Prediction Edge
Democrat
Justin Pearson

Justin Pearson

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Tennessee

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Justin Pearson is trading at 15% to win the TN-09 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer State Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age31 years old (Jan 7, 1995)

GenderMale

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LocationTennessee

BackgroundState representative

EducationMitchell High School

Notable personal detailsJustin Jamal Pearson is a Democratic politician and activist who serves in the Tennessee House of Representatives for District 86 (Memphis/Shelby County). He has been active in environmental justice organizing, including work with Memphis Community Against Pollution, and gained national attention in 2023 as part of the “Tennessee Three.” In 2025, he launched a campaign for the Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Tennessee’s 9th Congressional District.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports higher taxes on the very wealthy (including a billionaire tax) and higher taxes on large capital gains and incomes for the ultra-rich to fund expanded social programs; supports policies to raise workers’ incomes such as a higher federal minimum wage and Medicare for All.

Healthcare

Supports Medicare for All and policies to expand healthcare access. The campaign platform lists healthcare as a priority and explicitly calls for Medicare for All.

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Immigration & Border

Supports dismantling or major reform of current federal immigration enforcement agencies (including calling to abolish ICE and replace current Border Patrol), emphasizes protecting immigrants and opposing increased local/state enforcement measures. Advocates for approaches prioritizing immigrant rights and limiting enforcement expansion.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting abortion and reproductive rights and opposes Tennessee’s restrictive reproductive-health laws; has emphasized changing state law to protect victims of sexual violence and has voted against legislation that would further restrict access to abortion and gender-affirming care.

Climate & Energy

Justin J. Pearson is an environmental justice advocate who has led efforts to block fossil-fuel infrastructure in Memphis, fought a proposed crude oil pipeline, and opposed new gas-turbine permits that would increase local air pollution. His public statements and awards emphasize climate justice, clean air and water, and support for policies and actions that limit fossil-fuel projects in frontline communities.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong gun safety measures including banning or restricting assault-style weapons, repealing permitless carry, expanding extreme risk protection orders, and other regulatory steps to reduce gun violence. Has sponsored or introduced legislation on assault-weapon bans, ERPOs (red flag laws), and repeal of permitless carry and has been a prominent participant in gun-control protests.

Latest Candidate Updates

Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.

TN-09 House winner?

5d

Justin Pearson has raised $2,344,946.62 this cycle, but Brent Taylor holds the lead in the latest odds for "TN-09 House winner?"

16%

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Justin Pearson is in the news mainly for his congressional campaign in Tennessee, where he is running in a newly redrawn district after Republicans reshaped the map to weaken Memphis Democrats. He has picked up high-profile support, including public backing from Kamala Harris and an endorsement from Bernie Sanders. Pearson is also criticizing the federal task force in Memphis as officials review the fatal shooting of Tyrin Johnson by Tennessee National Guard members, with Democrats calling for more transparency.

wapp.capitol.tn.gov+52

Latest Polls

TN-09 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Data for Progress
50%40%30%20%10%0%
44%
45%
Justin Pearson
J. Pearson
Steve Cohen
S. Cohen
Date (Start - End)SpreadPearsonCohen
Data for ProgressJan 30 - Feb 3
Cohen+1.0
44.0%45.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

16
TN-09 Democratic nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.3M
$1.8M
$1.2M
$586.2K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$2.3M
$844.7K
$1.5M
$79.0K

Source: FEC