RP12h
Republican Party
62%24H65%Republican Party's odds are now 64%, past the previous high of 2%.
Loading race
Loading race
Loading race
$3.6K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Claim $20 trading on Kalshi.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$3.6K
24h volume
$36
source: Kalshi
Republican Party's odds are now 64%, past the previous high of 2%.
Republican Party's odds are now 63%, past the previous high of 2%.
Republican Party's odds are now 15%, past the previous high of 2%.
Tennessee Republicans are publicly floating a late redistricting push ahead of the 2026 elections, including calls to target the Memphis-area seat, though Gov. Bill Lee has not confirmed he will pursue it and the timeline is tight. Separately, Rep. Steve Cohen faces a Democratic primary challenge from state Rep. Justin Pearson. Redistricting talk adds uncertainty around the district’s 2026 outlook, since lines could change if lawmakers act. The confirmed primary challenge could raise intraparty risk for Democrats, but the overall effect is unclear without more details.
"Thank you Governor Lee — PUSH HARD!" President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social about redrawing Tennessee's congressional districts.
Editor Chris Quinn hosts our daily half-hour news podcast, with editorial board member Lisa Garvin, impact editor Leila Atassi and content director Laura Johnston.
By now, you've probably heard Harvey Levin chanting "OWTA" in the TMZ newsroom, but might be wondering ... what exactly does that mean?
U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn called for the legislature to reconvene and redraw the congressional map to eliminate Tennessee's one Democratic district.
The wife of Super Bowl champion Plaxico Burress and ex-sideline reporter Michele Tafoya are among candidates with NFL ties running for Congress.
The latest campaign finance reports show Democratic enthusiasm in key House and Senate races, but national Republican groups have far more in the bank to potentially spend down the road.
As the feds officially declassified marijuana as a less dangerous drug, Nashville lawmaker calls for a special session to legalize medical cannabis.
21 Republicans voted down a bill to make it a crime to knowingly give or transfer guns to felons -- including three who voted for it in committee.
The last time former Rep. and South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford went up against President Donald Trump, it didn't end well for him.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
