Prediction Edge

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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

South Dakota Senate winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Julian Beaudion

    Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Dakota?

    Selected market

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 7:07 AM UTC

Democrat
Julian Beaudion

Julian Beaudion

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in South Dakota

Saved odds — South Dakota Senate winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

0.7%chance to win

$789.2KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Senate candidate

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

GenderMale

LocationSouth Dakota

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BackgroundU.S. Senate candidate

Notable personal detailsJulian C. Beaudion is a Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in South Dakota in the 2026 election cycle. He is a small-business owner and former South Dakota state trooper, and he has worked in community leadership roles in Sioux Falls. He is co-founder and executive director of The Hub SD and has served as executive director of the South Dakota African American History Museum, vice president of a local NAACP chapter, and president of Juneteenth Sioux Falls.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports public investments to lower costs for families and criticized recent large tax cuts as inadequate for addressing affordability; emphasizes investments in housing, health care access, and policies that prioritize working families over corporate tax breaks.

Healthcare

Supports protecting and strengthening Medicare and Medicaid and prioritizes veterans’ access to mental health and VA services. Emphasizes broadening access to care for rural and underserved communities as part of his Senate campaign platform.

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Climate & Energy

Supports promoting renewable energy and investing in infrastructure while emphasizing practical, bipartisan solutions; campaign messaging endorses renewable energy promotion without committing to aggressive fossil-fuel phase-out or Green New Deal–style targets.

Latest Polls

South Dakota Senate winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Julian Beaudion currently averages 27.8%, ranking second in this race, 22.3 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 27.8%Position: secondMargin: -22.3 ptsLatest poll: 18.0% (May 29 - 30)Polls included: 4

Average recalculated from polls through May 29 - 30.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
27.8%
50%
23%
Julian Beaudion
J. Beaudion
M. Michael Rounds
M. Rounds
Brian L. Bengs
B. Bengs
Date (Start - End)SpreadBeaudionRoundsBengs
Polling Average
Rounds+22.3
27.8%50.0%23.0%
Public Policy PollingMay 29 - 30
Rounds+25.0
18.0%43.0%23.0%
Public Policy PollingMay 29 - 30
Rounds+25.0
31.0%56.0%–
Public Policy PollingFeb 17 - 18
Rounds+17.0
32.0%49.0%–
Public Policy PollingNov 13 - 14
Rounds+22.0
30.0%52.0%–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$228.3K
$171.2K
$114.1K
$57.1K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$228.3K
$3.1K
$225.2K
$12.5K

Source: FEC

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