Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Katie Hobbs

Katie Hobbs

Incumbent Democratic candidate for Governor in Arizona

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Katie Hobbs is trading at 84% to win the Arizona Governor winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleGovernor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age56 years old (Dec 28, 1969)

GenderFemale

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LocationArizona

BackgroundPolitician

EducationNorthern Arizona University (BSW)

Notable personal detailsKathleen Marie Hobbs is an American politician serving as the 24th governor of Arizona, sworn in on 2023-01-02 after winning the 2022 gubernatorial election. A Democrat, she previously served in the Arizona Legislature (Arizona House and Arizona Senate) and was Senate Minority Leader. She later served as Arizona Secretary of State (2019–2023). She holds social work degrees from Northern Arizona University and Arizona State University.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports targeted tax relief for middle-class Arizonans (increasing the standard deduction, exemptions for tips/overtime, additional deductions for seniors) while opposing large tax cuts for the wealthy; proposes budget measures and tax credits to fund housing, childcare, and affordability programs. Advocates using tax policy to support working families and preserve funding for public services rather than giving broad handouts to high earners.

Healthcare

Supports expanding and protecting public health coverage and strengthening Medicaid (AHCCCS), with programs to improve access in rural areas and investments in the healthcare workforce. Opposes cuts or rollbacks to Medicaid expansion and pursues state initiatives to increase access and affordability. Focuses on practical expansions like Medicaid restoration, rural health funding, and workforce development rather than single-payer proposals.

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Immigration & Border

Supports protections for Dreamers and a pathway to citizenship while opposing criminalization and broad state enforcement measures; at the same time she has deployed state resources (National Guard, task forces, funding) to strengthen border security and disrupt transnational criminal organizations.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting and expanding access to abortion and reproductive health care, has taken executive and legislative actions to block enforcement of restrictive pre-statehood and post-Dobbs bans, and has called for constitutional protections and laws to safeguard abortion, contraception, and IVF access in Arizona.

Climate & Energy

Supports building a clean energy economy and investing in grid resilience, distributed solar, and extreme-heat preparedness while pursuing policies to lower energy costs and protect water and natural resources. Emphasizes state-led clean energy programs (e.g., Solar for All), grid modernization grants, and a Resilient Arizona water, climate, and energy plan. Prioritizes climate adaptation measures such as an Extreme Heat Preparedness Plan and a statewide resilience office.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded gun-safety measures and has used gubernatorial power to block legislation that would expand gun access; emphasizes common-sense protections for survivors and preserving local authority to regulate guns. Prioritizes public-safety investments for law enforcement while vetoing bills that would loosen firearm rules on campuses and allow silencers.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 5, 2026

Katie Hobbs is in the news because Arizona’s 2026 governor’s race is taking shape after Republican Andy Biggs won the GOP primary and will face her in the general election. Hobbs has said she will not debate Biggs, and the campaign has already turned into an exchange of attacks over issues like her administration and Biggs’ ties to Donald Trump. The reporting suggests the race is now moving into a more aggressive general-election phase.

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Latest Polls

Arizona Governor winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Katie Hobbs currently averages 44.8%, ranking first in this race, 5.2 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 44.8%Position: firstMargin: +5.2 ptsLatest poll: 52.0% (Jul 26 - 28)Polls included: 14

Average recalculated from polls through Jul 26 - 28.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
44.8%
39.6%
Katie Hobbs
K. Hobbs
Andy Biggs
A. Biggs
Date (Start - End)SpreadHobbsBiggs
Polling Average
Hobbs+5.2
44.8%39.6%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact ResearchJul 26 - 28
Hobbs+8.0
52.0%44.0%
Noble Predictive InsightsMay 5 - 7
Hobbs+4.0
41.0%37.0%
TIPP InsightsApr 20 - 24
Hobbs+10.0
48.0%38.0%
TIPP InsightsApr 20 - 24
Hobbs+10.0
45.0%35.0%
Noble Predictive InsightsFeb 23 - 26
Hobbs+5.0
42.0%37.0%
Center for Excellence in PollingJan 22 - 24
Hobbs+9.0
50.0%41.0%
NextGen PollingDec 15 - 17
Hobbs+19.0
51.0%32.0%
Emerson CollegeNov 8 - 10
Hobbs+0.7
44.1%43.4%
Noble Predictive InsightsAug 11 - 18
Hobbs+2.0
39.0%37.0%
Noble Predictive InsightsMay 12 - 16
Hobbs+2.0
40.0%38.0%
Pulse Decision SicenceApr 6 - 9
Hobbs+4.0
46.0%42.0%
Kreate StrategiesMar 31 - Apr 2
Biggs+2.0
46.0%48.0%
Noble Predictive InsightsFeb 11 - 13
Hobbs+2.0
40.0%38.0%
Kreate StrategiesFeb 5 - 7
Biggs+1.0
43.0%44.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Arizona Governor winner?

Endorsers of Katie Hobbs for Arizona Governor winner?

Mary Ellen

Elected official

Mary Ellen endorsed Katie Hobbs for governor.

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John Giles

Public figure

John Giles endorsed Katie Hobbs for reelection.

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NRDC Action Fund

Political organization

NRDC Action Fund endorsed Katie Hobbs for reelection.

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IAM Arizona State Council

Public endorsement

IAM Arizona State Council endorsed Katie Hobbs for reelection.

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Arizona Education Association

Advocacy group

Arizona Education Association endorsed Katie Hobbs.

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GIFFORDS PAC

Political organization

GIFFORDS PAC endorsed Katie Hobbs for reelection.

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Reproductive Freedom for All

Public endorsement

Reproductive Freedom for All endorsed Katie Hobbs for reelection.

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Arizona Alliance for Retired Americans

Advocacy group

Arizona Alliance for Retired Americans endorsed Katie Hobbs for reelection.

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Greg Stanton

Public figure

Greg Stanton endorsed Katie Hobbs for reelection.

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Yassamin Ansari

Public figure

Yassamin Ansari endorsed Katie Hobbs for reelection.

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Senator Mark Kelly

Elected official

Senator Mark Kelly endorsed Katie Hobbs for reelection.

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Gabby Giffords

Public figure

Gabby Giffords endorsed Katie Hobbs for reelection.

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New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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