$31.1K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 17, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 48.0% | $3.18M | |
| 7% | 31.7% | — | |
| 2% | 27.8% | $228.3K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
South Dakota’s GOP governor race is headed to a runoff between Larry Rhoden and Toby Doeden after no one cleared the 35% threshold. Doeden led the first round, but Rhoden advanced as the second-place finisher. The result leaves the Republican nomination unresolved for now. This keeps the GOP nomination unsettled for now, with the runoff likely to determine the eventual favorite. The news is more relevant to the governor race than this Senate party market, so it should have little direct effect here.
The heartland Democrat is making a comeback.
The former state House speaker and majority leader served 19 years in the House before he died in 1985, the same year his runoff law passed.
South Dakota Gov. Larry Rhoden survives an upset attempt by popular at-large Rep. Dusty Johnson and two other challengers in Tuesday's Republican gubernatorial primary.
After attacking the Texas attorney general, who won the G.O.P. nomination, Senate Republicans are pivoting sharply to support him in what is now a competitive race.
They have been backing independent Senate candidates in red states. But Montana is not working as planned.
Nevada, South Carolina and North Dakota hosted primary elections Tuesday, but much of the political world was focused on Maine’s high-stakes U.S. Senate contest. The results were never in question....
Several key primary races, including California’s governor, remain uncalled, CBS News veteran correspondent Scott Pelley is sacked and Republicans get a boost with Alabama’s congressional map.
South Dakota voters advanced candidates to the November midterms.
Once a long shot, South Dakota House Speaker Jon Hansen is now a top contender for the GOP governor nomination.
With Gov. Janet Mills dropping out, the U.S. Senate race for Maine appears to be down to newcomer Graham Platner and incumbent Sen. Susan Collins.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 30, 2025 and Jul 9, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. RoundsM. Michael RoundsJ. BeaudionJulian BeaudionSource: FEC
