, 2027

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer State Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyLiberal Democrat

Age37 years old (Feb 7, 1989)

GenderMale

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LocationAlaska

BackgroundPolitician

EducationYale University (attended)

Notable personal detailsJonathan Septer Kreiss-Tomkins is an American politician and former Democratic member of the Alaska House of Representatives, representing Sitka and other Southeast Alaska communities from 2013 to 2023. He has been active in Alaska civic and education initiatives, including co-founding Outer Coast in Sitka, and has worked on public-policy and data-focused projects. He attended Yale University and later launched a campaign for governor of Alaska.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports reforming Alaska’s oil tax regime to reduce tax credits/subsidies to oil companies and protect state revenue for services; has co-sponsored legislation to raise the state gas tax to fund transportation and has criticized large oil-company tax breaks that shrink revenue for education and infrastructure.

Healthcare

Supports expanding Medicaid and increasing access to coverage through the Affordable Care Act; has advocated for Medicaid expansion as beneficial to rural hospitals and uninsured Alaskans.

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Immigration & Border

Supports protections for Dreamers and has signed on as a state leader for a pro-DACA advocacy initiative; his campaign materials focus on state economic and infrastructure priorities and do not outline an enforcement-first immigration agenda.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate identifies as pro-choice and has opposed legislative measures that would restrict access or funding for abortion in Alaska. Public statements and recorded votes indicate support for abortion access while engaging with policy debates rather than endorsing unrestricted, no-limits language.

Climate & Energy

Supports policies to expand clean energy and energy efficiency and has sponsored legislation to increase eligibility for energy-efficiency loans. Has endorsed large-scale clean energy investment and a transition toward 100% clean energy in a multi-jurisdictional sign-on letter. Positions show support for active climate and clean-energy policy while recognizing transitional policy approaches for Alaska's context.

Latest Candidate Updates

Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.

Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

3dHigh Impact

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is now leading at 44%, ahead by 5.0 points.

44%

Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

22h

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins's odds reached 50%, topping the previous high of 33%.

50%17%

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 18, 2026

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is running for Alaska governor in 2026, with his campaign centered on education funding, energy costs, housing, childcare, fisheries, and resource development. Recent coverage has focused on his bid and on endorsements, including support from fishing groups and an opinion piece backing him as a strong choice for governor. The reporting also frames him as a candidate trying to appeal to independents and moderate Republicans in a competitive race.

en.wikipedia.org+50

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Alaska Survey Research
15%10%5%0%
12.2%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
J. Kreiss-Tomkins
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Alaska Survey ResearchJul 1, 2026
12.2%
Dittman ResearchApr 30, 2026
5.0%
Lake Research PartnersFeb 11, 2026
9.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

7
Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising