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2026 New York House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 New York House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

NY-19 House winner?

$10.1K

NOV 3, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated Sep 10, 2026, 2:53 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Funds raised
Josh Riley	97%	$4.83M
Peter K Oberacker	6%	$1.24M

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 10, 2026, 2:53 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$10.1K

24h volume

J. Riley97%

P. Oberacker6%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

New York 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

NY-19 House winner?

Peter K Oberacker's odds are down 19.5 points and are now at 6% over a 3-day streak.

6%20%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

The main new development is scrutiny of Republican candidate Peter Oberacker over a resurfaced post showing his grandfather in a Nazi military uniform. Oberacker has defended the post and said he sees it differently now. Other recent coverage is mostly general district context rather than new race-specific news. The controversy could create some downside risk for Oberacker and add uncertainty around the Republican side. The broader market effect is likely limited unless the issue grows further.

Articles

TTCPalm21 days ago

What to know about Byron Donalds after Florida primary win

Byron Donalds won Florida's GOP governor primary. Learn about his family, career, record and rise in politics.

BNBreitbart News Network22 days ago

* Election Night Livewire * Byron Donalds Eyes Governor's Mansion as Scandals Plague Races Across Country

Scandals abound as voters in Florida, Alaska, Wyoming, and California choose between felons, underwear models, and disgraced former congressmen.

WEWashington Examiner3 months ago

Republicans select slate against New York congressional Democrats

Republicans hold few competitive seats in New York, which makes each district a possibly critical pickup to expand the slim House majority.

SSalon5 months ago

GOP House majority shrinks as Democrat wins New Jersey special election

Progressive activist Analilia Mejia, who campaigned on affordability, will finish out Mikie Sherrill’s term.

NYNew York Post18 days ago

NY lawmaker saluted grandfather who served in Nazi Germany in bizarre post

Republican State Sen. Peter Oberacker shared an image of his grandfather, Ludwig Oberacker, clad in a Nazi military uniform, including a German eagle clutching a swastika wreath in its talons and another swastika badge, in a Nov. 11, 2015, Facebook post that was first reported by Politico.

NYNew York Post3 months ago

Controversial Mamdani-backed NY-13 candidate doles out seemingly illegal freebies, from ice cream to World Cup tix

A controversial lefty New York congressional candidate is offering covered World Cup tickets to campaign volunteers — and free ice cream to early voters...