$19.6K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
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$19.6K
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source: Kalshi
Recent reporting continues to frame Texas’ 23rd District as a more competitive open-seat race after Tony Gonzales exited and Brandon Herrera became the GOP standard-bearer, which can keep the Republican hold price sensitive to fresh coverage.
The biggest development is Tony Gonzales’s decision to retire and end his reelection bid. Brandon Herrera is now the Republican nominee by default. Democrats are weighing whether to make the district a more serious target. Gonzales’s exit makes the race more open and could increase uncertainty. Herrera’s nomination may help Republicans keep the seat, but the district may draw more Democratic attention.
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New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
