State Lean
Competitive
Core swing state
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Arizona Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
Arizona Governor winner?
$2.1M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93% | 47.2% | — | |
| 8% | 40.3% | $28.2K |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$2.1M
24h volume
$303.0K
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Arizona · Governor
CompetitiveCore swing state
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary Jul 21, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · National Governors Association, Gubernatorial Elections · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
Andy Biggs has secured the Republican nomination for Arizona governor and will challenge Gov. Katie Hobbs in November. Early results showed him winning comfortably. Hobbs is also set to announce former Mesa Mayor John Giles as her running mate. Biggs’s primary win clarifies the GOP field and sets up the general election matchup. The running mate choice may slightly shape sentiment, but the main market effect is the confirmed Hobbs-Biggs contest.
Articles
NNewsweek5 days ago
Trump Cancels Kansas Rally as New Poll Shows Republican Trailing Democrat
Donald Trump has canceled a planned rally in Kansas as polls shows GOP Sen. Roger Marshall trailing his Democratic challenger.
TAThe Arizona Republic5 days ago
Andy Biggs says Charlie Kirk recruited him to run for Arizona governor
Rep. Andy Biggs and Turning Point co-founder Charlie Kirk were friends before Kirk was slain speaking to students in Utah.
MJMother Jones2 days ago
On Abortion Rights, Nevada Offers a Perfect Snapshot of the Midterms
2026 is all about winning ballot measures, Democratic trifectas, and Congress.
ACArizona Capitol Times3 months ago
Biggs, Petersen lead GOP governor, AG primaries
Congressman Andy Biggs emerged as one of the big winners Tuesday night as Arizona Republicans chose nominees to face Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs and Attorney General Kris Mayes in November.
FNFox News3 months ago
Ex-NFL star backed by President Trump wins battleground primary
Ex-NFL kicker Jay Feely won the GOP nomination for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District on Tuesday following an endorsement from President Donald Trump.
SSFGATE4 months ago
Arizona Republicans pick nominees Tuesday for governor and other top offices
Arizona Republicans are choosing nominees to challenge Democrats in key state offices. Candidates include U.S. Reps. Andy Biggs and David Schweikert, who are vying to take on Democratic Gov. Katie...
NNJ.com6 days ago
Sabato's Crystal Ball 2026 midterm forecast: Democrats gain ground in Senate, House
Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifted 16 House races, three Senate races and two gubernatorial races toward the Democrats.
WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit6 days ago
The Latest: Trump pushing to keep red-state Senate seats in GOP hands
President Donald Trump told Texans they’d better accept data centers in their communities and floated making Venezuela the 51st state as he stumped for Republican Ken Paxton, while Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico said a “corruption crisis” plagues U.S. politics.
CNCable News Network7 days ago
How to tell if Democrats are heading for a wave election in the House
House Democrats appear to be flirting with one of the biggest popular vote wins in decades. Follow these races on election night to know how well Democrats are doing.
Latest Polls
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
47.2%
40.3%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026$500K
$375K
$250K
$125K
$0
A. Biggs
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
A. BiggsAndy Biggs$28.2KContrib: $25.3K
$361.8KSpent: $125.3K
$7.0KLast period: $0
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Source: FEC
Related Races
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
Arizona Governor winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Arizona
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 8:05 AM UTC
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Arizona
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 8:05 AM UTC