$114.2K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 11, 2026, 12:23 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93% | 47.6% | $3.18M | |
| 9% | 33.4% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
South Dakota’s Senate race remains centered on Sen. Mike Rounds after the Democratic nominee withdrew. Rounds is now facing only independent Brian Bengs, and the latest reporting highlights a policy question over Wounded Knee medals rather than a major shift in the race. The race still looks heavily tilted toward the Republican nominee, with the Democratic field cleared out. The latest news is unlikely to change that much, though it keeps the contest focused on Rounds versus an independent.
The GOP’s unusual midterm convention revealed a strategy to double down on an unpopular Trump — in order to spur his core voters to the polls.
WASHINGTON (AP) — Republicans appeared to have a firm grip on the Senate heading into the final two years of President Donald Trump’s term. But with less than t
The former state House speaker and majority leader served 19 years in the House before he died in 1985, the same year his runoff law passed.
South Dakota Gov. Larry Rhoden survives an upset attempt by popular at-large Rep. Dusty Johnson and two other challengers in Tuesday's Republican gubernatorial primary.
After attacking the Texas attorney general, who won the G.O.P. nomination, Senate Republicans are pivoting sharply to support him in what is now a competitive race.
South Dakota Republican U.S. Sen. Mike Rounds said he wants to “get the facts” before deciding whether any medals awarded to soldiers who were at the 1890 Wounded Knee Massacre should be rescinded.
The heartland Democrat is making a comeback.
Republicans appeared to have a firm grip on the Senate heading into the final two years of President Donald Trump’s term. But with less than two months until Election Day, control of the chamber is now up for grabs.
They have been backing independent Senate candidates in red states. But Montana is not working as planned.
Nevada, South Carolina and North Dakota hosted primary elections Tuesday, but much of the political world was focused on Maine’s high-stakes U.S. Senate contest. The results were never in question....
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 30, 2025 and Aug 17, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. RoundsM. Michael RoundsJ. BeaudionJulian BeaudionSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
