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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

Louisiana Senate winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Julia Letlow

    Will Republicans win the Senate race in Louisiana?

    Selected market

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 6:05 AM UTC

Republican
Julia Letlow

Julia Letlow

Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Louisiana

Saved odds — Louisiana Senate winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

87%chance to win

$813.9KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

Age45 years old (Mar 16, 1981)

GenderFemale

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LocationLouisiana

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationUniversity of Louisiana Monroe — B.A., Speech Communication (2002)

Notable personal detailsJulia Janelle Letlow is a Republican member of the U.S. House of Representatives, representing Louisiana’s 5th Congressional District since April 2021 after winning a special election. She previously worked in higher education administration and communications at the University of Louisiana Monroe and served in education and quality roles at Tulane University School of Medicine. She holds B.A. and M.A. degrees in speech communication from the University of Louisiana Monroe and a Ph.D. in communication from the University of South Florida. She is the mother of two children, Jacqueline and Jeremiah.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax relief for middle-class families and seniors, including extension of the 2017 tax cuts and increased child tax benefits; favors policies that reduce tax burdens and provide targeted economic assistance to farmers. Advocates using tariff revenue and one-time payments to help agricultural producers while opposing tax increases.

Healthcare

Supports targeted federal actions to expand access to maternal and rural healthcare through legislation and federal funding; sponsors pilot programs and bills to provide newborn supplies and maternal supports and has secured federal resources for rural health facilities.

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Immigration & Border

Julia Letlow emphasizes stronger border security and supports increased enforcement measures, criticizing Biden administration border policies and backing actions to assist state and local law enforcement at the border. She has supported resolutions and statements condemning the Biden administration’s handling of the southern border and expressed support for federal resources for enforcement.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Julia Letlow opposes federal protections for abortion rights and has supported pro-life measures. She voted against the Women’s Health Protection Act and co-sponsored the Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Protection Act; she has received 100% ratings from National Right to Life and low ratings from Planned Parenthood-affiliated groups.

Climate & Energy

Supports federal investments in energy projects including Department of Energy programs for propane research, carbon utilization, and small modular reactors, and has a voting record with multiple votes scored by environmental groups as opposing recent pro-environment measures. Positions and actions emphasize energy development and infrastructure rather than aggressive emissions-reduction or Green New Deal–style policies.

Public Safety & Guns

Julia Letlow identifies as an advocate for the Second Amendment, has declined to commit to new gun-control measures such as enhanced background checks or bans on assault-style weapons, and emphasizes support for law enforcement and school safety measures (including mental-health resources).

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 26, 2026

Julia Letlow won the Louisiana Republican nomination for U.S. Senate after defeating state Treasurer John Fleming in a runoff. She had already led the first round and finished ahead of Sen. Bill Cassidy, who was eliminated from the race. The result makes Letlow the GOP nominee heading into the general election, and she has said she would align closely with Donald Trump if elected.

letlow.house.gov+50

Latest Polls

Louisiana Senate winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Julia Letlow currently averages 45.3%, ranking first in this race, 2.0 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 45.3%Position: firstMargin: +2.0 ptsLatest poll: 47.0% (Oct 29 - 31)Polls included: 4

Average recalculated from polls through Oct 29 - 31.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
45.3%
43.3%
Julia Letlow
J. Letlow
Jamie Davis
J. Davis
Date (Start - End)SpreadLetlowDavis
Polling Average
Letlow+2.0
45.3%43.3%
Lincoln Park StrategiesOct 29 - 31
Davis+0.0
47.0%47.0%
Hart Research AssociatesOct 28 - 29
Davis+0.0
45.0%45.0%
Hart Research AssociatesSep 17 - 19
Letlow+4.0
48.0%44.0%
Public Policy PollingJul 21 - 22
Letlow+4.0
41.0%37.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

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  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising