$13.4K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 10, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 88% | $1.55M | |
| 13% | $2.34M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest development is the new Tennessee map, which dismantles the old Memphis-based 9th District and splits it into three Republican-leaning seats. Justin J. Pearson says he is the Democratic candidate, and he has drawn support from Kamala Harris and Indivisible. A federal panel has allowed the map to remain in place for now. The redistricting news appears to favor Republicans by making the district more Republican-leaning. Pearson’s backing may help Democrats, but the overall map change likely keeps GOP odds stronger.
The primaries provided the first test of a House map redrawn after the Supreme Court weakened Voting Rights Act protections for minorities.
Tennessee state Rep. Justin J. Pearson talks about how national debates over data centers and redistricting are hyperlocal issues in his state.
After 10 states enacted new congressional maps, Republicans are in position to gain up to 16 seats this fall, compared with six for the Democrats, as the parties vie for control of the House.
Plus, Blackburn hosts a policy summit and Cohen endorses Molder in the 5th Congressional District.
After Tennessee Republicans rammed through a new congressional map that dismantles the state’s lone Democrat-held congressional district centered in Memphis, at least one furious Democrat is now openly floating the idea of Memphis seceding from the Volunteer State altogether.
MEMPHIS -- Tennessee primary voters picked a pair of Memphis-area lawmakers Thursday to square off in a dramatically reconfigured U.S. House seat that is central to President Donald Trump's plan to try to hold on to a slim Republican majority in the midterm congressional elections.
By David Wright, Katie Doran, CNN (CNN) — Memphis City Councilmember Jerri Green will win Tennessee’s Democratic primary for governor, CNN’s Decision Desk projects. Thursday’s primaries will set the general election matchup in a race for governor in the deep-red state as well as House races being run under a new Republican-drawn congressional map aimed
A new Tennessee congressional map that carved up a majority Black district in Memphis is making its debut in primary elections Tuesday.
A panel of federal judges denied a preliminary injunction, effectively upholding Tennessee Republicans' gerrymander of Memphis.
Democratic support for Graham Platner’s campaign collapsed Monday evening, with calls for him to exit the Maine Senate race mounting by the minute and Plat
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Sep 1, 2026 and Sep 3, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. PearsonJustin PearsonB. TaylorBrent TaylorSource: FEC
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
