TX-23 House winner?
8hKaty Padilla Stout is now at 33% in "TX-23 House winner?" after gaining 7.0 points over the last 3 days.
33%7%
Democrat
Katy Padilla Stout
Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Texas
$56.8K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Katy Padilla Stout is trading at 32% to win the TX-23 House winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleAttorney
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyProgressive Democrat
GenderFemale
LocationTexas
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BackgroundAttorney
Notable personal detailsKaty Padilla Stout is a San Antonio attorney and 2026 Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Texas’ 23rd Congressional District. She has served on the Bexar County Child Welfare Board and previously taught elementary school in Northside ISD. Her campaign emphasizes work on behalf of children and families and her experience as a parent.
SourcesShowHide
fec.govsanantonioreport.orgkatyforcongress.comen.wikipedia.orgbrewstercounty.govkalshi.comco.hudspeth.tx.usgiffords.orgdeveloper.ballotpedia.orggmg-ksat-prod.cdn.arcpublishing.commedinatx.govballotclarity.orgbluevoterguide.orglinkedin.comtpr.orgreevescounty.orgreddit.comyahoo.combigbendsentinel.comexpressnews.comclick2houston.comcitizenportal.aikatyisd.orgcityofkaty.commiller.house.govcommunityimpact.comkansasreflector.comreformaustin.orgkatforillinois.comelpasotaxpayerrevolt.comtexasscorecard.comkcur.orgmoneywithkatie.comcdn2.creativecirclemedia.comcongress.govsacurrent.comemilyslist.orgtexasaflcio.orgfront.moveon.orgtexastribune.orgjta.orgwashingtonpost.comnytimes.comfacebook.cominstagram.comdocquery.fec.govballotready.orgapi-stage.open.fec.govjustfacts.votesmart.orglda.senate.govklobuchar.senate.govhsgac.senate.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
The candidate supports a tax code that she says should empower the middle class and opposes tax cuts for billionaires. She calls for investments in family-supporting programs (universal pre-K, higher minimum wage, paid parental leave) and for congressional oversight of tariffs that raise costs.
Healthcare
Supports expanding access to affordable health care and protecting reproductive rights, and centers healthcare access and affordability as a top campaign priority for TX-23. Advocates strengthening programs that improve access to care in underserved parts of the district and expanding services such as mental health and veterans’ care. No direct evidence was found of support for single-payer/Medicare for All or for fully privatizing the system.
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Immigration & Border
Supports a secure border while calling for reasonable and humane immigration laws, bipartisan congressional action, and fair pathways to citizenship; opposes large-scale border construction (e.g., Big Bend wall) and urges reform of enforcement practices and vetting.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
The candidate supports protecting women's reproductive rights and says medical decisions about health procedures should be made between a woman and her doctor without government interference. She highlights that Texas' restrictions have prevented women from accessing necessary medical care, including in life‑threatening situations, and calls for those rights to be protected.
Climate & Energy
Supports addressing climate change using science-based policy, endorses rejoining the Paris Climate Accord, and emphasizes protecting public lands such as Big Bend National Park while calling for U.S. participation in global climate efforts.
Public Safety & Guns
Supports expanded background checks, a ban on bump stocks, and functioning red-flag laws while affirming Second Amendment rights and calling for reasonable limits and mental-health/crisis support to reduce gun violence.
Latest Candidate Updates
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026
Katy Padilla Stout is the Democratic candidate in Texas’s 23rd Congressional District, where the race has become more competitive after Republican Tony Gonzales withdrew from reelection. Brandon Herrera is now the Republican nominee, and Democrats see a real opportunity to contest the seat. Recent coverage says the district has moved onto the list of key House races to watch ahead of the 2026 midterms.
fec.gov+51
Articles
F4FOX 4 News6 months ago
Texas primaries: Rep. Tony Gonzales faces Brandon Herrera in District 23 GOP runoff, despite scandal
Positive
PPOLITICO6 months ago
Gonzales is out in Texas, and Dems see a chance to beat ‘The AKGuy’
Positive
TNThe New York Times6 months ago
Brandon Herrera’s YouTube Gives Democrats More Hope in West Texas Race
Neutral
NNewsmax5 months ago
Embattled Rep. Tony Gonzales Announces 'Retirement' From Congress
Neutral
Latest Polls
TX-23 House winner?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Public Policy Polling
50%40%30%20%10%0%
40%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$238.4K
$178.8K
$119.2K
$59.6K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$238.4K
$145.8K
$92.4K
$6.2K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Endorsements