$34.5K
JUL 21, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Jul 22, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $153.1K | |
| 2% | $53.0K | |
| 1% | $134.9K | |
| 1% | — | |
| 1% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The newest Arizona primary coverage projects Mark Lamb as the Republican nominee in the 5th District. Trump’s endorsement had already boosted Lamb in the race. The reporting also says the GOP winner is expected to be the clear favorite in the district. This does not directly change the Democratic nomination race, but it suggests the general-election field in AZ-05 is taking shape. The Democratic nominee market is still likely driven more by the Democratic primary itself than by these GOP updates.
Rep. Andy Biggs will win the Republican nomination for governor in Arizona, CNN’s Decision Desk projects, setting up a November clash with Democratic incumbent Gov. Katie Hobbs in the battleground state.
Donald Trump's endorsements face a key test in the Arizona primary, including backing Andy Biggs for the GOP gubernatorial nomination against Katie Hobbs in November.
Arizona Republicans will choose a nominee in a state primary Tuesday to challenge Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs in November.
Arizona Republicans will choose a nominee in a state primary Tuesday to challenge Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs in November.
Key races to watch include the face off between Sen. Ed Markey and Rep. Seth Moulton for the Democrate Senate nomination and what will happen with Moulton's empty seat.
A series of Trump-backed candidates will be the GOP's nominees in competitive Arizona races in November's midterm elections.
By David Wright, Katie Doran, CNN (CNN) — Rep. Andy Biggs will win the Republican nomination for governor in Arizona, CNN’s Decision Desk projects, setting up a November clash with Democratic incumbent Gov. Katie Hobbs in the battleground state. The win for Biggs, a close ally of President Donald Trump who secured his coveted support,
Arizona has traditionally been a red state, and six of its nine House representatives are Republicans.
Surprising campaigns, negative ads and alleged scandals could decide primaries
Here are three races worth watching.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
E. LeeElizabeth Lee
C. JamesChris James
B. HualdeBrian HualdeSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
