Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Kathy Hochul

Overview

Current roleGovernor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age67 years old (Aug 27, 1958)

GenderFemale

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LocationNew York

BackgroundPolitician

EducationSyracuse University (B.A., Political Science)

Notable personal detailsKathy Hochul is an American politician and lawyer who has served as the 57th governor of New York since 2021, becoming the first woman to hold the office. She previously served as lieutenant governor of New York and earlier represented New York’s 26th Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives. Her career also includes local elected service in Erie County, including as Erie County Clerk.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports targeted relief for middle- and lower-income New Yorkers (middle‑class tax cuts, inflation refund checks, expanded child tax credit and other credits) while maintaining or extending higher rates on top earners and using revenue to fund expanded social programs and services rather than broad tax cuts for corporations. Budget proposals emphasize no across‑the‑board income or corporate tax rate increases but preserve progressive rate structure and investments in childcare, education, and social services.

Healthcare

Kathy Hochul supports expanding access to affordable health care through strengthened Medicaid, large state investments in hospitals and safety-net programs, and policy initiatives to broaden coverage and services for New Yorkers. Her administration has created a Commission on the Future of Health Care, increased Medicaid funding and provider reimbursements, and proposed state-level programs to expand benefits and services. These positions emphasize public program expansion and access improvements rather than privatization or Medicare-for-All advocacy.

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Immigration & Border

Supports protecting asylum access and expanding legal work authorization and federal support for asylum seekers in New York; opposes large-scale mass deportations and directs limited state cooperation with federal immigration enforcement (e.g., warrants or terrorism/watchlist cases).

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports preserving and expanding legal access to abortion and reproductive health care in New York, has signed multiple laws to protect patients and providers (including telehealth and shield laws), and describes New York as a safe harbor for abortion care. Advocates resisting out-of-state abortion restrictions and has taken executive actions and endorsements of legislation to strengthen abortion access and provider protections.

Climate & Energy

Supports aggressive clean-energy and emissions-reduction policies including New York’s Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act targets, large state investments in offshore wind and a $1 billion Sustainable Future program, and commitments to building decarbonization and heat-pump deployment. Prioritizes transitioning the electricity sector to zero emissions (targeted by 2040), major renewable procurement (including offshore wind), and programs to electrify buildings and support disadvantaged communities in the clean-energy transition.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong, expanded gun safety laws including closing loopholes on assault weapons and ghost guns, strengthening and expanding red flag laws, and expanding background-check and other restrictions to reduce gun violence. Has signed multiple statewide bills to tighten gun laws and proposed significant investments to combat gun violence and illegal firearms. Calls for federal action to complement New York’s measures.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMay 19, 2026

Kathy Hochul is in the news for her New York budget fight, where she says she is done raising taxes even as she backs a new levy on multi-million-dollar second homes and pushes other cost-saving changes. She has also proposed limits on ICE cooperation and a ban on law enforcement face coverings as part of the late state budget talks. On the campaign side, her path to reelection has gotten easier after Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado dropped his primary challenge, and she recently picked up an endorsement from GIFFORDS.

governor.ny.gov+30

Polls

New York Democratic Governor nominee?
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
51.8%
12.8%
10.3%
Kathy Hochul
K. Hochul
Antonio Delgado
A. Delgado
Ritchie Torres
R. Torres
Date (Start - End)SpreadHochulDelgadoTorres
Polling Average
Hochul+38.9
51.8%12.8%10.3%
Siena UniversityJan 26 - 28
Hochul+53.0
64.0%11.0%
John Zogby StrategiesJan 6 - 8
Hochul+52.0
64.0%12.0%
Siena UniversityDec 8 - 12
Hochul+43.0
56.0%13.0%
Siena CollegeNov 10 - 12
Hochul+40.0
56.0%16.0%
GrayhouseSep 20 - 26
Hochul+29.0
43.0%14.0%
Siena CollegeAug 4 - 7
Hochul+35.0
50.0%15.0%
Siena CollegeJun 23 - 26
Hochul+37.0
49.0%12.0%10.0%
Siena CollegeMay 12 - 15
Hochul+34.0
46.0%12.0%10.0%
Siena CollegeApr 14 - 16
Hochul+32.0
44.0%12.0%9.0%
Data for ProgressMar 26 - 31
Hochul+40.0
51.0%11.0%11.0%
Siena CollegeMar 2 - 6
Hochul+35.0
46.0%11.0%10.0%
Citizen DataFeb 10 - 10
Hochul+37.0
52.0%15.0%12.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

New York Democratic Governor nominee?

Endorsers of Kathy Hochul for New York Democratic Governor nominee?

Zohran Mamdani

Elected official

Zohran Mamdani endorsed Kathy Hochul for reelection as New York governor.

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New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising