$92.7K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 9, 2026, 1:58 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 44.5% | — | |
| 6% | 40.5% | $1.98M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Louisiana’s Senate race now has both major-party nominees. Julia Letlow won the Republican runoff, and Jamie Davis secured the Democratic nomination. The market now has a confirmed general-election matchup. The field is now clearer, which should reduce uncertainty in the market. The latest news mainly confirms the matchup rather than shifting the race toward either party.
When he isn’t on the campaign trail, Davis is fixing farm equipment and driving combines.
Julia Letlow didn’t plan on getting into politics. But the death of her husband, Luke, turned her life upside down.
Trump-endorsed Louisiana Rep. Julia Letlow defeated State Treasurer John Fleming in the state's Senate Republican primary runoff Saturday -- marking the latest display of the president's primary election pull.
Rep. Julia Letlow won the Republican primary runoff for Senate in Louisiana, NBC News projects, defeating state Treasurer John Fleming in another victory for President Donald Trump’s slate of preferred candidates
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
In today’s edition, we take stock of President Donald Trump’s retribution campaign this month as Ken Paxton and James Talarico look ahead to the general election in Texas.
Texas Republicans chose a candidate who embodies something essential about the party under Trump.
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton is touting President Trump's endorsement ahead of his Republican primary runoff against Sen. John Cornyn.
President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, dislodging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill.
The contest for Kentucky's 4th Congressional District will go down as the most expensive primary race in US history, with more than $32 million spent on political ads, according to the firm AdImpact.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 21, 2026 and Sep 19, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. DavisJamie DavisSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
