



General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Juan Ciscomani is trading at 26% to win the AZ-06 House winner? on prediction markets.
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age43 years old (Aug 31, 1982)
GenderMale
LocationArizona
BackgroundU.S. Representative
EducationA.A., Pima Community College (2003)
Notable personal detailsJuan Guadalupe Ciscomani III is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative for Arizona's 6th congressional district, first elected in 2022 and sworn in on January 3, 2023. Born in Hermosillo, Sonora, Mexico, he was raised in Tucson, Arizona and later earned an associate degree from Pima Community College and a bachelor's degree from the University of Arizona. Before Congress, he worked at the University of Arizona, held leadership roles with the Tucson Hispanic Chamber of Commerce, and served on staff in Arizona Governor Doug Ducey's office.
Supports extending the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and advancing federal tax relief measures for families and businesses; advocates pro-growth, pro-business tax policies and tax cuts. Has voted for Republican budget measures tied to extending tax cuts even where critics say they would reduce spending on programs like Medicaid.
Supports protecting and preserving Medicaid coverage for vulnerable populations, has opposed legislation that would reduce Medicaid benefits, and has backed extensions of Affordable Care Act premium subsidies and other measures to prevent premium increases. Positions emphasize maintaining government programs that expand access while pursuing targeted reforms to improve program integrity and affordability.
Supports stronger border security and enforcement measures, emphasizes backing law enforcement and Department of Defense/DHS actions at the southern border, and praises recent administration policies that reduced migrant encounters. Engages in congressional delegations and legislation to counter threats at the border (e.g., drone activity) and prioritizes securing ports of entry and preventing illicit trafficking.
Supports restrictions on abortion while endorsing exceptions for rape, incest, and to protect the life of the mother; opposes a federal abortion ban but has supported restrictive state-level limits and related legislation. Has backed measures such as the Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Protection Act and supported protections for IVF while describing his position as pro-life with exceptions.
Supports an all-of-the-above energy approach that emphasizes American energy dominance, private-sector innovation, and domestic clean energy technologies while favoring market-driven solutions and streamlined permitting. Has sponsored legislation to strengthen domestic critical minerals supply and backed measures to expand residential solar access, and has aligned with conservative energy groups and caucuses that prioritize innovation over aggressive regulatory mandates. Has also voted with House GOP measures that would roll back some Inflation Reduction Act clean-energy tax provisions, while—
The candidate supports the Second Amendment and says he will oppose infringement on the right to keep and bear arms. He has opposed new firearm restrictions and emphasized support for law enforcement and public safety. His record and outside groups note votes and statements opposing certain gun-safety measures such as expanded background checks or regulatory restrictions.
Juan Ciscomani is in the news because his Arizona 6th Congressional District race is still competitive heading into the general election. Recent coverage has focused on his Democratic opponent JoAnna Mendoza, after a report about her undisclosed brief marriage in 1998 drew criticism from Republican-aligned groups. Arizona’s primary results also set the stage for the November race, which could affect control of the U.S. House.
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Juan Ciscomani currently averages 43.3%, ranking second in this race, 2.0 points behind the next candidate.
Average recalculated from polls through Jun 8 - 11.


Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Endorsers of Juan Ciscomani for AZ-06 House winner?
Elected official
Main Street Caucus endorsed Juan Ciscomani in a March 9, 2026 letter to President Trump.
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2022
2024
2026
LatestCycle 2022
Cycle 2024
Cycle 2026
Source: FEC