Prediction Edge
Democrat
Justin Poff

Justin Poff

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Arizona

Live Odds — AZ-05 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$34.5KJUL 22, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleConstruction management

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

LocationArizona

BackgroundConstruction management

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Notable personal detailsJustin Poff is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Arizona’s 5th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He has described himself as a lifelong Arizonan from Wickenburg and a working-class construction management professional. His campaign highlights experience leading projects and holding Project Management Professional (PMP) and Six Sigma certifications.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports closing tax loopholes and enforcing the tax code on billionaires, eliminating the Social Security payroll tax cap so high earners pay more, and using revenue to expand programs such as universal childcare, higher Social Security benefits, and student debt cancellation.

Healthcare

Supports guaranteeing universal healthcare and endorses a single-payer approach to eliminate private-insurer overhead, reduce costs, and provide every American access to care. Advocates reforms to expand primary care, reduce administrative waste, and adopt pricing strategies used by other countries to cut U.S. healthcare spending.

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Immigration & Border

Supports expanding legal pathways and streamlining naturalization, restoring due process and oversight of immigration enforcement, and dismantling ICE. Prioritizes targeted enforcement against trafficking and exploitation while opposing walls and mass enforcement actions.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports codifying abortion access into federal law, protecting reproductive healthcare, and opposing criminalization of abortion; frames reproductive freedom as a personal medical choice and right to privacy.

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