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Which Party wins the 2026 Florida District 14 US House Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 4:59am UTC, in 172 daysLast updated: May 19, 2026, 1:53 PM UTC

FL-14 House winner?

$16.1K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

60.0%

R. Party

37.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$16.1K

24h volume

$12

D. Party60%

R. Party37%

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source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 18

Florida 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Florida 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Democratic Party

26%1H65%

The Democratic Party is now at 65% in "FL-14 House winner?", up from 39% an hour ago.

21d

Democratic Party

25%1H64%

The Democratic Party is now at 64% in "FL-14 House winner?", up from 39% an hour ago.

21d

Democratic Party

25%1H39%

The Democratic Party’s odds dropped 25 points in the last hour, leaving it at 39% in "FL-14 House winner?"

21d

News

AINews Summary

Republican Rocky Rochford has entered the race to unseat longtime Democratic Rep. Kathy Castor in Florida's 14th district. He is campaigning on a set of national and local issues, and the primary is set for August 18. The new challenge gives Republicans a clearer active effort to contest the seat, but the summaries do not show a polling shift or result. The market likely stays tilted by incumbency, with only modest added uncertainty from the campaign launch.

Articles

FNFox News4 days ago

Navy veteran Rocky Rochford hopes to unseat 20-year incumbent in Tampa Bay

Rocky Rochford spent 33 years in the US Navy, and now plans to bring that leadership experience to Congress, representing Florida's 14th district.

WWTOP7 days ago

Editorial Roundup: United States

Excerpts from recent editorials in the United States and abroad: ___ May 8 The Washington Post on Trump's second tariff defeat The Trump administration is…

NNNBC News1 month ago

Live updates: Ex-Pence aide to run for Congress as a Democrat

Get live updates and the latest news on the Trump administration as Ex-Mike Pence aide Olivia Troye announces a run for Congress as a Democrat and Rep. Eric Swalwell says he will resign from Congress amid sexual assault allegations.

AABC17News.com15 days ago

How Florida designed a US House map aiming to give Republicans four more seats

By Fredreka Schouten, Ethan Cohen, Renée Rigdon, CNN (CNN) — Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has signed into law a map he designed to give Republicans an edge in as many as four seats now held by Democrats. State lawmakers approved the new boundaries just hours after the US Supreme Court issued a decision limiting the

TTCPalm18 days ago

A closer look at five key areas affected by Florida redistricting

Five Florida U.S. House seats represented by Democrats show dramatic shifts to the GOP based on the 2024 presidential election results.

AABC17News.com1 month ago

Swalwell and Gonzales resign from Congress under threat of expulsion

CNN By Annie Grayer, CNN (CNN) — Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales resigned from Congress Tuesday, moments before their House colleagues were prepared to set in motion their swift removal. The Democrat and Republican escaped the almost certain public embarrassment of an expulsion vote on the House floor. But while they narrowly avoided the

NNewsBreak1 month ago

week recess as Iran debate rages and members face expulsion

House and Senate Dems plan to force votes on Iran war powers resolutions.

NNewsweek13 days ago

Republicans Lose Ground in Eight Key House Districts: Sabato’s Crystal Ball

Several seats thought to be safe for Republicans shifted toward competitiveness in new Sabato’s Crystal Ball midterm ratings.

LALos Angeles Times20 days ago

Supreme Court limits Voting Rights Act in setback for Black Democrats

The Supreme Court retreats from 1986 rules that called for electing Blacks and Latinos to Congress and state and local boards.

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Which Party wins the 2026 Florida District 14 US House Election?

FL-14 House winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Democratic Party

Democratic Party

Democratic Party

News

Navy veteran Rocky Rochford hopes to unseat 20-year incumbent in Tampa Bay

Editorial Roundup: United States

Live updates: Ex-Pence aide to run for Congress as a Democrat

How Florida designed a US House map aiming to give Republicans four more seats

A closer look at five key areas affected by Florida redistricting

Swalwell and Gonzales resign from Congress under threat of expulsion

week recess as Iran debate rages and members face expulsion

Republicans Lose Ground in Eight Key House Districts: Sabato’s Crystal Ball

Supreme Court limits Voting Rights Act in setback for Black Democrats

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Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Democratic Party

Democratic Party

Democratic Party

News

Navy veteran Rocky Rochford hopes to unseat 20-year incumbent in Tampa Bay

Editorial Roundup: United States

Live updates: Ex-Pence aide to run for Congress as a Democrat

How Florida designed a US House map aiming to give Republicans four more seats

A closer look at five key areas affected by Florida redistricting

Swalwell and Gonzales resign from Congress under threat of expulsion

week recess as Iran debate rages and members face expulsion

Republicans Lose Ground in Eight Key House Districts: Sabato’s Crystal Ball

Supreme Court limits Voting Rights Act in setback for Black Democrats

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