$219.3K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 7:58 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 47.8% | $3.18M | |
| 6% | 35.9% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Republican officials are backing a Supreme Court fight over new mail-voting rules, and GOP leaders are leaning into Trump to energize donors and voters. AP also says Democrats are widening their Senate map into several states, while Republicans are spending to defend key seats. The updates point to a competitive national environment, but not a clear South Dakota-specific shift. The news is mostly about the broader Senate environment, not South Dakota specifically. It suggests a competitive national backdrop, but it does not clearly change the party outlook for this race.
Democrats are making surprising gains in some of the most Republican parts of the country, but the same surge isn't showing up in the swing states that usually decide control of Congress, according to a new analysis.Senate races in Alaska, Kansas, Nebraska and Mississippi have tightened sharply, eve...
The former state House speaker and majority leader served 19 years in the House before he died in 1985, the same year his runoff law passed.
South Dakota Gov. Larry Rhoden survives an upset attempt by popular at-large Rep. Dusty Johnson and two other challengers in Tuesday's Republican gubernatorial primary.
After attacking the Texas attorney general, who won the G.O.P. nomination, Senate Republicans are pivoting sharply to support him in what is now a competitive race.
Opinion: Though unlikely, if independents perform well in the midterms, neither party might control the U.S. Senate, writes Dave Anderson.
The heartland Democrat is making a comeback.
They have been backing independent Senate candidates in red states. But Montana is not working as planned.
Nevada, South Carolina and North Dakota hosted primary elections Tuesday, but much of the political world was focused on Maine’s high-stakes U.S. Senate contest. The results were never in question....
Several key primary races, including California’s governor, remain uncalled, CBS News veteran correspondent Scott Pelley is sacked and Republicans get a boost with Alabama’s congressional map.
South Dakota voters advanced candidates to the November midterms.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 30, 2025 and Sep 27, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. RoundsM. Michael RoundsJ. BeaudionJulian BeaudionSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
