FL-14 House winner?
2dFresh reporting that Trump endorsed Mike Beltran lines up with a sharp one-hour move in Florida-14, but the market still has Kathy Castor favored, making this a useful repricing signal rather than a leadership change.
63%28%
Democrat
Kathy Castor
Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Florida
$104.8K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Kathy Castor is trading at 65% to win the FL-14 House winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyModerate Democrat
Age60 years old (Aug 20, 1966)
GenderFemale
Show moreShow less
LocationFlorida
BackgroundAttorney
EducationEmory University — B.A.
Notable personal detailsKatherine Anne Castor is an American politician and lawyer who has served as the U.S. representative for Florida's 14th congressional district since 2007 (the district was numbered the 11th from 2007–2013). She previously served on the Hillsborough County Commission and worked in private law practice. She earned a B.A. from Emory University and a J.D. from Florida State University.
SourcesShowHide
history.house.govdocquery.fec.govcongress.goven.wikipedia.orgtriagecancer.orgthecandidate.comfec.govpostman.comgovinfo.govlinktr.eewikizero.orgnecanet.orgfilpac.comprojects.propublica.orgfec-dev-api.app.cloud.govispolitical.comes.wikipedia.orgdos.elections.myflorida.comcef.orgde.wikipedia.orgcastor.house.govdemocrats-edworkforce.house.govontheissues.orgiaproject.orgaxios.comwusf.orglcv.orgcastorforcongress.comhrc.orginstagram.comemilyslist.orgfacebook.comenvironmentamerica.orgballotpedia.orgactionnetwork.orgfloridapolitics.comfloridaphoenix.comwfla.comthehill.comflvoicenews.comnews.ballotpedia.orgwtsp.comafge.orgaol.comtampabay.comfr.wikipedia.orgclerk.house.govhouse.govtransition.fec.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports preserving and expanding tax credits for clean energy and health-care-related tax credits, opposes large deficit-exploding tax cuts that primarily benefit the wealthy and big corporations, and has voted for legislation that protects premium tax credits and funds investments in jobs and clean energy. These positions indicate favoring targeted tax measures and investments rather than large tax cuts.
Healthcare
Supports strengthening and preserving the Affordable Care Act and expanding Medicaid access for Floridians; has introduced and supported legislation and outreach to increase ACA enrollment and restore Medicaid-related funding. Advocates for policies to reduce health care costs and protect coverage for people with preexisting conditions.
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Immigration & Border
Supports protecting asylum seekers and immigrant families, expanding legal pathways and humanitarian protections, and reforming Immigration and Customs Enforcement to prevent abuses while calling for smarter border security. Has sponsored and supported legislation such as the DREAM Act and bills to keep families together and extend temporary protected status. Positions emphasize reform and humanitarian protections while acknowledging the need for enforcement reforms.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Supports codifying the right to abortion access and opposes state abortion bans; has called for protecting reproductive health freedoms and backed federal legislation to protect abortion access up to viability. Serves in the House Pro-Choice Caucus and has cosponsored the Women’s Health Protection Act.
Climate & Energy
Kathy Castor has led Democratic climate efforts in the U.S. House, sponsoring and promoting comprehensive clean-energy legislation and a congressional climate action plan while supporting investment in renewables, energy efficiency, and emissions reductions. She has advocated for major federal clean‑energy investments and consumer incentives and has included technologies such as nuclear in a low‑carbon portfolio. Her record shows consistent support for Paris‑aligned goals and large-scale climate policy while accepting a role for transitional energy solutions.
Public Safety & Guns
Supports expanded background checks and other gun-violence prevention measures while continuing to work within the framework of elected office; is a member of congressional gun-violence prevention groups and has backed legislation to close the ‘‘Charleston loophole’’ in background checks.
Latest Candidate Updates
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026
Kathy Castor is in the news because Republicans are targeting her Florida 14th Congressional District seat in the 2026 race. Early polling shows Republican Mike Beltran leading other GOP candidates in the district’s primary, and the seat is being discussed as part of a broader GOP push in Florida after redistricting. The coverage suggests the race is still early, but Republicans are positioning it as a competitive target.
history.house.gov+48
Articles
BNBreitbart News Network3 months ago
14 More Likely to Support a Candidate Who Backed Trump
Neutral
NYNew York Post26 days ago
What to watch in Florida's primary election
Neutral
NNPR3 months ago
An AI proxy war could reshape Congress — before Congress reshapes AI
Neutral
NNNBC News3 months ago
House Republicans prepare ad blitz to lock in Florida and Virginia redistricting wins
Neutral
Latest Polls
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
St. Pete Polls
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
46.2%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.3M
$1.8M
$1.2M
$584.5K
$0
2022
2024
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2022
$1.6M
$351.0K
$1.7M
$69.1K
Cycle 2024
$1.2M
$226.7K
$1.3M
$53.8K
Cycle 2026
$2.3M
$1.7M
$820.0K
$43.2K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Endorsements