Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Josh Riley

Josh Riley

Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New York

Live Odds — NY-19 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

96.5%chance to win

$10.3KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age45 years old (Jan 21, 1981)

GenderMale

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LocationNew York

BackgroundU.S. Representative (NY-19)

EducationB.A., College of William & Mary (2003)

Notable personal detailsJosh Riley is a U.S. Representative for New York’s 19th congressional district, serving in Congress since January 3, 2025. Before taking office, he worked at the U.S. Department of Labor, served as counsel to U.S. Senator Al Franken on the Senate Judiciary Committee, clerked on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, and practiced law. He earned a B.A. from the College of William & Mary and a J.D. from Harvard University.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Riley supports middle-class tax cuts and reducing utility-related tax burdens, including letting households deduct taxes and state fees on utility bills. He has also backed higher taxes on corporate profits and a surtax on very high incomes and large trusts, with revenue used to fund expanded benefits such as Medicare vision and dental coverage and enhanced child tax credits.

Healthcare

Josh Riley says healthcare should be a civil right and has framed his approach around protecting women’s healthcare decisions. He has also supported stronger insurance oversight, including requiring insurers to spend more premium dollars on care rather than executive compensation, marketing, and lobbying.

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Immigration & Border

Supports securing the border with more border agents, more immigration judges, and measures to deter illegal immigration. Also supports legal immigration and visa reforms to help farmers and trades access labor.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Josh Riley supports abortion access and reproductive freedom. He has said he would sponsor the Women’s Health Protection Act, fight to put Roe v. Wade back into law, and oppose efforts to restrict access to birth control, IVF, and mifepristone. He has also cosponsored legislation to restore abortion access and block criminalization of interstate travel for care.

Climate & Energy

Josh Riley supports bold action on climate and environmental protection. His campaign platform backs holding polluters accountable, protecting clean water and natural places, creating jobs building products to fight climate change, ending reliance on fossil fuels over the long term, and restoring EPA authority to fight climate change. His congressional record is also heavily pro-environment, with LCV scoring him at 97% pro-environment in 2025.

Public Safety & Guns

Josh Riley supports stronger background checks, keeping weapons of war off the streets, and prohibiting domestic abusers from accessing weapons. He says these measures should be paired with honoring law-abiding gun owners’ Second Amendment rights.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 29, 2026

Josh Riley is in the news because Republicans are targeting New York’s 19th Congressional District as a possible pickup in the 2026 midterm elections. One report says actor Kelsey Grammer has said he would consider running for office, though he did not say for which race. The coverage mainly highlights the district’s growing political attention rather than any new move by Riley himself.

history.house.gov+47

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$9.8M
$7.4M
$4.9M
$2.5M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$4.2M
$17.0K
$4.2M
$174.0K

Cycle 2024

$9.8M
$68.3K
$9.8M
$408.2K

Cycle 2026

$4.8M
$3.2M
$1.7M
$94.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements