$4.3K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
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$4.3K
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source: Kalshi
The biggest development is speculation that Kristi Noem could enter the South Dakota Republican Senate primary against Sen. Mike Rounds. Filing deadlines are approaching, and Trump has already endorsed Rounds. That keeps the GOP contest the main source of uncertainty for this seat. The main effect is added uncertainty around the Republican primary. If Noem runs, it could tighten the race; for now, Rounds still appears favored.
With Gov. Janet Mills dropping out, the U.S. Senate race for Maine appears to be down to newcomer Graham Platner and incumbent Sen. Susan Collins.
Voter registration data reveals where Republicans have lost, and gained, ground over the past year with Trump back in office.
A new poll shows U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson leads the South Dakota Republican governor race but may face a runoff. Toby Doeden of Aberdeen is second.
Ousted Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem still has time to enter South Dakota’s 2026 Senate race.
Texas Republicans are headed for a brutal Senate runoff. Sen. John Cornyn narrowly leads Attorney General Ken Paxton in the first round.
Some state level Democrats aren’t willing to pave the way for an independent, even if they have a better shot at winning an already-uphill race.
CNN By Priscilla Alvarez, Kristen Holmes, Annie Grayer, Lauren Fox, CNN (CNN) — President Donald Trump said Thursday on social media he was pushing Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem out of her position and would name Oklahoma Sen. Markwayne Mullin to replace her. Trump thanked Noem for her service, saying in his Truth Social post
New nationwide polling data shows the president is underwater in every swing state while his core base remains strong.
Trump frequently brings up the SAVE America Act, which would impose stricter voting requirements. He told NBC News he is "not doing anything" until Congress passes it.
The GOP appears stuck between a rock and a hard place when it comes to the legislation the party has dubbed the “SAVE America Act.”
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
