$25.9K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
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source: Kalshi
Tony Gonzales has ended his reelection bid, leaving Texas's 23rd District without an incumbent. Brandon Herrera is now the Republican nominee, and Democrats are considering whether to make the race a target. The seat looks more open than before, which could make the party outcome market more volatile. Gonzales's exit makes the seat more open and could increase uncertainty. Herrera's nomination may keep the race competitive if Democrats invest heavily.
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What had been a safe G.O.P. seat was looking more attainable for Democrats after Representative Tony Gonzales bowed out in favor of a hard-right candidate.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.